Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings were 4-8 at the end of November 2025, then won their last five games and covered four of them. Two upsets of Detroit at Vikings odds of +400 and +285 made more on the moneyline than the whole season did. The predictions for this year’s Vikings games sit above.

Two seasons in one

Through the first three months Minnesota went 4-8 straight up and beat the spread four times in 12. December was the reverse: four games, four wins, four covers. A 16-3 home win over Green Bay closed the regular season at 9-8, though laying 13.5 it missed the number.

Over all 17 games that comes to eight covers. Sixteen NFL teams covered more often and four others matched it, which puts the full season in the middle of the league.

Home field did not help

At home the Vikings went 4-4 and covered three of eight; 24 teams had a better home rate, four the same. On the road: 4-3, four covers in seven. Two more games were at neutral sites: 21-24 against Pittsburgh, 21-17 against Cleveland.

As favorites they were 5-3 and covered half of eight. As underdogs, 4-5 with four covers in nine.

Where the units came from

One unit on Minnesota in each of the 16 priced games finished 5.68 ahead. Four NFL teams did better. How much of it was Detroit? All of it and more: 27-24 at Detroit in November at +400, then 23-10 at home on Christmas Day at +285, 6.85 units from two games.

Through November the Vikings were 1.00 unit down; December alone made 6.55. The eight priced games as underdog returned 5.91, the eight as favorite lost 0.23.

NFC North

Four wins in six. Both games against the Detroit Lions won and covered. Against the Chicago Bears, a 27-24 win at Chicago as 1.5-point underdogs and a 17-19 loss at home laying 3, one cover. Against the Green Bay Packers, 6-23 at Green Bay and the 16-3 finale, no covers. No postseason.

The total

Eight overs, nine unders: no real lean in either direction. Minnesota allowed 19.59 points a game; only six teams allowed fewer.

Questions and answers