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Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans Match Preview
The Seattle Seahawks will look to end their home struggles when they host the Houston Texans on Monday night at Lumen Field. Despite owning a 4-2 record, Seattle has dropped two of three at home while extending its franchise-record road winning streak to nine games.
Houston, sitting at 2-3, is coming off its bye week after routing Baltimore 44-10 in one of the most impressive wins of the season. The Texans have shown progress behind second-year quarterback C.J. Stroud, while Seattle continues to build momentum behind new signal-caller Sam Darnold.
Both teams enter with optimism, but for Seattle, the priority is clear — defend home turf and keep pace in a tight NFC West. For live lines and odds updates across the league, visit the NFL Scores and Odds page.
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Line Movement and Odds
The Seahawks opened as 3.5-point favorites with a moneyline of -181. Houston sits at +151, and the total is 41 points. Both defenses have kept games tight, but betting action has leaned toward Seattle to cover, largely due to their consistent performance against the spread.
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Matchup Breakdown
Seattle enters this matchup on the heels of a 20-12 road win over Jacksonville, powered by a defense that sacked Trevor Lawrence seven times. Sam Darnold has continued his resurgence with 295 yards and two touchdowns, ranking third in passer rating (116.0) leaguewide. His connection with Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who posted 162 yards and a score last week, has been a game-changer.
Coach Mike Macdonald’s defensive unit has been elite on the road but inconsistent at home. Seattle allowed late comebacks in both home defeats, something Macdonald emphasized fixing this week. Linebacker Derick Hall’s health remains a question mark, but the pass rush and secondary depth have carried the load.
Houston, meanwhile, has looked rejuvenated since its early-season struggles. Stroud earned AFC Offensive Player of the Week honors after throwing four touchdowns against the Ravens. His poise and accuracy continue to set the tone, while wideout Nico Collins and veteran rusher Nick Chubb provide a balanced offensive attack.
The Texans’ defense has quietly been one of the AFC’s most disciplined units. Jalen Pitre’s two interceptions against Baltimore highlighted their opportunistic secondary. Under coach DeMeco Ryans, Houston ranks among the top five in opponent passer rating and takeaway percentage.
Get deeper matchup stats and advanced team metrics in the NFL Expert Betting Guide.
Key Storylines
Seattle’s biggest challenge is reversing its recent home form. The Seahawks are 1-2 at Lumen Field this season after finishing 3-6 at home last year. Macdonald continues to emphasize closing games, and Darnold’s leadership gives the offense confidence heading into primetime.
For Houston, the focus is on sustaining momentum. The Texans’ two dominant wins before the bye showed how dangerous they can be when Stroud plays mistake-free football. Their defense has carried much of the load, and that unit will need to deliver again against Darnold and Seattle’s high-efficiency passing attack.
Both teams have winning potential, but consistency and situational football will decide this matchup.
Prediction
The Texans have proven capable of competing with top-tier teams, but Seattle’s defensive line and home-field crowd should make the difference. Expect another efficient outing from Darnold and a late fourth-quarter stop by the Seahawks’ defense.
Projected Score: Seattle Seahawks 24, Houston Texans 20
Best Bet: Seahawks -3.5 (-106)
Secondary Lean: Over 41.0 (-109)
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