Cleveland Browns

The Browns covered six of eight home games in 2025 and two of eight away, the widest gap between home and road cover rates in the NFL. Browns odds for each coming game, with our prediction, are above.

Cleveland and everywhere else

A 5-12 season came with 8 covers in 17 games, close to the league’s middle. Split by venue, it reads as two different records. At home the Browns covered six times in eight; only the Jacksonville Jaguars did better, and the Rams matched it. On the road they covered twice in eight, and only the Kansas City Chiefs did worse.

Three of the six home covers came in defeats: 17-16 to the Bengals, 23-16 to the Ravens and 23-20 to the Bills. Away, the only covers were the two road wins, 24-10 at the Raiders and 20-18 at the Bengals. The neutral-site game, in London, was a 21-17 loss to the Minnesota Vikings as 3.5-point underdogs.

Underdogs nearly every week

Cleveland was the underdog in 14 of 17 games. It went 4-10 in them straight up and 7-7 against the spread. As a favorite, three times, it won once and covered once.

The Browns scored 16.41 points a game, and only one NFL team scored fewer.

Backing Cleveland to win

Backing Cleveland to win in all 17 games lost 1.59 units. The underdog games alone lost 0.30 units, because the four wins came at long prices: +340, +320, +170 and +140. The longest of them was the last game of the season, 20-18 at the Bengals, worth 3.4 units.

From September to December every month went 1-3, and of those four only September finished in profit, by 0.2 units.

The AFC North

The division went better against the spread than the record: 2-4 straight up, 4-2 on the line. Both games against the Cincinnati Bengals covered and returned 2.4 units. A split with the Pittsburgh Steelers, 13-6 at home after a 23-9 loss on the road, brought one cover. Two losses to the Baltimore Ravens brought one more.

The total

Nine unders and eight overs: no lean.

Questions and answers