Kansas City Chiefs

Thirteen of the Chiefs’ 17 games in 2025 went under the total, more than any other NFL team. Chiefs odds made Kansas City the favorite 13 times and they won five of those, so our predictions for this season’s games start from a 6-11 year.

The under, almost every week

Four overs in 17 games. No NFL team went under as often as Kansas City in the 2025 regular season, and none came level. From November on, eight of the last nine games stayed under. The Chiefs allowed 19.29 points a game, and only five teams allowed fewer; they scored 21.29.

Laying points, and losing them

Kansas City finished 6-11 and covered six of the 16 games that carried a spread (the Thanksgiving loss at Dallas had none). Twenty-six teams covered more often, two at the same rate. As favorites the Chiefs went 5-8 straight up and covered four of 13. In the three games they got points, they covered two.

Away from home the record was 1-6, with one cover in six priced road games: 22-9 at the New York Giants in September. Every other NFL team covered a higher share on the road. At home it was 5-4, with five covers in nine.

Kansas City on the moneyline

One unit on Kansas City in each of the 16 priced games lost 7.05. Only four NFL teams lost more that way, and 6.25 of it came in the 13 games as favorite. The one win at plus money was 37-20 at home over Baltimore at +120.

The season ran down at the end: six straight losses from Thanksgiving to the finale, a 0-4 December worth minus 4.00 units, including 13-16 at home to the Chargers at -258.

AFC West

One win in six division games. Two losses to the Denver Broncos, the 13-20 home loss on 25 December covered as 13.5-point underdogs. Two losses to the Los Angeles Chargers, 21-27 at a neutral site in September and 13-16 at home, neither covered. A split with the Las Vegas Raiders: 31-0 at home, covered, then 12-14 at Las Vegas in the finale, laying 3.5. No postseason.

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