Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros Picks and Predictions May 7th 2025

Series Finale in Milwaukee

The Houston Astros look to salvage the last game of their three-game set at American Family Field after dropping the first two. Milwaukee clinched the series with a 4–3 win Tuesday, highlighted by Jake Bauers’ early two-run homer and a shutdown performance from the bullpen.

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Road Struggles Continue

Houston has lost five straight road series and six of its last seven games away from Minute Maid Park. The club’s 6–11 road record reflects pitching inconsistencies and untimely offense, issues they hope to correct in this rubber game.

Pitching Matchup

Framber Valdez (1–4, 4.39 ERA) seeks to shake off a rough April stretch, during which he went 0–3 with a 4.97 ERA. His career 55–30 mark offers confidence, but he’ll need to rediscover the command that fueled past success. Opposing him, Quinn Priester (1–0, 5.79 ERA) makes his fifth start after an uneven relief outing. His electric arsenal shows promise, but a .275 opponent average suggests Houston’s lineup could capitalize on mistake pitches.

Key Factors to Watch

Early runs have defined Brewers wins—they are 19–6 when scoring first and 16–5 when tallying four or more runs. The Astros must generate offense before Milwaukee’s bullpen locks in. Defensively, Houston’s infield must tighten around shifted positions to prevent rallies sparked by Brewers speedsters.

Betting Angle

With two starters prone to high-contact outings and bullpens that have closed tight games, consider the under on total runs. For deeper analysis and outcome forecasts, see our MLB Predictions.

Prediction

Expect a low-scoring duel until the late innings, when Valdez’s veteran poise and a timely Astros rally break the tie.