New York Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers Picks and Predictions October 16th 2025

Last Updated on

Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers continue their road swing Thursday night against the New York Islanders at UBS Arena. Edmonton enters with confidence after shutting out the Rangers, while the Islanders are desperate to earn their first win of the season. Puck drop is set for 7:30 PM ET on ESPN+ as both clubs look to define their early identity in the NHL regular season.

sas logo

Unlock 5,000+ Winning Picks Every Season

Bet Smarter, Across Every League

Early Season Storylines

The Islanders’ early campaign has been tough. They’ve opened 0-3-0 for the first time since 2009-10 and have led for less than two minutes of total game time. Monday’s 5-2 loss to Winnipeg highlighted their defensive struggles, but rookie defenseman Matthew Schaefer continues to provide hope. The 18-year-old, drafted first overall in June, has recorded points in each of his first three games and leads the Islanders in ice time — an impressive start that places him among the most promising young talents in the league.

Head coach Patrick Roy is urging patience and focus. “This is a hard league to climb back into when you’re down,” said defenseman Scott Mayfield. “We’ve got to fix our mistakes and find a way.” The Islanders will need that mindset as they host an Oilers team that’s already shown championship poise.

The Oilers are off to a strong 2-0-1 start after consecutive Western Conference titles and Stanley Cup Final appearances. Their 2-0 win over the Rangers showcased a more defensive edge — a shift from their usual high-octane style. Stuart Skinner earned the shutout with 22 saves, while Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl continued to drive play despite limited scoring chances. Coach Kris Knoblauch has emphasized balance and physicality early in the season, and it’s paying off.

Line Movement and Odds

According to the latest NHL odds, Edmonton opened around -172 on the moneyline, with New York listed at +144. The puck line favors the Islanders at +1.5 (-178), while the total is set at 6.0 goals (Over -106, Under -114).

Bettors have leaned slightly toward the Oilers, reflecting their steady two-way play and elite roster depth. The under has drawn attention as well, given Edmonton’s recent low-scoring trend and strong goaltending. For advanced metrics, bankroll advice, and matchup simulations, visit the NHL expert betting guide.

Matchup Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers Outlook

The Oilers are finding new ways to win. Once defined by offense, they’ve shifted toward tighter defensive play. In three games, they’ve allowed just five goals while scoring eight, supported by 57 hits and 54 blocks. Stuart Skinner and Calvin Pickard have combined for a .978 save percentage across their last two outings.

Offensively, Edmonton still boasts firepower. Draisaitl has two goals and three total points, while McDavid leads with four assists. The Oilers’ power play hasn’t fully ignited yet, but their puck control and zone entries remain among the best in the league. If they maintain defensive discipline, their chances of extending this win streak are high.

For bettors tracking player form, team trends, and goaltending splits, updates are available on the NHL picks page.

New York Islanders Outlook

The Islanders are looking for a reset. Despite their 0-3-0 record, their energy level and effort haven’t wavered. Schaefer’s historic start — becoming the first defenseman in franchise history to record points in each of his first three games — has provided a bright spot. Kyle Palmieri has added three points through three games, and Jonathan Drouin has chipped in with steady playmaking.

New York’s physical identity remains clear, with 69 hits and 48 blocks across their first three outings. However, inconsistent goaltending and defensive lapses have hurt. Roy’s focus will be tightening neutral-zone coverage and managing puck support in their own end. Playing at home gives the Islanders an opportunity to reset against one of the league’s elite.

Key Edge

The Oilers’ structure and composure on the road make them the safer pick. Their balanced defensive play and elite top-line talent give them an edge over a struggling Islanders squad still finding its rhythm. However, New York’s desperation and physicality could make this matchup closer than the odds suggest.

This game also offers a glimpse at two different franchise trajectories — one contending for another Western crown, and another trying to avoid an early-season spiral. For context on divisional dynamics, check the Pacific Division outlook and the Metropolitan Division preview.

Injuries and Updates

Edmonton remains without Zach Hyman, Mattias Janmark, and Jake Walman, all sidelined with upper-body or undisclosed injuries. New York’s injury list includes Ethan Bear, Pierre Engvall, and goaltender Semyon Varlamov. Their absences have tested roster depth early in the season.

Injury updates and lineup confirmations are available daily through the ScoresAndStats NHL hub.

Betting Trends

The Oilers have been perfect on the road so far, winning both away games outright and covering the puck line in each. They’ve also stayed under the total in consecutive matchups, reflecting their defensive control. The Islanders, conversely, have lost all three games this season and failed to cover in any. However, all three of their contests have gone over the total, a sign of defensive inconsistencies and late-game breakdowns.

League-wide betting context and futures projections can be explored in the Conference odds update and Stanley Cup predictions.

Top Winners – Yesterday
Sean Kuchman
$540
2. Info Plays
$285
3. James Acker
$217
4. Evan Lewis
$200
5. Tim Michael
$125
Top Winners – This Week
Computer Picks
$1,000
2. Jacob Hoffman
$808
3. Sean Kuchman
$762
4. Bobby Babowski
$735
5. Ryan Davis
$587
Top Winners – This Month
Sas Insider
$2,255
2. Ryan Davis
$1,440
3. Jimmy Boyd
$1,328
4. Rubi Chavez
$1,269
5. Computer Picks
$1,190

Best Bets and Prediction

Edmonton enters this matchup in rhythm, playing sound two-way hockey behind strong goaltending. The Islanders will bring energy, but their defensive issues and slow starts remain concerns. Expect the Oilers’ experience and balance to prevail in another controlled performance.

Projected Score: Edmonton Oilers 4, New York Islanders 2
Best Bet: Edmonton Oilers Moneyline (-172)
Secondary Lean: Over 6.0 goals (-106)

Smarter wagers begin with solid information. Visit ScoresAndStats for up-to-date NHL betting insights, handicapping results, and expert analysis from every division.

sas logo

Access 100+ Handicappers in One Place

Maximize Your Edge, Every Day

Get Free Trial