On Sunday, June 8, NASCAR’s Cup Series returns to Michigan International Speedway for the FireKeepers Casino 400. This weekend’s event marks the 15^th race of the 2025 Cup Series Season.

All three of NASCAR’s top national series are coming off an exciting weekend at Nashville Superspeedway. If you missed the NASCAR results for the Cracker Barrel 400, Ryan Blaney woke up from his 2025 slumber and took the checkered flag at Nashville.

Blaney is one of the odds-on favorites to win this weekend’s Firekeepers Casino 400. It’s no surprise considering that Michigan International Speedway (MIS) is considered the home track for Ford.

The 2023 Cup champ joins the usual cast of characters with Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson, Tyler Reddick, William Byron, and Christopher Bell as the top NASCAR betting favorites.

With that said, let’s take a look at the latest NASCAR Michigan odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our Firekeepers Casino 400 predictions for this weekend’s Michigan NASCAR Cup Series race.

Firekeepers Casino 400 Race Profile

The NASCAR Cup Series has been racing at Michigan International Speedway (MIS) since 1969. For over 50 years, the Cup Series raced twice each season (June and August) at this track.

However, in 2021, the June race was dropped due to realignment as the sport added other tracks to its annual calendar. Recently, NASCAR decided to return the Michigan Cup race back to June where we see it take place this weekend.

The MIS is a D-shaped oval track with an asphalt surface and a lap length of two miles, which makes it fall into the category of an intermediate track (1-2 miles in lap length). The four turns have banking of 18 degrees, while the frontstretch has 12 degrees banking and the backstretch has 5 degrees banking.

Sunday’s Firekeepers Casino 400 breaks down as follows:

• Total Miles: 400 miles
• Total Laps: 200 laps
• Stage 1: 45 laps
• Stage 2: 75 laps
• Final Stage: 80 laps

The Firekeepers Casino 400 begins at 2pm ET on Amazon Prime.

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Recent Firekeepers Casino 400 Winners

Kevin Harvick holds the record for the most Firekeepers Casino 400 wins with six. He’s one of two drivers, the other being Bill Elliott, to win three consecutive races at this venue. Of active drivers, Kyle Larson has the most wins in this race with two:

The following is a list of recent Firekeepers Casino 400 winners. 

• 2024: Tyler Reddick
• 2023: Chris Buescher
• 2022: Kevin Harvick
• 2021: Ryan Blaney
• 2020: Kevin Harvick
• 2019: Kevin Harvick
• 2018: Kevin Harvick
• 2017: Kyle Larson
• 2016: Kyle Larson
• 2015: Matt Kenseth

RFK Racing holds the mark for the most wins in this race with eight. Ford holds the record for the most wins in this race with 24.

Who Won the Michigan Race?

Tyler Reddick won the 2024 Firekeepers Casino 400 race at Michigan. He held of William Byron to take the checkered flag by .168 seconds. Reddick took the lead from Byron on lap 205 and led for the final four miles around the speedway.

Firekeepers Casino 400 Betting Odds

Check out the latest Firekeepers Casino 400 odds:

Firekeepers Casino 400 Favorites

The following drivers are considered by oddsmakers to be the odds-on favorites to win the Firekeepers Casino 400:

Denny Hamlin +500          

• Driver Standings: 4
• Wins: 2
• Top 5: 6
• Top 10: 7

Last weekend, Denny Hamlin snapped a four race stretch of finishing outside of the Top 15, to score a third-place finish at Nashville. He had one of the best cars for most of the night, but faltered on a late pitstop and could not catch back up to the leaders.

The win bumped Hamlin up to fourth in the Cup Series driver standings where he’s poised to make another move up after Michigan this weekend.

In 34 MIS appearances, Hamlin has two wins, 12 Top 5s, 19 Top 10s and a 12.2 average finish which is 4^th best among full-time Cup drivers.

Furthermore, Hamlin has 10 Top 10s in the last 13 MIS races. Over that span, he’s finished 16^th or better and has led laps in nine of those events. Hamlin has seven straight Top 9 finishes and four Top 5s in the last five MIS starts.

Although he hasn’t won since 2011 at MIS, Hamlin is definitely a Top 5 car with a race-winning ceiling.

Kyle Larson +550

• Driver Standings: 2
• Wins: 3
• Top 5: 8
• Top 10: 10

Kyle Larson shook off a disappointing run in the Coca-Cola 600 to finish 8^th at Nashville last weekend. It was his 5^th Top 8 finish in the last six Cup races.

At Michigan, Larson has three wins, seven Top 5s, nine Top 10s, and a 12.4 average finish which is 5^th best among full-time Cup drivers.

Larson last won at MIS in 2017, when he swept both races. Last year, he crashed after leading 41 of the first 115 laps. The DNF snapped a four-race streak of finishing seventh or better, which also included two Top 3s and three Top 5s.

I like for Larson to keep that Top 7 trend going. I wouldn’t be surprised if he challenged Hamlin and others for the win.

Tyler Reddick +700           

• Driver Standings: 6
• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 3
• Top 10: 5

Speaking of winning at Michigan, Tyler Reddick is the defending winner of this race. Yet, don’t let that victory trick you into believing he’s a real threat to repeat this weekend.

Prior to that victory, Reddick never finished higher than 18^th in five previous tries. He had a streak of four results of 24^th or worse, which was snapped with the win last year.

On the season, Reddick has five finishes of 14^th or worse. He ended up 9^th at Nashville last weekend, which snapped that stretch.

Personally, I am fading Reddick this weekend for his race-winning odds. I think he’s a Top 10 driver at best.

William Byron +800

• Driver Standings: 1
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 7
• Top 10: 9

William Byron enters this weekend’s Michigan race fresh off a 5^th place result at Nashville last weekend. It was his second straight Top 5 result and fourth in the last seven Cup races.

Ironically, Byron also finished 2^nd in last year’s Michigan race. It was a nice bounce back from a DNF in the 2023 edition of this event.

In 10 MIS starts, Byron has two Top 5s, three Top 10s and a 15.2 average finish. Although he has decent numbers, Byron has yet to win at this track. However, he also finished 2^nd in 2021. So, the #24 car can run well, but not beat the top drivers of the day.

I like for Byron to be a Top 10 car with a Top 5 ceiling on Sunday.

Ryan Blaney +850 

• Driver Standings: 7
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 6
• Top 10: 7

As soon as I typed to fade Ryan Blaney last weekend in Nashville, I had this feeling come over me that he would make me eat my words. Well, Blaney served up my words with some whipped cream and chocolate syrup as he took the checkered flag.

Up until late April, I had declared Blaney as a lame duck to avoid until winning a race. Well, now that he’s won and qualified for the NASCAR Playoffs, I believe that the #12 car could be a factor in most races moving forward. The 2023 Cup Series champ has regained his mojo and established some momentum moving forward.

In the last seven Cup races, Blaney has five Top 5s and two DNFs. The stark contrast of results has me thinking that the #12 car could be a contender this weekend in Michigan, where his Ford would love to get into victory lane.

Blaney won here in 2021, and has five Top 5s, eight Top 10s, and a 14.4 average finish in 16 MIS starts. He finished 18^th last year, which snapped a three-race streak of Top 9 results.

I see Blaney being a Top 9 car with a race-winning ceiling.

Christopher Bell +1200

• Driver Standings: 3
• Wins: 3
• Top 5: 6
• Top 10: 10

Although he hasn’t won a race in over two months, Christopher Bell is still racing at a high level and producing strong results. Over the last eight Cup races, Bell has three Top 5s and seven Top 10s. A DNF crash at Talladega is his lone blemish over that span.

Unfortunately, Bell’s Michigan resume is ugly at best. In six MIS starts, Bell has yet to crack the Top 10 and tallied two DNFs in his last three appearances.

The #20 car is a Top 10 driver at best on Sunday. More than likely, he finishes 13^th to 20^th.

The Best Firekeepers Casino 400 Betting Value

The following drivers are my NASCAR picks for the best betting value in the Firekeepers Casino 400 based on their previous success at the Michigan International Speedway:

Chase Elliott +1400

• Driver Standings: 5
• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 3
• Top 10: 7

Chase Elliott remains the most consistent driver to have not won this season as of yet. In 14 starts, Elliott has seven Top 10s (50% rate) and an 11.5 average finish. He’s finished 20^th or better in every race and has not scored a DNF.

Elliott has four finishes of 15^th or 16^th in the last six Cup races. In-between those results, he had a 5^th at Talladega and 6^th at Charlotte two weeks ago.

I see another one of those Top 6 results for Elliott this weekend in Michigan. In 14 MIS starts, Elliott has three Top 5s, 10 Top 10s, and a 10.5 average finish which is the second best among full-time Cup Series drivers.

His lone DNF did come in 2023 due to a crash early in the race. Last year, Elliott finished 15^th and led 29 laps.

Elliott is a Top 10 machine at this track and I like that trend to continue. However, I think he has a decent shot at cracking the Top 6 as well. Elliott’s race-winning odds offer value, as does his Top 5 line of +220 odds.

Joey Logano +1400

• Driver Standings: 8
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 2
• Top 10: 4

The winner of last year’s Cup Series Championship, Joey Logano has found his typical racing form and has turned his season around.

Logano won the Wurth 400 in Texas over a month ago and has three Top 9s in the last four races. Even with his 17^th at Charlotte two weeks ago, Logano still has a 7.7 average finish over the last four Cup events. That doesn’t include his runner-up result for the All-Star Race either.

Like Blaney, Logano is one of the top Ford drivers each week and he would love to return to victory lane at Michigan for a fourth time in his career.

In 28 MIS starts, Logano has three wins, eight Top 5s, 18 Top 10s, a 13.0 average finish and three DNFs. Two of those DNFs came in the last four races at this track.

Logano las won at Michigan in 2019. His last high finish came in 2022, where he came in fourth overall. I see Logano’s ceiling as a Top 5 finish due to his bumpy results over the last four appearances at this track.

Like Elliott, Logano offers value with his race winning odds. However, I like his Top 5 (+250) odds better. Even his Top 10 line (-150) offers small value as well.

Carson Hocevar +1400

• Driver Standings: 17
• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 2
• Top 10: 3

Let me make this clear, I picked Carson Hocevar for this section because I am declaring my fandom for the young driver. I love his attitude on the track. He’s a throwback driver who is not afraid to bump someone out of the way.

And, if you watched the Earnhardt series on Amazon Prime over the last week, then you would see how one of the greatest of all-time was well-known for his aggressiveness.

Now, I’m not saying that Hocevar is the next Earnhardt. What I’m saying, in an era where sponsors and officials want to tone down the aggressiveness and have a sterilized passive sport, we need more drivers like Hocevar. There’s nothing wrong with a little bump and spin out.

Last weekend, Hocevar irritated a few drivers on his way to a runner-up result. At Michigan, the #77 car finished 10^th in his lone Cup start.

Hocevar’s race-winning odds have no value based on his season’s results. With that said, sit back, get your popcorn ready, and watch the youngster ruffle feathers and bumpers.

The Top Firekeepers Casino 400 Longshot

Ty Gibbs +4000 is my pick as the top longshot for the Firekeepers Casino 400. In three starts at Michigan, Gibbs has one Top 5, two Top 10s, three Top 11s, and an 8.0 average finish which is the best among the field. Gibbs was third last year in this race and has led a few laps in each of his three MIS starts.

With less than half of the regular season remaining, it’s now or never for Gibbs to start turning things around. His best result on the season was third at Bristol nearly two months ago. He’s tallied four straight finishes of 23^rd or worse.

However, Michigan is a track where he’s figured out how to run strong at and I think he can score a solid result. Gibbs Top 10 odds of +220 offers plenty of value as well.

Firekeepers Casino 400 Predictions

As you can see from the Michigan NASCAR odds, the sportsbooks feel that up to nine drivers have a realistic shot at winning: Hamlin, Larson, Reddick, Byron, Blaney, Bell, Elliott, Hocevar and Logano.

With that said, let’s start dwindling down that list. Right off the bat, we can eliminate Reddick and Bell as their overall numbers at MIS are subpar at best despite Reddick winning here last year. Byron and Hocevar haven’t won at MIS either, and won’t this weekend.

So, we’re now down to Hamlin, Larson, Elliott, Blaney and Logano. I think this could be the Top 5 finishers on Sunday, but we have to pick a winner from this group.

Hamlin has run well at MIS, but hasn’t won since 2011. Elliott is also one of the most consistent drivers at this track but hasn’t won in 14 Michigan starts. I think the checkered flag comes down to Larson, Logano and Blaney.

Ford has won six of the last seven of these Michigan races. It’s their home track and they take extra pride in dominating the race. As much as I would like to take my favorite driver Larson to win, I think the victory goes to a Ford. Flip a coin and pick Blaney or Logano.

Sure, another Ford team like RFK Racing (Buescher, Preece) could win this race; however, the Michigan NASCAR odds lean towards Team Penske taking the checkered flag.  

I flipped a coin and it landed on Blaney to win. So, Mr. Blaney, don’t let me down!

Bet: Ryan Blaney (+850)

NASCAR Firekeepers Casino 400 Prop Bets

Let’s tale a look at some of the best Firekeepers Casino 400 prop bets:

The Best Top 5 Bet for the Firekeepers Casino 400

Ryan Blaney (+150) is not only my race winner, due to a coin flip, but he’s also my pick for the best Top 5 bet based on his results and odds.

Hamlin at -110 to finish in the Top 5 is my other choice. Blaney has an 8.25 average finish over his last four MIS starts, which includes a win in 2021, and two Top 5s over that span.

He won last weekend in Nashville and has five Top 5s in the last seven Cup races. Even if he fails to enter victory lane on Sunday, I still see the #12 car finishing in the Top 5.

Bet: Ryan Blaney (+150)

The Best Top 10 Bet for the Firekeepers Casino 400

Chase Elliott (-150) is my choice for the best Top 10 finish, as I hinted at earlier. Elliott has 10 Top 10s in 14 starts which is a 71.4% Top 10 finishing rate. He’s also tallied a 10.5 average finish at this track. Furthermore, Elliott has an 11.5 average finish on the season and has finished every race.

Bet: Chase Elliott (-150)

Winning Manufacturer

• Chevrolet (+125)
• Toyota (+175)
• Ford (+275)

When a manufacturer wins six out of the last seven races, and has dominated historically with 24 wins in 55 editions of this race, then you would be silly to look elsewhere. Yes, I’m talking about Ford (+275) for this prop bet. Chevy has 11 wins and Toyota has four wins in this event. It’s not even close!

Bet: Ford (+275)

Team of Race Winner

• Hendrick Motorsports (+200)
• Joe Gibbs Racing (+250)
• Team Penske (+500)
• 23XI Racing (+600)
• RFK Racing (+800)
• Spire Motorsports (+1200)
• Trackhouse Racing (+1500)
• Richard Childress Racing (+1800)

You can play this prop bet two ways: double down on a Ford team or pick the top team of another manufacturer. For Chevy, Hendrick Motorsports is the top team. For Toyota, Joe Gibbs Racing is the top team.

I think Team Penske (Blaney, Logano, Austin Cindric) will win the race. However, let’s get creative here and double down on Ford by taking the second-best Ford team right now – RFK Racing.

That option includes Buescher who won this race in 2023 and currently sits 14^th in the standings, along with Ryan Preece who sits 16^th in the standings and was 11^th in this race last year.

Bet: RFK Racing (+800)