Tampa Bay Buccaneers Predictions: at Lions, Sun Nov 22 Skip to content
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Past Game Predictions Result

The Buccaneers covered the spread five times in 17 games in 2025, the lowest rate in the NFL, and not once after October. Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds still made them the favorite in ten games, and the prediction for each of this season’s Bucs games is above.

The fewest covers in the league

Tampa Bay went 8-9 and covered just five of 17 regular-season games. Every other NFL team covered more often. The last cover came on 26 October, a 23-3 win at New Orleans; the nine games after it all missed the number.

The Buccaneers 2025 regular season, game by game2025-09-07 at Atlanta Falcons 23-202025-09-15 at Houston Texans 20-192025-09-21 v New York Jets 29-272025-09-28 v Philadelphia Eagles 25-312025-10-05 at Seattle Seahawks 38-352025-10-12 v San Francisco 49ers 30-192025-10-20 at Detroit Lions 9-242025-10-26 at New Orleans Saints 23-32025-11-09 v New England Patriots 23-282025-11-16 at Buffalo Bills 32-442025-11-23 at Los Angeles Rams 7-342025-11-30 v Arizona Cardinals 20-172025-12-07 v New Orleans Saints 20-242025-12-11 v Atlanta Falcons 28-292025-12-21 at Carolina Panthers 20-232025-12-28 at Miami Dolphins 17-202026-01-03 v Carolina Panthers 16-14Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
8-9 in 17 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The straight-up record split the same way. The Bucs were 6-2 at the end of October, then 1-7 across November and December, before a 16-14 win over Carolina in the finale that still fell short of a 3-point spread.

Ten games as favorite, two covers

As favorites they went 5-5 and covered twice in ten. Among the 31 clubs that laid points at some point, 28 covered a bigger share and one the same. Getting points, they were 3-4 with three covers in seven.

The Buccaneers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (8)won 4 (50.0%)covered 1 of 8 (12.5%)Away (9)won 4 (44.4%)covered 4 of 9 (44.4%)Favorite (10)won 5 (50.0%)covered 2 of 10 (20.0%)Underdog (7)won 3 (42.9%)covered 3 of 7 (42.9%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

At home it was one cover in eight: 30-19 over San Francisco in October, laying 3.5. Thirty teams did better at home and one other did as badly. On the road, four covers in nine.

The moneyline, before and after October

One unit on Tampa Bay in each of the 16 priced games ended 3.05 down, with 19 NFL teams ahead. Through October it stood 3.30 up, helped by 38-35 at Seattle at +170 and 20-19 at Houston at +135. November and December then cost 7.00 units between them.

One unit on the Buccaneers to win, every game0-2+2-3.05 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 16 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Three of the December losses came at short prices: 20-24 at home to New Orleans at -425, 28-29 at home to Atlanta at -285, and 17-20 at Miami at -265.

NFC South

Three wins in six, each opponent split. The Atlanta Falcons: 23-20 at Atlanta in the opener, covered, and the one-point home loss in December. The New Orleans Saints: the October cover, then the December home loss. The Carolina Panthers: 20-23 at Carolina and the 16-14 finale, no covers. No postseason.

The total

Nine unders and eight overs, with no lean worth naming. Tampa Bay allowed 24.18 points a game and scored 22.35.

Questions and answers

How many times did the Buccaneers cover in 2025?

Five in 17 regular-season games, the fewest in the NFL.

When did the Buccaneers last cover in 2025?

On 26 October, 23-3 at New Orleans; they missed the spread in all nine games after it.

How often did Tampa Bay cover in home games in 2025?

Once in eight, the 30-19 win over San Francisco; only one team matched that home rate and none did worse.

Past Game Predictions Result

  1. Buccaneers at Bears · 8 NovNo bet
  2. Falcons at Buccaneers · 1 NovOver 43.5
  3. Buccaneers at Panthers · 25 OctNo bet
  4. Steelers at Buccaneers · 18 OctNo bet
  5. Buccaneers at Cowboys · 8 OctBuccaneers +8.5
  6. Packers at Buccaneers · 4 OctNo bet on Packers at Buccaneers.
  7. Vikings at Buccaneers · 27 SepBuccaneers +1.5.
  8. Browns at Buccaneers · 20 SepCleveland won 23-19 in Tampa.
  9. Buccaneers at Bengals · 13 SepThe Buccaneers vs Bengals recap was decided by possession value.

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