Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils Picks and Predictions October 21st 2025

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The New Jersey Devils visit the Toronto Maple Leafs on Tuesday, October 21 at Scotiabank Arena. Puck drop is set for 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Devils enter on a four-game win streak and aim for their first five-game run since 2023. Jack Hughes leads the surge with six goals in five games.

Toronto is 3-3-1 after an overtime loss to Seattle. Goaltender Anthony Stolarz called for urgency as the Leafs close their homestand. Coach Craig Berube emphasized accountability, while Auston Matthews and William Nylander continue to drive the offense.

For more team insights, visit the NHL team page for complete stats and standings.

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Line Movement and Odds

According to the NHL odds board Toronto opened –115 on the moneyline and has moved to –120. New Jersey sits near even at +100. The total remains 6.0 goals with the Over –105 and Under –115.

Public money leans about 60% toward Toronto, while sharper action has come in on the Devils puck line (+1.5 at –250). The total has drawn split action with bettors expecting another high-tempo matchup.

Matchup Breakdown

Devils outlook:
New Jersey ranks among early leaders in penalty-kill success and puck possession. Their forecheck and special teams have been consistent through the first five games. Jack Hughes and Jesper Bratt anchor a power play that’s converting at 25%. Goalie Jake Allen owns a .915 save percentage in three starts.

Maple Leafs outlook:
Toronto’s offense remains dangerous, averaging 3.7 goals per game. Nylander and Matthews have combined for 15 points, while the defense continues to search for structure. Toronto’s transition game is still elite, though defensive zone coverage has cost them points.

Expect a contrast between New Jersey’s tight structure and Toronto’s open-ice style. The game could swing on special teams efficiency and goaltending.

Injuries and Conditions

New Jersey Devils – Stefan Noesen (groin) out; Jacob Markstrom (undisclosed) out; Zack MacEwen (upper body) out; Evgenii Dadonov (hand) out; Johnathan Kovacevic (knee) out.
Check the full New Jersey Devils injury report for updates.

Toronto Maple Leafs – Scott Laughton (lower body) out; Marshall Rifai (wrist) out; Joseph Woll (personal) out.
Full details on the Toronto Maple Leafs injury report

Indoor conditions at Scotiabank Arena will have no weather impact.

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Best Bets and Prediction

The Maple Leafs remain slight favorites, but the Devils’ defensive consistency and confidence under coach Sheldon Keefe make them a live underdog. The market edge favors the Over with both teams averaging more than 3.5 goals per game.

Projected score: Toronto 4, New Jersey 3.
Best bet: Devils +1.5 (–250).
Secondary lean: Over 6 goals.

For more analysis, visit the Free NHL Picks page or explore the NHL previews section for upcoming matchups.

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