The Carolina Panthers are the NFC South favorite at +134 on DraftKings, as ESPN listed the market on October 12, 2026. The Atlanta Falcons are +175, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers +500 and the New Orleans Saints +650.
No team in the division has a winning record. Carolina leads at 2-2, Atlanta is 2-3, and Tampa Bay and New Orleans are both 1-4. Only two of the 12 division games have been played.
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NFC South odds
| Team | Price | Implied chance | Share with the margin removed | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Panthers | +134 | 42.7% | 39.2% | 2-2 |
| Atlanta Falcons | +175 | 36.4% | 33.3% | 2-3 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +500 | 16.7% | 15.3% | 1-4 |
| New Orleans Saints | +650 | 13.3% | 12.2% | 1-4 |
These are DraftKings’ prices to win the NFC South, read from ESPN at 10:22 UTC on October 12, 2026, beside each team’s record in ESPN’s standings.
Every price here is a plus price, so the break-even rate is 100 divided by the price plus 100. Carolina’s +134 works out to 100 over 234, or 42.7%, which means the favorite is priced to miss the title more often than it wins it. Atlanta’s +175 needs 36.4%.
Added together the four rates come to 109.1%. The 9.1 points above 100 are the book’s margin. Strip that out and the market gives Carolina 39.2%, Atlanta 33.3%, Tampa Bay 15.3% and New Orleans 12.2%.
We name no NFC South pick. A bet on any of the four makes sense only for someone who rates that team’s chance higher than the rate its price needs. Our futures bet guide covers how these bets are settled.
NFC South standings
| Team | Record | Division | Conference | Points for | Points against | Difference | Games behind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Panthers | 2-2 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 121 | 109 | +12 | – |
| Atlanta Falcons | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 119 | 122 | -3 | 0.5 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 100 | 112 | -12 | 1.5 |
| New Orleans Saints | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 118 | 151 | -33 | 1.5 |
ESPN’s standings after the games of October 11, 2026. Carolina had its bye in Week 5 and has played four games. The other three have played five.
Carolina is the only one of the four that has scored more than it has allowed, 121 points to 109. Atlanta is three points under. New Orleans has given up 151, the most in the division, and has lost three in a row.
Next game for each NFC South team
| Game | Kickoff | Spread | Moneyline | Total | Our page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers at Eagles | Sun, October 18, 1:00 pm ET | Eagles -1.5 (-105), Panthers +1.5 (-115) | Eagles -118, Panthers -102 | Over 42.5 (-105), Under 42.5 (-115) | Panthers at Eagles prediction |
| Bears at Falcons | Sun, October 18, 1:00 pm ET | Falcons +3 (-102), Bears -3 (-118) | Falcons +145, Bears -175 | Over 47.5 (-110), Under 47.5 (-110) | |
| Steelers at Buccaneers | Sun, October 18, 1:00 pm ET | Buccaneers +3 (-118), Steelers -3 (-102) | Buccaneers +130, Steelers -155 | Over 40.5 (-110), Under 40.5 (-110) | |
| Saints at Giants | Sun, October 18, 1:00 pm ET | Giants +1.5 (-122), Saints -1.5 (+102) | Giants -108, Saints -112 | Over 45.5 (-105), Under 45.5 (-115) | Saints at Giants prediction |
DraftKings lines from ESPN at 10:22 UTC on October 12, 2026. All four teams play outside the division on October 18.
NFC South games still to play
| Week | Game | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Buccaneers at Panthers | Sun, October 25, 1:00 pm ET |
| 8 | Falcons at Buccaneers | Sun, November 1, 1:00 pm ET |
| 10 | Panthers at Saints | Sun, November 15, 1:00 pm ET |
| 12 | Panthers at Buccaneers | Mon, November 30, 8:15 pm ET |
| 14 | Saints at Panthers | Sun, December 13, 1:00 pm ET |
| 15 | Saints at Buccaneers | Sun, December 20, 1:00 pm ET |
| 16 | Buccaneers at Falcons | December 27, time not set |
| 17 | Saints at Falcons | Sun, January 3, 1:00 pm ET |
| 18 | Falcons at Panthers | January 10, time not set |
| 18 | Buccaneers at Saints | January 10, time not set |
The Week 16 game and the two in Week 18 have a date on ESPN’s schedule and no kickoff time.
Ten division games are left. Tampa Bay has not played one yet: all six of its division games are ahead, three of them at home, starting at Carolina on October 25. Carolina and New Orleans have five left each and Atlanta has four.
The two already played:
| Week | Date | Game | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | September 20 | Panthers at Falcons | Panthers 34, Falcons 3 |
| 4 | October 5 | Falcons at Saints | Falcons 45, Saints 24 |
Carolina’s one division game so far was the 34-3 win in Atlanta. The Falcons scored 45 in New Orleans on October 5, and they do not see the Panthers again until Week 18.
What the four prices need
Carolina, +134. $100 returns $134 in winnings, and the bet needs the Panthers to win the division 42.7% of the time. They have the division’s only positive point difference and three of their five remaining division games at home.
Atlanta, +175. $100 wins $175 and needs 36.4%. The Falcons are half a game behind and 1-1 inside the division, with the 31-point loss to Carolina on one side and the 21-point win at New Orleans on the other.
Tampa Bay, +500. $100 wins $500 and needs 16.7%. The Buccaneers are 1-4, a game and a half back, with every division game still in front of them.
New Orleans, +650. $100 wins $650 and needs 13.3%. The Saints have the same record as Tampa Bay and have already lost at home to Atlanta.
How the NFC South finished last season
| Team | Record | Division | Points for | Points against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Panthers | 8-9 | 3-3 | 311 | 380 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8-9 | 3-3 | 380 | 411 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 8-9 | 3-3 | 353 | 401 |
| New Orleans Saints | 6-11 | 3-3 | 306 | 383 |
Carolina took the division at 8-9 and was the NFC’s fourth seed. Tampa Bay and Atlanta also finished 8-9, and New Orleans was 6-11. All four went 3-3 against the other three, and all four were outscored over the season.
Related NFL odds pages
Team pages with each club’s games and our predictions: Carolina Panthers, Atlanta Falcons, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, New Orleans Saints.
The NFC South winner enters the playoff field covered on our NFC Championship odds and Super Bowl odds pages. The NFL picks and predictions hub lists every game we cover.