Buffalo Bills

The Bills won 12 of their 17 games in 2025, and one unit on them to win every priced game still finished 0.2 units down. Buffalo Bills odds had them favored in 15 games and they covered in six, so our Bills predictions watch the spread first.

Winning without paying

Buffalo went 12-5 in the 2025 regular season and 8-9 against the spread. Only three NFL teams scored more points per game; one scored the same. Watch the price: the Bills were favored in 15 of their 17 games.

September was four wins from four, and only two of them covered. The two that missed carried the biggest numbers of the year: a 31-21 win over the Dolphins while giving 11.5, and 31-19 over the Saints while giving 14.5. October was the low point, 1-2 with one cover.

Favored fifteen times

As favorites the Bills went 10-5 and covered six of 15. Eighteen teams covered at a better rate when favored. They were underdogs twice, both at home, and won both: 41-40 over the Ravens at even money and 28-21 over the Chiefs at +119.

Home and road looked alike against the number: four covers in nine at home, four in eight away.

Backing Buffalo to win

Sixteen of the 17 games had a moneyline. One unit on the Bills in each of them ended 0.2 units down, and the venue split it: 1.31 up at home, 1.51 down on the road. The short-priced losses did the damage, 30-13 at Miami at -500 and 23-19 at Houston at -245, with a 23-20 home loss to the Patriots at -425 between them.

The AFC East

Two wins over the New York Jets, both covered. A split with the New England Patriots, with one cover. A split with the Miami Dolphins as well, and no cover in either game. In January the Bills won 27-24 in Jacksonville in the Wild Card round, then lost 33-30 in Denver in the Divisional round.

The total

Over nine times, under eight. Fourteen teams went over more often, so Buffalo gave the total nothing to lean on.

Questions and answers