Los Angeles Chargers

Inside the AFC West the Chargers covered five of six games in 2025; outside it, four of eleven. Every coming game, division or not, is listed above with its Chargers odds and our prediction.

A division team

An 11-6 regular season in 2025 came with a 9-8 record against the spread, and nine NFL teams covered more often. That record splits cleanly in two. Against the three AFC West opponents they went 5-1 straight up and 5-1 on the line. Against everyone else they were 6-5 and 4-7.

The Kansas City Chiefs were beaten twice, both times with the Chargers as underdogs: 27-21 in São Paulo at +150 and 16-13 in Kansas City at +210. Those two games returned 3.6 units. The Las Vegas Raiders lost both games to the Chargers, who covered each time. The Denver Broncos split, 23-20 at home in September and 19-3 in Denver in the last game, where the Chargers were 15.5-point underdogs at +950.

Underdogs five times

As underdogs the Chargers won four of five and covered four, a rate only two NFL teams beat. As favorites, twelve times, they won seven and covered five.

At home they covered five of eight; three teams had a better home rate and three others the same one. Away from home the figure was three covers in eight.

What a unit on the Chargers returned

Backing Los Angeles in its 16 priced games returned 2.56 units; eleven NFL teams did better. The five underdog games made 4.58. The eleven priced favorite games lost 2.02, and the three shortest-priced losses were all as favorites: 21-18 at the Giants at -270, 27-10 at home to the Commanders at -175 and 35-6 at the Jaguars at -145.

December was the best month: 3-1, three covers, 3.08 units. In January the Chargers lost the Wild Card game 16-3 at the New England Patriots.

The total

Ten unders and seven overs. Four teams finished under more often; two had the same rate. The Chargers allowed 20 points a game, with eight teams allowing fewer.

Questions and answers