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The 2021 NASCAR Cup Series hits the one-mile asphalt surface at Dover International Speedway this Sunday for the Drydene 400. Last year the race weekend featured two Cup races in the effort to get the series schedule back on track. Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin were the winners.
So, it’s no surprise that those two drivers are among the favorites with Hamlin at +625 and Harvick coming in at +700. But, they are not the favorite driver to hold the honor of being the favorite to win outright. That goes to Martin Truex Jr. who has become a regular favorite this season. Truex comes in at +325.
So far this season Truex has three wins under his belt as well as eight top-ten finishes out of twelve races. He also has three prior wins at Dover on his resume with the last one coming in 2017.
All of the favorites listed below, Truex to Kyle Busch have won at Dover as recently as 2017. And All three manufactures have won at the track over the same time. Here are the favorite drivers to win the Drydene 400 outright according to Intertops.
2021 Drydene 400 Top Contenders
Martin Truex Jr +325
Kyle Larson +375
Denny Hamlin +625
Kevin Harvick +700
Chase Elliott +800
Kyle Busch +800
One side note, the track has the knick name of “the Monster Mile” because of the havoc that often happens during a race there.
2021 Drydene 400 Preview
Date: Sunday, May 16, 2021, 2:00 pm EST
Track: Dover International Speedway – Dover, Deleware
Type: Oval, Concrete, 1 mile.
Race Distance: 400 laps, 400 miles.
Defending Track Winner: Kevin Harvick
TV/Radio: FOX / MRN
2021 Drydene 400 Predictions
Kevin Harvick +700
Kevin Harvick has improved throughout the season and Dover is a track that he’s won on in the past including last season. Over his last ten races at the track, he’s won twice with seven top-ten and five top- five finishes and led 828 laps. His last three races this season have seen him finish 4th , 2nd , and 6th respectively.
Kyle Busch +800
Kyle Busch has a Dover win, 2018, and in his last five Cup Series starts at the Monster Mile he’s finished every race 11th or better. Busch has already logged a victory this season which was two weeks ago at Kansas. Last week he finished 3 rd at Darlington after recovering from an early spin. Busch has only two races where he finished worse than 25th this year.
Joey Logano +1200
Four of Joey Logano’s last five races at Dover have been 8th or better. His last run there resulted in a 6 th place finish several laps as the leader. In his last ten Dover starts, he’s never logged a DNF and his laps completion rate is 99.0%.
Others to Consider: It’s hard to win back-to-back in the Cup Series but Martin Truex Jr. could manage it. Truex leads the NASCAR fantasy stats list and has been hot… but the back-to-back thing scares me. Also, William Byron comes in at +1600 with a Homestead win under his belt this season. He finished 6th during the last Dover race.
NASCAR Handicapping Statistics
2021 Drydene 400 Odds
Martin Truex Jr +325
Kyle Larson +375
Denny Hamlin +625
Kevin Harvick +700
Chase Elliott +800
Kyle Busch +800
Brad Keselowski +1200
Joey Logano +1200
William Byron +1600
Alex Bowman +1800
Ryan Blaney +2000
Christopher Bell +2800
Kurt Busch +5000
Austin Dillon +6000
Matt Dibenedetto +6600
Tyler Reddick +6600
Aric Almirola +9000
Erik Jones +12500
Chris Buescher +12500
Cole Custer +12500
Ricky Stenhouse Jr +15000
Ryan Newman +15000
Daniel Suarez +17500
Chase Briscoe +20000
Michael McDowell +25000
Darrell Wallace Jr. +30000
Ross Chastain +50000
Ryan Preece +60000
Anthony Alfredo +150000
Justin Haley +200000
Corey Lajoie +200000
Josh Bilicki +300000
Quinn Houff +300000
BJ McLeod +300000
Cody Ware +300000
James Davison +300000
Garrett Smithley +300000
