2021 Pocono 325 Odds and Predictions

The 2021 NASCAR Cup Series returns to Pocono Speedway this weekend for the Duel Race weekend. The doubled-up schedule at Pocono started last season and it was dominated by two drivers who split the events.

Kevin Harvick won the Saturday race with Denny Hamlin coming in second. On Sunday that finishing order was flipped with Hamlin getting the win and Harvick taking second.

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This year both Harvick and Hamlin are capturing the eye of oddsmakers once again. If they are correct, it will be the first win for either driver this season. Hamlin comes in at +700 with Harvick in a group of drivers at +1000. But there is one driver that tops them all – Kyle Larson!

Larson (+175) continued his winning ways last week in Nashville by dominating the event from start to finish. He led almost every lap and did not have any significant challenges. He’s won on a variety of tracks this season and there is not a good reason to think he could not do it again.

Here are the top-five favorite drivers to win the Pocono 325 outright on Saturday according to Intertops. Complete odds for Saturday are listed below. Sunday odds have not been posted yet.

Kyle Larson +175

Denny Hamlin +700

Kyle Busch +800

Chase Elliott +800

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2021 Pocono 325 Preview

Track: Pocono Raceway, Long Pond, Pennsylvania

Type: 2.5-mile three-turn (the Tricky Triangle)

Banking: Turn 1: 14°, Turn 2: 8°, Turn 3: 6°, Back straight: 3°

Saturday Distance: 130 laps, 325 miles (Cup Series only)

Sunday Distance: 140 laps, 350 miles (Cup Series only)

Defending Track Winner: Denny Hamlin

TV/Radio: NBCS/MRN

Start Time: 3:00 PM Eastern

Six of the last seven Cup Series races at Pocono have been won by Toyota drivers. And, all of them are driving for Joe Gibbs Racing. The only side note to that is that Martin Truex Jr was driving for Furniture Row Racing when he captured his win at the track.

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2021 Pocono 325 Picks

Kyle Busch +800

Kyle Busch has three wins at Pocono with his last coming in 2019. The “tricky triangle” is a perfect place for the driver of the No. 18 Toyota to get Joe Gibbs Racing back in victory lane this season. He’s finished inside of the top ten in every Pocono race going back to 2016 except for last year when he was caught up in a wreck. That was the Sunday race, on Saturday the day before he finished 5th.

Chase Elliott +800

Chase Elliott finished second last week in Nashville before being disqualified due to loose lug nuts. He already has proven that he’s a winner this season and has run well at Pocono in the past. In his last ten starts at the track he’s finished inside of the top ten seven times. He finished 4th during his last visit to the track on Sunday during the duel race weekend.

Kevin Harvick +1000

Despite the way Kevin Harvick has run this season – when compared to other seasons where he has already racked up a handful of wins – it’s hard to push him to the side at Pocono. According to NASCAR fantasy stats, he’s still the No. 1 driver at the three-turned superspeedway. In his last ten races, he’s finished 9th or better ten times!

Others: Of course you have to consider Kyle Larson. My only thinking is it’s hard to win several races in a row at the Cup Series level and at +175 there are better value drivers down the odds list. One of those drivers is Darrell “Bubba” Wallace Jr. at +30000. Wallace is in a Joe Gibbs-affiliated car owned by Denny Hamlin at a track where a Toyota has won six of the last seven races.

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Pocono Organics 325 Odds

Kyle Larson +175

Denny Hamlin +700

Kyle Busch +800

Chase Elliott +800

William Byron +1000

Kevin Harvick +1000

Martin Truex Jr +1000

Brad Keselowski +1400

Ryan Blaney +1400

Joey Logano +1600

Alex Bowman +2000

Christopher Bell +4000

Aric Almirola +5000

Kurt Busch +5000

Tyler Reddick +5000

Ross Chastain +5000

Austin Dillon +6600

Matt Dibenedetto +8000

Chris Buescher +10000

Ricky Stenhouse Jr +10000

Erik Jones +15000

Ryan Newman +15000

Daniel Suarez +20000

Cole Custer +20000

Chase Briscoe +25000

Michael McDowell +30000

Darrell Wallace Jr. +30000

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Kent Whitaker
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