2021 BMW PGA Championship Odds and Predictions

The BMW PGA Championship is set for this week in England as the PGA Tour and European Tour wind things up before the Ryder Cup. The clear favorite heading into the opening round at the historic Wentworth club is Viktor Hovland at +900. He’s the only player under the +1000 mark with Tyrrell Hatton at +1400.

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Hatton won the BMW PGA Championship last year by four strokes over Victor Perez and by five strokes over Patrick Reed who finished 14 under for the week. Reed is not playing this year following a recent bout with pneumonia and a 25th place finish last week in Atlanta.

Hovland is coming off a T5 finish at Eastlake in Atlanta and a PGA Tour season that has him finishing the year with a win and eleven finishes inside the top ten. Here are the favorites through +2000 to win the 2021 BMW PGA Championship outright according to Intertops.

Viktor Hovland +900

Tyrrell Hatton +1400

Shane Lowry +1600

Tommy Fleetwood +1800

Matt Fitzpatrick +2000

This tournament has not ended with a playoff since 2013. Since then, the average winning score has been 2.7 strokes with 6 being the highest and two finishes with a one-stroke victory.

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2021 BMW PGA Championship Preview

Where: Virginia Water, Surrey, England

Course: Wentworth Club

Format: Stroke Play

Par: 72

Length: 7,302

When: Sept 2-5, 2021

TV Coverage: Golf Channel

Purse: $8 Million (US)

Wentworth is a classic European course but with a few more trees. Don’t expect the whispy brown grass you’re used to seeing during the Open Championship. Wentworth makes full use of the trees and water on the course which is a bit short compared to general PGA and European Tour courses.

That does not mean it is any easier – while players don’t have to hit the longball every time there are still plenty of ways to get into trouble on a course with par-five holes ranging around 555 yards.

“I think it’s a great golf course,” Jon Rahm stated. “That’s why I love coming back to Europe to play these traditional-style golf courses, where they are not long, on paper, ideally, they are not overly complicated but things can get difficult for a player real quick. They make you think about it. You can be as aggressive or as conservative as you want off the tee and make it fun that way.”

The course was recently renovated by Ernie Els and originally designed by Harry Colt. The greens are undulating with creeping Bentgrass. There may be some rain during the event but the course features sub-air systems under the greens so that won’t be a problem if things get a bit moist.

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2021 BMW PGA Championship Picks

Viktor Hovland +900

The former Oklahoma State player from Norway has been nothing short of amazing since hitting the PGA Tour in 2019. This year he’s climbed to the No. 14 spot on the Official World Golf Rankings and is 5th in the FedEx Cup rankings. Two years ago here he posted for rounds of 70 or better. Last week he was T5 at East Lake in Atlanta for the Tour Championship.

Tommy Fleetwood +1800

Tommy Fleetwood was T2 at the Italian Open last week and ended his season on the PGA Tour this year with only two finishes inside the top ten. That means he’ll have to earn his Tour card back but he’s already locked up a spot on the European Ryder Cup team.

Ian Poulter +2800

Ian Poulter finished 5th last year at this event and is most certainly hoping his short game is tuned in. Poulter finished the St. Jude Invitational WGC event T10 and scored a T3 earlier this year at the Charles Schwab Challenge. Poulter is great when it comes to his short game which will be important this week.

Others: Don’t discount Tyrell Hatton (+1400) too much. Hatton plays well at Wentworth and if his short game is kicking then he should be near the top of the leaderboard on Sunday. Justin Rose (+3300) pulled out a T10 at the Wyndham Championship after a three-tournament swing of being outside the top-thirty. His game is suited for Wentworth.

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2021 BMW PGA Championship Betting Lines

Viktor Hovland +900

Tyrrell Hatton +1400

Shane Lowry +1600

Tommy Fleetwood +1800

Matt Fitzpatrick +2000

Billy Horschel +2200

Adam Scott +2500

Alex Noren +2500

Ian Poulter +2800

Justin Rose +3300

Lee Westwood +3300

Christiaan Bezuidenhout +3300

Henrik Stenson +4000

Branden Grace +4000

Bernd Wiesberger +4000

Guido Migliozzi +4500

Robert Macintyre +4500

Rasmus Hojgaard +5000

Francesco Molinari +5500

Victor Perez +5500

Calum Hill +6000

Richard Bland +6000

Matthias Schwab +6600

Sean Crocker +6600

Antoine Rozner +6600

Sam Horsfield +6600

Min Woo Lee +6600

Martin Kaymer +6600

Andy Sullivan +6600

Matt Wallace +6600

Garrick Higgo +6600

Johannes Veerman +7000

Masahiro Kawamura +7000

Dean Burmester +7000

Thomas Pieters +7500

Thomas Detry +7500

Aaron Rai +7500

Danny Willett +7500

Adrian Meronk +8000

Jordan Smith +8000

Joost Luiten +8000

Mikko Korhonen +8000

Justin Harding +8000

John Catlin +8000

Andrew Johnston +9000

Nicolai Hojgaard +10000

Matthew Jordan +10000

Ryan Fox +10000

Marcus Armitage +10000

Rafael Cabrera Bello +10000

Alexander Levy +10000

Richie Ramsay +12500

Daniel Van Tonder +12500

Edoardo Molinari +12500

Victor Dubuisson +12500

Kalle Samooja +12500

Alexander Bjork +12500

Shubhankar Sharma +12500

Adri Arnaus +12500

George Coetzee +15000

Tom Lewis +15000

Jamie Donaldson +15000

Renato Paratore +15000

Adrian Otaegui +15000

Eddie Pepperell +15000

Kurt Kitayama +15000

Nicolas Colsaerts +17500

Padraig Harrington +17500

David Horsey +17500

Laurie Canter +17500

Grant Forrest +17500

Callum Shinkwin +17500

Ross Fisher +17500

Pablo Larrazabal +17500

Nacho Elvira +17500

Kiradech Aphibarnrat +17500

Graeme McDowell +20000

Fabrizio Zanotti +20000

Joachim-B Hansen +20000

Michael Lorenzo-Vera +20000

James Morrison +20000

Maximilian Kieffer +20000

Tapio Pulkkanen +20000

Matthew Southgate +20000

Jorge Campillo +20000

Jazz Janewattananond +20000

Ashley Chesters +20000

Benjamin Hebert +20000

Thorbjorn Olesen +20000

Brandon Stone +25000

Soren Kjeldsen +25000

Wade Ormsby +25000

Francesco Laporta +25000

Romain Langasque +25000

Luke Donald +25000

Scott Jamieson +25000

Marcus Kinhult +25000

Sami Valimaki +25000

Wilco Nienaber +25000

Justin Walters +30000

Miguel Angel Jimenez +30000

Chris Wood +30000

Lucas Bjerregaard +30000

David Law +30000

Gavin Green +30000

Scott Hend +30000

Daniel Gavins +30000

Ross McGowan +35000

Nino Bertasio +35000

Joakim Lagergren +35000

Jack Senior +35000

Sebastian Soderberg +35000

Richard McEvoy +40000

Alvaro Quiros +40000

Jonathan Caldwell +40000

Chris Paisley +40000

Steven Brown +40000

Jeff Winther +40000

Matthieu Pavon +40000

Julian Suri +40000

Robert Rock +50000

Oliver Wilson +50000

Julien Guerrier +50000

Paul Waring +50000

David Drysdale +50000

Marc Warren +50000

Thomas Aiken +50000

Thomas Bjorn +50000

Robert Karlsson +50000

Zander Lombard +60000

Lorenzo Gagli +70000

Stephen Gallacher +75000

Oliver Fisher +75000

Robin Roussel +75000

Matthew Cort +100000

Ricardo Santos +100000

Andrea Pavan +100000

Haydn Porteous +100000

Joel Stalter +100000

David Howell +100000

Peter Hanson +150000

Graeme Storm +150000

Raphael Jacquelin +150000

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Kent Whitaker
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