New Orleans Saints Odds and Predictions, Spread and Total Skip to content
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New Orleans Saints

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Saints games went under the total 12 times in 17 in 2025, and only one NFL team stayed under more often. December brought four wins and four covers, and our Saints odds and predictions for every New Orleans game are above.

2-10, then four straight

New Orleans finished 6-11, covering 8 of the 16 games with a posted spread; the 17-21 loss at Miami had no line. Through the end of November they were 2-10, with three covers in 11 priced spreads.

The Saints 2025 regular season, game by game2025-09-07 v Arizona Cardinals 13-202025-09-14 v San Francisco 49ers 21-262025-09-21 at Seattle Seahawks 13-442025-09-28 at Buffalo Bills 19-312025-10-05 v New York Giants 26-142025-10-12 v New England Patriots 19-252025-10-19 at Chicago Bears 14-262025-10-26 v Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3-232025-11-02 at Los Angeles Rams 10-342025-11-09 at Carolina Panthers 17-72025-11-23 v Atlanta Falcons 10-242025-11-30 at Miami Dolphins 17-212025-12-07 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24-202025-12-14 v Carolina Panthers 20-172025-12-21 v New York Jets 29-62025-12-28 at Tennessee Titans 34-262026-01-04 at Atlanta Falcons 17-19Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
6-11 in 17 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

December was four wins and four covers: 24-20 at Tampa Bay, 20-17 over Carolina, 29-6 over the Jets and 34-26 at Tennessee. The 17-19 loss at Atlanta that closed the season still covered, so the Saints covered their last five priced games.

Better away, and as favorites

Away: 3-6 straight up, five covers in eight; only five NFL teams covered more often on the road, four matched. Home: 3-5, three covers in eight. Favored four times, they went 3-1 with three covers, a rate one NFL team beat. As underdogs, 3-9 and five covers in 12.

The Saints at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (8)won 3 (37.5%)covered 3 of 8 (37.5%)Away (9)won 3 (33.3%)covered 5 of 8 (62.5%)Favorite (4)won 3 (75.0%)covered 3 of 4 (75.0%)Underdog (12)won 3 (25.0%)covered 5 of 12 (41.7%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Backing New Orleans every week

One unit on the Saints in every priced game was 6.19 units down at the end of November. December made 5.76 of it back, led by the 24-20 win at Tampa Bay at +330, their longest winning price of the year. The season closed 1.43 units down over 16 priced games, 16 NFL teams better. Away games made 1.31; home games lost 2.74. The four priced games as favorites made 0.93.

One unit on the Saints to win, every game0-6-4-2-1.43 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 16 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The NFC South

A sweep of the Carolina Panthers, both covered and 3.34 units won: 17-7 at Carolina at +210, then 20-17 at home. A split with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a 3-23 home loss and the 24-20 win. Two losses to the Atlanta Falcons, one covered.

Unders

Twelve unders, five overs. Eight straight games went under from 5 October to 30 November, and only one NFL team finished with a higher under rate. New Orleans scored 18.0 points a game; 27 NFL teams scored more.

Questions and answers

Do Saints games go under the total?

In 2025, 12 of 17 did; only one NFL team had a higher under rate.

What did the Saints do in December 2025?

Won all four and covered all four, for 5.76 units, then lost 17-19 at Atlanta and covered again.

Did the Saints beat the Panthers in 2025?

Twice, and covered both: 17-7 at Carolina at +210 and 20-17 at home.

Past games

  1. Saints at Giants · 18 OctNo bet
  2. Vikings at Saints · 11 OctNo bet
  3. Falcons at Saints · 5 OctTake the under 47.5 in Falcons at Saints.
  4. Raiders at Saints · 27 SepGive me the under 43.5, and nothing else on this game.
  5. Saints at Ravens · 20 SepNew Orleans won 24-17 in Baltimore.
  6. Saints at Lions · 13 SepThe Lions vs Saints recap produced the clearest distinction between winning a football game and covering a spread.

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