Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Picks and Predictions May 7th 2025

Don’t miss out on the NHL showdown between the Panthers and Maple Leafs. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN, and it’s hosted by the Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. Get ready to place your bets! In this division matchup, the Panthers are favored by -1.5 against the Maple Leafs. The over/under for the game is 5.5 goals.

Florida vs. Toronto Key Information

• Teams: Panthers at Maple Leafs
• Where: Scotiabank Arena Toronto
• Date: Wednesday, May 7th
• Betting Odds FLA -142 | TOR +121 O/U 5.5

The Panthers Can Win If…

Florida improved to 47-31-4 with a 4-2 road win over the Stars. The Panthers covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 6 goals fell just short of the 6.5 set by oddsmakers.

All four of Florida’s goals came from different players, with A.J. Greer breaking a 2-2 tie at 17:28 in the third period. The Panthers added an empty-netter with 1:00 remaining to seal the victory.

Carolina’s offense generated 25 shots on goal in their 4-2 victory over Dallas. They scored twice in the third period, with A.J. Greer netting his first goal of the season at 17:28 and Sam Reinhart adding his 10th on an empty net with 1:00 left in the game.

Earlier, Evan Rodrigues opened the scoring in the first period, while Matthew Tkachuk added his third goal of the season on a power play in the second. The Panthers recorded 16 giveaways and tallied 6 assists on their four goals.

Spencer Knight posted a 92% save percentage with 23 saves, backstopping the Panthers to a 4-2 win over Dallas. Florida’s defense also recorded 8 takeaways and 22 hits. After allowing two goals in the 2nd period, the Panthers’ defense held the Stars scoreless in the 3rd.

• Over their last three games, the Panthers have gone 2-1 straight up. Their strong play has also resulted in an puck line mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 3-0 in those same games.
• Through their last ten regular season contests, Florida has a record of 6-4. In these matchups, they ended with an puck line record of 5-5 and an over-under mark of 7-3.

The Maple Leafs Can Win If…

The Maple Leafs dropped to 52-26-4 after a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. As the underdog on the puck line, the total was set at 6 goals, but the game’s 3 combined goals fell well short of that figure.

Toronto fell behind early, with the Wild scoring at 9:41 in the first period. William Nylander tied it up with a power-play goal at 19:08 in the first, but the Wild secured the win with a goal at 2:14 in overtime.

Toronto’s offense managed just one goal in their 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. William Nylander netted his 9th goal of the season on a power play, with Auston Matthews picking up his 6th assist and Mitchell Marner adding his 12th.

The Maple Leafs fired 28 shots on goal but were hindered by 10 giveaways. After Nylander’s goal, which came at 19:08 in the first period, Toronto was held scoreless for the remainder of the game.

Toronto’s defense gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the first period and the game-winner at 2:14 in overtime. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage, while the defense recorded 2 takeaways and 30 hits.

• Through their last three games, the Maple Leafs have a record of 2-1. Their strong play has also resulted in an puck line mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 2-1 in those same games.
• Across Toronto’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 8-2. This includes going 7-3 vs. the puck line along with an over-under mark of 5-5.

The Lean

For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Maple Leafs to pick up on a win over the Panthers at home. With the moneyline sitting at +121, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Maple Leafs straight-up.

If you’re looking to get a bet down on this matchup, we foresee the Maple Leafs winning the underdog. However, if you’re not as confident in the Maple Leafs straight-up, we’d still recommend placing a bet on them to cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 5.5 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.

Game Overview

The Toronto Maple Leafs aim to build on a hard-fought 5–4 Game 1 victory as they host the Florida Panthers in Wednesday’s pivotal rematch. After rallying early and fending off late Panther pressure, Toronto looks to reinforce its structured, physical identity at Scotiabank Arena.

Stolarz’s Status and Team Focus

Anthony Stolarz left Monday’s contest after absorbing a high elbow from Sam Bennett, but his willingness to remain in net despite showing concussion-like symptoms energized the locker room. Coach Craig Berube has stressed playing “the right way,” focusing on crisp defensive zone play rather than seeking retribution.

Offensive Leaders: Pacioretty, Nylander and Tavares

Max Pacioretty has thrived since joining Toronto’s top line, assisting on both of William Nylander’s goals in Game 1 and leading the club in hits. Nylander’s quick start and John Tavares’s net-front presence have given the Maple Leafs the balanced attack needed to test Florida’s goaltender, Sergei Bobrovsky.

Panthers’ Adjustments: Ekblad Returns, Top Line Needs Punch

Florida welcomes back Aaron Ekblad after a two-game suspension, bolstering a defense that struggled to contain Toronto’s rush. Aleksander Barkov’s line with Carter Verhaeghe and Sam Reinhart must dig deeper for offensive support, having been held scoreless through the first 40 minutes of Game 1.

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Tactical Outlook

Toronto’s aggressive forecheck and tight gap control will test the Panthers’ breakout, while Florida will look to activate its counters through skillful transition. Special teams could decide the contest—Toronto’s power play must convert, and the penalty kill needs to neutralize Florida’s speedsters.

Betting Angle

For tailored matchup analysis and recommended wagers, visit our NHL Predictions.

Scoreline Forecast

Expect a disciplined, low-event first two periods before Toronto’s balanced attack edges out Florida late.