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Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Betting Preview
Green Bay enters Week 14 looking to close the gap on division-leading Chicago. The Packers sit at 8-3-1, a half-game behind the 9-3 Bears, with another matchup scheduled two weeks from now. Jordan Love is coming off a four-touchdown performance in a 31-24 win over Detroit, earning NFC Offensive Player of the Week honors. Green Bay has won three straight and is 3-0 in the division.
Chicago continues its strong run at 9-3 after a 24-15 win over Philadelphia. The Bears lead the NFL in turnover differential and bring one of the league’s most physical rushing identities. Caleb Williams has enhanced his ball-control profile, while D’Andre Swift and rookie Kyle Monangai anchor a ground game that produced 281 yards last week.
Both teams enter with momentum and high offensive efficiency. Green Bay leads the NFL in third-down conversion rate and has converted nine of its last eleven red-zone trips into touchdowns. Chicago’s defense counterbalances with league-leading takeaways and consistent pressure. This rivalry matchup carries added weight with the division title potentially shaped by Sunday’s outcome.
View additional divisional previews inside the NFL previews section.
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Line Movement and Odds
Green Bay opened -6.5 and remains steady with market confidence in their offensive pace and home-field profile. Chicago sits +6.5 with strong ATS action tied to their recent road performance and turnover edge.
The total opened 44.5 and has held firm. Cold, overcast conditions at Lambeau Field may influence scoring consistency, though both teams have trended toward higher totals recently.
Track updated movement on the NFL odds board.
Matchup Breakdown
Chicago’s pathway centers around ground control and turnover pressure. Swift and Monangai offer a balanced downhill attack, and Williams continues to protect the football while extending plays. Their defense thrives on takeaway opportunities, ranking near the top of the NFL across interceptions and forced fumbles. If they dictate possession time and limit explosive plays, they can force Green Bay into a slower tempo.
The Packers operate through efficiency and rhythm. Love has been sharp, completing 67 percent of his passes with 19 touchdowns and only three interceptions. Josh Jacobs’ scoring output gives Green Bay a reliable red-zone identity, and Romeo Doubs continues to provide dependable spacing. Micah Parsons adds a disruptive element on defense with 12.5 sacks, although the Packers will be without Devonte Wyatt for the season. Green Bay’s offensive structure—third-down precision and red-zone success—offers a clear matchup edge.
Find expanded projections inside the updated NFL picks section.
Injuries and Conditions
Chicago Bears
Tremaine Edmunds, groin, out
T.J. Edwards, hand/hamstring, questionable
Dayo Odeyingbo, Achilles, out
Dominique Robinson, concussion, questionable
Braxton Jones, knee, out
Nikola Kalinic, undisclosed, out
Noah Sewell, elbow, questionable
Tyrique Stevenson, hip, questionable
Roschon Johnson, thumb, out
Terell Smith, knee, out
Ricky Stromberg, undisclosed, out
Kiran Amegadjie, elbow, out
Full depth updates available on the Bears team page.
Green Bay Packers
Elgton Jenkins, ankle, out
Nate Hobbs, knee, questionable
Nick Niemann, pectoral, out
MarShawn Lloyd, hamstring, questionable
Jayden Reed, collarbone, questionable
Devonte Wyatt, ankle, out
Quay Walker, neck, questionable
Tucker Kraft, knee, out
Lukas Van Ness, foot, questionable
Karl Brooks, ankle, questionable
Brenton Cox Jr., groin, questionable
Travis Glover, shoulder, out
Outdoor venue, very cold with light breeze and overcast clouds.
Latest Betting Trends
Bears SU last 10 games: 9-1
Bears ATS last 3 away games: 3-0
Bears ATS as underdog last 6: 5-1
Packers O/U last 5 away: 5-0
Packers SU last 3 games: 3-0
Packers O/U as favorite last 7: 5-2
Study additional angles in the Expert Betting Guide.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Chicago continues to outperform expectations as an underdog and matches up well through turnover creation and rushing stability. Green Bay’s offense remains more explosive, and their efficiency gives them a narrow edge, but projected scoring aligns with a competitive outcome.
Projected Score: Packers 27, Bears 24
Best Bet: Bears +6.5
Secondary Lean: Over 44.5
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