NFL Week 14 Odds and Predictions 2026: Picks for Every Game

Thursday, December 10 · 8:15 PM ET

Interconference

Minnesota Vikings

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New England Patriots

A non-conference game: the standings feel it, the tiebreakers never do. A short week cuts the install, not the legs. The simpler team usually handles it better, whatever the rest narrative says. Our read: the line that opens is not the line that settles, and the gap is the whole edge.

Sunday, December 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Interconference

Atlanta Falcons

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Cleveland Browns

Cross-conference, so nothing here settles a tiebreaker, which is exactly why it gets overread. An outdoor field in Cleveland at this time of year. Weather is not scene-setting here, it is a condition of the game. We would want a reason to be on the favourite here beyond the fact that they are the favourite.

Sunday, December 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Interconference

Tennessee Titans

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Detroit Lions

Across the conferences. The result counts once and then stops counting. Played indoors under a roof that does not open, so the weather is out of it entirely. We would rather have the points here than the opinion.

Sunday, December 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Interconference

Chicago Bears

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Miami Dolphins

Out of conference, which is where season-long narratives get built on the least useful evidence. First window of the day, on a board full of them. The obvious side is the popular side, and those are not always the same bet.

Sunday, December 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Conference

Denver Broncos

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New York Jets

Same conference, no tiebreaker, but it moves the conference record that seeds the bracket. The Jets come off a bye, which buys a fortnight of preparation for one opponent. The rest is worth less than people think; the extra week of film is worth more. We would take the home side’s price more seriously than the home side’s reputation.

Sunday, December 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Interconference

Indianapolis Colts

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Philadelphia Eagles

Across conferences, which usually means two unfamiliar teams and a market leaning on reputation to fill the gap. A bye behind the Colts, and the healthy version of a team is a genuine variable, and the hardest one of all to price. Our read: the total tells you more about what the books expect than the side does.

Sunday, December 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Interconference

Houston Texans

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Washington Commanders

Interconference. Worth a win and nothing else, and any conclusion drawn from it should be priced that way. Outdoors in Washington, in the part of the season where the forecast is a genuine input rather than colour. Our read: this is a total to look at before it is a side.

Sunday, December 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Divisional

New Orleans Saints

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Carolina Panthers

Second meeting, same division. The unfamiliar half of football has already been played. The early window, where the schedule puts games it does not expect to argue about. We are interested in this one late, not early.

Sunday, December 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Interconference

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Baltimore Ravens

A game between conferences: one result, no consequences beyond the column it lands in. One side here, the Ravens, has had a week off. Rested is easy to say and hard to put a number on. We think the market is closer to right here than the talk suggests.

Sunday, December 13 · 4:05 PM ET

Divisional

Los Angeles Chargers

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Las Vegas Raiders

The return fixture in the division, with the head-to-head either level or on the line. The Raiders have had two weeks to look at this one. That edge is real and it is mostly preparation, not legs. Our view: this is the sort of game people are certain about for no good reason.

Sunday, December 13 · 4:25 PM ET

Conference

Kansas City Chiefs

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Cincinnati Bengals

A conference fixture with no return game, so whatever this settles, it settles once. Cincinnati in the cold months, outdoors, where the passing game gets simpler whether anyone plans it that way or not. We would leave this alone until the injury report lands.

Sunday, December 13 · 4:25 PM ET

Divisional

Los Angeles Rams

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San Francisco 49ers

Division rematch, and the side that lost the first one has spent months on the reason. In the late window, which means a full afternoon of results before anyone kicks off. Our view: the number will move more than the matchup warrants.

Sunday, December 13 · 4:25 PM ET

Conference

New York Giants

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Seattle Seahawks

A conference fixture, which is to say it counts twice: once now, once in the tiebreakers. 3 time zones west for the visitor. The body clock reads later than the scoreboard, and that is the friendlier version of this trip. We think the honest answer is that this one is close, and close games are where prices get lazy.

Sunday, December 13 · 8:20 PM ET

Interconference

Buffalo Bills

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Green Bay Packers

Non-conference, played once every four years by rotation, so neither side has much recent tape on the other. Green Bay in the cold months, outdoors, where the passing game gets simpler whether anyone plans it that way or not. Our view: the public will be on one side of this by Friday, and that is worth knowing before Sunday.

Monday, December 14 · 8:15 PM ET

Conference

Pittsburgh Steelers

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Jacksonville Jaguars

Conference game, and those are the quiet ones that decide seeding three months later. The Monday nightcap: the last line on the board to move, and the only game played knowing what everything else did. Our view: wait for the number rather than the news.