Atlanta Falcons

Getting points in 2025, the Falcons covered six times in eight; giving them, twice in nine. Only four NFL teams covered more often as underdogs; the Falcons odds and our prediction for each coming game are listed above.

Two teams, depending on the line

An 8-9 regular season in 2025 came with 8 covers in 17 games, a rate in the middle of the league. The split underneath it was not. As underdogs Atlanta covered six of eight, a rate only four NFL teams beat. As favorites it covered two of nine, and only four teams did worse.

The straight-up record followed the same line. Five wins in eight games as the underdog; three in nine as the favorite. The shortest-priced loss of the year was a 34-10 home defeat to the Miami Dolphins at -340.

Home, road and Berlin

At home the Falcons covered three of eight. On the road they covered five of eight, and only five teams had a better road rate. The ninth game, in Berlin, was a 31-25 loss to the Indianapolis Colts as 5.5-point underdogs.

One unit on the Falcons, every game

A unit on Atlanta in all 16 games that carried a moneyline returned 3.36 units, and eight NFL teams did better. The underdog games made all of it and more: 6.45 units from eight, against 3.09 lost in eight as favorites.

December carried the year at 3-1, with three covers and 4.95 units. The two longest prices that won both came in it: 29-28 at the Buccaneers at +230, and a 27-24 home win over the Los Angeles Rams at +295. A 19-17 win over the Saints on 4 January made four straight to close. November had gone 1-4 and lost 1.95 units.

The NFC South

The division went 3-3. The Carolina Panthers won both meetings, 30-0 in Carolina and 30-27 at home, and the Falcons were 4.5-point favorites in each. Two wins over the New Orleans Saints brought one cover, and a split with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers brought another.

The total

Nine overs and eight unders in 2025: no lean.

Questions and answers