Take the under 49. The side is a pass: our number has New Orleans by 2.12, and the market has New Orleans by 2.5.

Upcoming games
No NFL team returned more on the moneyline in 2025 than the Panthers, who went 8-9 and still made 10.42 units across their 16 priced games. Carolina Panthers odds had them getting points in 15 of 17 games, and our predictions for this season’s games are above.
A losing record that made money
The Panthers finished the 2025 regular season 8-9 and beat the spread 10 times in 17. Five NFL teams covered more often, and three others matched that rate. The line rarely asked Carolina to lay anything: they took points in 15 games and covered 10 of those.
They gave points only twice, both times to the New Orleans Saints, and lost both: 7-17 at home at -250, then 17-20 in New Orleans at -148.
Home and away
At home the Panthers were 5-3 and covered five of eight; only three teams covered a higher share of home games, and three matched it. On the road they were 3-6 straight up and still covered five of nine.
Where the 10.42 units came from
A unit on Carolina to win, in each of the 16 games with a moneyline (the November game at San Francisco had none), ended 10.42 up. Was it spread across the year? No. November alone made 11.15 units from a 3-2 month: 16-13 at Green Bay at +600 as 13.5-point underdogs, 31-28 at home over the Los Angeles Rams at +425, and 30-27 at Atlanta at +190.
The other four months, added together, lost 0.73 units.
NFC South
Two wins over the Atlanta Falcons, both covered: 30-0 at home in September and the 30-27 November win. Against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a 23-20 home win and a 14-16 loss at Tampa Bay as 3-point underdogs, covered both times. Against the Saints, two losses and no covers. The season ended in January with a 31-34 Wild Card loss at home to the Rams.
The total
Ten of the 17 games went under. Only four NFL teams went under more often; two others matched it. Carolina scored 18.29 points a game, and 26 teams scored more.
Questions and answers
How much did the Panthers moneyline return in 2025?
10.42 units from 16 priced games, more than any other NFL team.
What was the Panthers’ longest-priced win in 2025?
16-13 at Green Bay on 2 November, at +600 as 13.5-point underdogs.
How did the Panthers do against the Saints in 2025?
They gave points in both games, lost both, 7-17 and 17-20, and covered neither.
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