Take the over 39.5. What Houston and Tennessee scored and allowed last season adds up to 43 points, and every book has 39.5.

Houston Texans
Upcoming games
The Texans lost their first three games of 2025, then won 12 of their last 14, the final nine in a row. Houston Texans odds and our Texans predictions also keep an eye on the total, which went under in 10 of their 16 games with one posted.
From 0-3 to 12-5
Houston opened the 2025 regular season with three losses, to the Rams, the Buccaneers and the Jaguars, by five, one and seven points. None of the three covered. Then the Texans won 12 of 14, and the last nine came in a row, from November 9 to January 4.
Against the spread the year was ordinary: nine covers in 17, with nine teams better and three level. Only one team allowed fewer points per game than Houston’s 17.35.
When they got points
As underdogs the Texans went 4-3 and covered four of seven. Two of those wins came at long prices: 23-19 at home over the Bills at +205, and 20-10 in Kansas City at +180. As favorites they were 8-2 and covered five of ten.
At home they covered five of nine; on the road, four of eight.
Backing Houston every week
One unit on the Texans in each of their 16 priced games returned 2.97 units; ten teams did better. September cost 2.76 of it. October through the regular-season finale made 5.74, and December alone, 4-0, made 3.01.
The AFC South
Both games against the Indianapolis Colts won, one covered. Both against the Tennessee Titans won, one covered, the first of them 26-0. A split with the Jacksonville Jaguars: a 17-10 loss in Jacksonville, a 36-29 win at home. 5-1 in the division. In January, a 30-6 Wild Card win in Pittsburgh, then a 28-16 Divisional loss at the Patriots.
The total
This is the lean. Texans games went under 10 times and over six; one game, at the Colts on November 30, had no total. Only two NFL teams went under at a higher rate, and one matched it.
Questions and answers
How often did Texans games go under the total in 2025?
In 10 of the 16 games with a posted total. Two teams went under more often.
How long was the Texans’ winning streak?
Nine games, from November 9 to the regular-season finale on January 4.
Did the Texans pay as underdogs?
They won four of seven, including 23-19 over the Bills at +205 and 20-10 at the Chiefs at +180.
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