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Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Bengals host the New England Patriots at Paycor Stadium in Week 12 NFL action. New England enters at 9-2 riding an eight-game winning streak, while Cincinnati sits at 3-7 after dropping three straight. Bettors will weigh the Patriots’ road dominance against the Bengals’ uncertainty at quarterback and the absence of Ja’Marr Chase.
Line Movement and Odds
- Patriots Spread: -8.5 (-108)
- Bengals Spread: +8.5 (-113)
- Patriots MoneyLine: -422
- Bengals MoneyLine: +329
- Total: 49.5 (Over -112, Under -109)
New England opened as strong road favorites, reflecting their perfect 5-0 away record and Cincinnati’s struggles. See full NFL odds for market movement.
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Matchup Breakdown
New England Patriots Outlook
Rookie QB Drake Maye leads the NFL with 2,836 passing yards and ranks second in passer rating (113.2). TreVeyon Henderson has scored five touchdowns in the past two weeks, adding balance to the offense. WR Stefon Diggs remains a reliable target with 659 receiving yards. Defensively, New England ranks top-10 in fumble recoveries, complementing their potent offense. The Patriots must continue protecting Maye and leaning on Henderson to extend drives.
Cincinnati Bengals Outlook
Joe Burrow returned to practice after missing two months with a toe injury, but his status remains uncertain. Without Ja’Marr Chase (suspension), the Bengals lean on Tee Higgins and RB Chase Brown, who rushed for 99 yards against Pittsburgh. Cincinnati’s defense is banged up, with Trey Hendrickson and Cam Taylor-Britt questionable. The Bengals must establish Brown on the ground and hope Burrow can return to spark the passing game.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
The Patriots must exploit Cincinnati’s depleted defense with Maye’s accuracy and Henderson’s rushing. The Bengals need Burrow healthy and Higgins to step up in Chase’s absence. Turnovers and red-zone execution will determine whether Cincinnati can pull off the upset.
Injuries / Availability
New England lists Rhamondre Stevenson (toe), Austin Hooper (concussion), and Kayshon Boutte (hamstring) questionable, with Antonio Gibson (knee) and Milton Williams (ankle) out. For full player status, check the Patriots injury report.
Cincinnati lists Joe Burrow (toe) questionable, Ja’Marr Chase (suspension) out, Trey Hendrickson (hip/pelvis) doubtful, and Cam Taylor-Britt (foot) questionable. See the Bengals injury page for latest updates.
Environment
The game kicks off at Paycor Stadium, where Cincinnati is 2-3 at home. New England is 5-0 on the road, thriving in hostile environments. Expect the Patriots’ balanced attack to clash with Cincinnati’s desperation to salvage their season.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Patriots 30, Bengals 20
- Best Bet: Patriots -8.5
New England’s ATS streak on the road and Cincinnati’s injuries make the favorite the safer play. - Total: Over 49.5 (-112)
Our model projects 50 points, leaning over given both teams’ recent scoring trends.
New England’s winning streak should continue behind Maye’s precision and Henderson’s rushing, while Cincinnati’s offense struggles without Chase. Expect a decisive Patriots win trending over the total.
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