Caitlin Clark Odds and Predictions 2026: Sun Props & Futures

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Caitlin Clark Odds are back in focus as the Indiana Fever prepare to host the Connecticut Sun on Friday, August 28, in their final game before the WNBA pauses for the FIBA Women’s Basketball World Cup.

Clark enters the matchup coming off one of the best performances of her season. She scored 37 points with 10 assists in Indiana’s 113-90 win over Chicago while making a career-high eight three-pointers.

That performance pushed Clark’s season averages to 22.1 points, 8.3 assists and 3.8 rebounds while shooting 45.0 percent from the field and 36.8 percent from three. She has played 35 games and continues to produce the most efficient scoring season of her WNBA career.

Friday’s matchup creates a different betting problem. Indiana is favored by approximately 16.5 points against a Connecticut team already eliminated from playoff contention, so Clark has an excellent statistical matchup but meaningful fourth-quarter blowout risk.

Our best Caitlin Clark bet is over 23.5 points at -110 or better. The scoring line is higher than her season average, but her recent form, Connecticut’s personnel issues and Clark’s previous production against the Sun provide enough upside to justify the over.

Assists remain attractive only at the right number. Over 8.5 is playable at plus money, while points plus assists becomes an under lean at 33.5 because the market is now pricing in Clark’s recent offensive surge and a full closing workload that may never materialize in a lopsided game.

Caitlin Clark Odds Update

The biggest change since the last update is that Clark’s game-level prop lines have moved upward with her recent production.

Her points line against Connecticut is approximately 23.5 to 24.5 depending on the operator. That is notably higher than the 21.5 target we used against Dallas two weeks ago.

The three-point market has also become more expensive after Clark made eight threes against Chicago. Some sportsbooks are still dealing 2.5, but the over carries heavy juice. Other prop boards have already moved to 3.5.

Assists remain around 8.5, which sits almost directly on Clark’s 8.3 season average but below her recent 10-game production.

The MVP market has barely improved despite Clark’s recent surge. A’ja Wilson has become an overwhelming favorite, leaving Clark around +2500 and turning that future into a true longshot rather than a primary wager.

Caitlin Clark 2026 Stats

Clark’s third WNBA season has become her most efficient.

She averages 22.1 points and 8.3 assists in approximately 31 minutes per game. Her 45.0 percent field-goal percentage and 36.8 percent three-point percentage are both major improvements from the efficiency concerns that followed portions of her first two professional seasons.

Clark is also making approximately 2.9 three-pointers per game while attempting close to eight. That combination creates tremendous scoring volatility from one night to the next but also gives her a higher ceiling than almost any guard on the prop board.

Her assist production remains just as important. Clark is at or near the top of the WNBA assist leaderboard and has increasingly used Indiana’s improved spacing to punish traps and aggressive pick-and-roll coverage.

The negative remains turnovers. Clark averages more than four per game because Indiana places such a large percentage of its offensive creation in her hands.

Caitlin Clark Recent Form

Clark’s recent stretch has pushed sportsbooks to raise her prop lines.

Across her last 10 games, she is averaging approximately 23.4 points and 9.1 assists. She has gone above 8.5 assists in seven of those 10 games.

The scoring has been more volatile. Clark scored only 10 against Dallas on August 20 before responding with 21 against New York and 37 against Chicago.

That Chicago game demonstrated why Clark’s point prop can be difficult to price. She made eight of 12 threes and scored 37 despite playing only 32 minutes because Indiana controlled the game.

Her recent five-game road trip also showed that assists can remain stable when the shot is not falling. Clark recorded nine assists during the 10-point performance at Dallas, limiting the damage for combined-market bettors.

Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever Game Information

Indiana hosts Connecticut on Friday, August 28, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.

Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET on ION.

The Fever enter 25-14 and fifth overall in the league standings. Connecticut is 10-28 and has already been eliminated from postseason contention.

Indiana is a massive favorite. The spread opened around Fever -15.5 and has moved to approximately -16.5, while the total sits around 181.5 to 182.5.

That line creates the central Clark prop question. The matchup is excellent, but Indiana may not need Clark to play 35-plus minutes if the game develops as the spread predicts.

Caitlin Clark vs. Connecticut Sun Matchup

Clark has already produced two strong performances against Connecticut this season.

She scored 25 points with five assists and five made threes in the June meeting. Clark then produced 27 points, 11 assists and five threes when Indiana destroyed Connecticut 123-88 on July 22.

That second game is especially relevant to Friday’s prop handicap because it demonstrates both the upside and the risk.

Clark produced 38 combined points and assists despite Indiana winning by 35. She did not need a competitive fourth quarter because the offense was so efficient during her available minutes.

Connecticut enters the third meeting with additional personnel problems. Brittney Griner and Olivia Nelson-Ododa are dealing with knee injuries, while Leila Lacan is away for international duty.

The weakened roster should allow Indiana to score efficiently again. The question is whether Clark reaches her prop numbers before the game becomes noncompetitive.

Caitlin Clark Props vs. Connecticut Sun

Clark’s Friday prop board is significantly more aggressive than it was earlier in August.

The points market is approximately 23.5 at one major book and as high as 24.5 elsewhere. Rebounds sit at 4.5, while assists are generally around 8.5.

The three-point market requires the most price discipline. Over 2.5 is being heavily juiced after Clark’s eight-three performance, while some markets have moved the actual total to 3.5.

Points plus assists is approximately 33.5 on some boards. That number is higher than Clark’s 30.4 combined season average and slightly above her recent 10-game combined pace.

Caitlin Clark Points Prop Prediction

Clark over 23.5 points is our preferred wager against Connecticut.

Her 22.1 season average sits slightly below the line, but the current context is stronger than the full-season number suggests.

Clark is averaging approximately 23.4 points across her last 10 games and has scored 26 or more in four of her last six.

She also scored 25 and 27 in her two previous games against Connecticut this year. Those performances came before her current efficiency peak.

The Sun’s current personnel situation provides another advantage. Connecticut is missing frontcourt size and several rotation pieces, making it harder to aggressively pressure Clark without creating open lanes elsewhere.

The concern is minutes. Indiana is favored by more than 16 points, and Clark played only 27 minutes when the Fever beat Connecticut by 35 in July.

That risk prevents us from chasing an inflated alternate total. At 23.5, Clark can still cash through an efficient three-quarter performance.

Best Caitlin Clark Prop: Over 23.5 points at -110 or better.

Projected Points: 26.

Caitlin Clark Assists Prop Prediction

Assists remain Clark’s most stable season-long statistical category, but 8.5 is no longer an automatic over.

Clark averages 8.3 for the season and 9.1 across her last 10 games. She has cleared 8.5 in seven of those 10.

Kelsey Mitchell’s historic scoring run has helped the market considerably. Clark does not need to dominate field-goal attempts to produce assists because Mitchell can convert difficult perimeter opportunities and transition chances.

Aliyah Boston’s availability matters as well. If Boston is limited by her leg issue or unavailable, Indiana loses one of Clark’s most efficient interior assist targets.

The blowout also matters more for assists than points. Clark can score 24 points quickly through transition and threes, but nine or 10 assists generally require more total possessions and teammate conversion.

For those reasons, we would not lay significant juice on over 8.5.

Assists Prediction: Over 8.5 only at +100 or better.

Projected Assists: Nine.

Caitlin Clark 3-Point Prop Prediction

The three-point market is the easiest Clark prop to overpay for after her Chicago explosion.

Clark averages 2.9 made threes and shoots 36.8 percent from beyond the arc. Those numbers support over 2.5 in a vacuum.

The problem is price. The current over 2.5 has been offered around -175 to -180 at some sportsbooks.

A wager can be statistically likely and still be a poor bet when the price requires it to hit at an extremely high rate.

The 3.5 market provides a more honest decision. Clark has made at least four threes often enough to have upside, but the line is now asking for an above-average shooting performance.

Our projection is three made threes, making neither side particularly attractive at standard pricing.

3-Point Prop Prediction: Pass on over 2.5 at heavy juice. Consider over 3.5 only at a meaningful plus-money price.

Caitlin Clark Points and Assists Prop Prediction

Clark’s combined points-and-assists line has increased to approximately 33.5 on some prop boards.

That number is noticeably higher than her full-season combined average of 30.4.

Her recent production does close the gap. Clark is averaging approximately 23.4 points and 9.1 assists over her last 10, producing a combined average around 32.5.

The market therefore asks her to outperform even her improved recent baseline.

Connecticut is weak enough for Clark to clear the number, but the 16-point spread creates a second way for the over to lose: Indiana may simply remove her before she reaches a full-game workload.

Our individual projections of 26 points and nine assists land at 35 combined, but that median projection carries substantial minute volatility. The price would determine whether the under is actually worth betting.

Points + Assists Prediction: Small under 33.5 lean if the under is -115 or better. Otherwise pass.

Caitlin Clark Injury Status

Clark is currently active and played without an apparent minutes restriction against Chicago.

Her back has appeared on Indiana injury reports at different points this season, but her recent workloads have been normal for a starting guard.

Clark played 35 minutes against both Dallas and New York before logging 32 in the Chicago blowout.

The current Fever injury concern is more focused on Boston’s leg issue. Boston’s status can indirectly affect Clark’s assists because Indiana loses one of its best pick-and-roll finishers if she is limited.

Prop bettors should still check the final injury report before wagering. Clark will leave immediately after the Fever’s pre-break schedule to join Team USA for the FIBA World Cup, but there is no current indication that Indiana plans to restrict her specifically because of the international tournament.

Caitlin Clark MVP Odds

Clark remains one of the leading names in the WNBA MVP market, but the betting race itself is nearly over.

A’ja Wilson has shortened to approximately -1600 at BetMGM after building another dominant statistical season.

Olivia Miles sits second around +1200, while Clark is third near +2500. Paige Bueckers follows much farther back around +6600.

Clark opened the year near +250 and was one of the clear preseason favorites. Her current +2500 price represents a massive change in implied probability.

Her individual case is still excellent. Clark leads one of the league’s best offenses, has pushed Indiana to 25-14 and is averaging career highs in scoring efficiency.

The issue is not whether Clark is having an MVP-caliber year. The issue is whether she has enough remaining regular-season time to overcome Wilson’s enormous lead.

Indiana has only five games remaining after Friday, and the WNBA pauses for nearly three weeks in between. That leaves very little runway for a major voting reversal.

MVP Prediction: Clark finishes among the leading vote-getters, but A'ja Wilson wins the 2026 WNBA MVP award.

MVP Betting View: Pass on Clark at +2500. Her game props and Fever futures offer clearer betting paths.

Caitlin Clark WNBA Finals MVP Odds

Finals MVP provides a more interesting Clark futures market than regular-season MVP.

Clark has recently been available around +1600 to win WNBA Finals MVP.

The obvious requirement is that Indiana must reach and win the Finals. The Fever themselves can be found as high as approximately +1100 to win the championship.

If Indiana wins, Clark would have an excellent chance to capture Finals MVP because the offense is built around her scoring and playmaking.

Kelsey Mitchell is the biggest internal competition. Mitchell is having an extraordinary scoring season and could easily lead Indiana in points during a playoff series.

For that reason, +1600 is only modestly better than the Fever championship price. Bettors are accepting the additional condition that Clark, rather than Mitchell or another teammate, wins the award.

Finals MVP Betting View: Interesting at +1800 or better; less attractive around +1600 than simply betting Indiana to win the title.

Indiana Fever Championship Odds

The Fever have moved from an interesting preseason story into a genuine championship contender.

Indiana is 25-14 and has already clinched a playoff position. The Fever are fighting Atlanta for fourth place and the first-round home-court advantage that comes with it.

The championship market ranges from approximately +700 to +1100 depending on the sportsbook.

The offense is the reason to believe. Clark and Mitchell create one of the league’s most difficult backcourts to defend, while Boston provides interior efficiency and rebounding.

Indiana’s defensive consistency remains the reason not to accept the shortest futures price. A team can survive defensive mistakes in the regular season by scoring 100 points. Doing it across multiple postseason series becomes much more difficult.

At +700, we would pass. At +1000 or +1100, Indiana provides enough payout to compensate for the defensive volatility.

The entire title board is covered in the updated ScoresAndStats WNBA Championship Odds and Predictions guide.

Fever Championship Prediction: Legitimate contender; playable at +1000 or better.

Caitlin Clark and the 2026 FIBA Women’s World Cup

Friday’s Connecticut matchup is Clark’s final WNBA game before she makes her senior global championship debut with Team USA.

Clark was selected to the 12-player United States roster alongside A’ja Wilson, Breanna Stewart, Napheesa Collier, Paige Bueckers, Angel Reese, Aliyah Boston and several other WNBA stars.

The World Cup runs September 4 through September 13 in Berlin, Germany.

The WNBA pauses at the end of August to accommodate the tournament. Indiana does not play again until September 18 at Toronto.

The break is not traditional rest for Clark. She will continue practicing, traveling and playing high-level basketball while many WNBA players remain home recovering.

That workload should be monitored when Indiana returns. Clark may be in excellent competitive rhythm, but fatigue could become relevant during the Fever’s compressed final week.

Indiana closes with Toronto on September 18, Washington on September 20 and consecutive games against Minnesota on September 22 and September 24.

Previous Caitlin Clark Picks Graded

The last ScoresAndStats update focused on Indiana’s August 14 home matchup against Dallas.

That card performed extremely well.

Clark scored 29 points with 10 assists and three rebounds while making two three-pointers in Indiana’s 98-87 win.

The recommended points over 21.5 cashed comfortably. The assists over 7.5 also won, while points plus assists over 28.5 cleared by more than 10 combined points.

The rebounds under 4.5 also would have cashed with Clark finishing at three. The recommendation to avoid paying heavy juice on the three-point over was appropriate, as Clark made only two.

The main adjustment from that card is the price. Sportsbooks have increased Clark’s points, assists and combined totals enough that the same strategy cannot simply be repeated against Connecticut.

Best Caitlin Clark Bet vs. Connecticut

Our preferred Clark wager is over 23.5 points at -110 or better.

The line requires slightly more than Clark’s season average, but she has already scored 25 and 27 against Connecticut this year and enters Friday after producing the best three-point performance of her professional career.

The Sun’s depleted roster creates enough offensive upside for Clark to reach the mid-20s without playing a full 36-minute workload.

Assists remain the secondary option, but we want plus money at 8.5 because of Boston’s injury status and the possibility Clark loses late minutes.

The three-point over should not be chased at -170 or worse simply because Clark made eight in her previous game. The sportsbook has already incorporated that performance into the price.

Rebounds under 4.5 has a strong statistical case but is unattractive when the under becomes heavily juiced.

SAS Best Caitlin Clark Bet: Over 23.5 points at -110 or better.

Secondary Pick: Over 8.5 assists only at +100 or better.

Best Market to Avoid: Over 2.5 threes at heavily juiced odds.

Caitlin Clark Rest-of-Season Prediction

Clark is positioned to finish 2026 with the strongest statistical season of her young WNBA career.

The improvement is not simply higher volume. Her field-goal and three-point percentages have risen while her assist production remains elite.

The upcoming international break complicates the final projection because Clark will play for Team USA rather than receiving almost three weeks of complete rest.

Indiana’s final schedule is also difficult. After returning from the World Cup, the Fever play Toronto and Washington before facing Minnesota twice in three days to close the regular season.

Those Minnesota games should provide an excellent playoff measuring stick. They may also require Clark to play heavy minutes because seeding could still be undecided.

We project Clark to finish near 22 points and 8.3 assists per game while remaining one of the top three or four MVP vote-getters.

The more important postseason prediction is that Indiana’s offense will make the Fever a dangerous first-round opponent regardless of seed.

The championship ceiling depends on whether Indiana can produce enough defense to support Clark and Mitchell across a five- or seven-game series.

Caitlin Clark Odds FAQs