Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Predictions May 11th 2025

Chris Sale Braves vs Pirates: The Comeback That Matters

The Atlanta Braves are banking on one thing as they wrap up their series against the Pittsburgh Pirates — another vintage performance from veteran southpaw Chris Sale.

Sale has been nothing short of electric in his recent outings, reminding fans why he was once one of baseball’s most feared starters. As Atlanta rides the wave of strong pitching over the past 10 games, the spotlight lands squarely on Sale’s shoulders once again. His opponent? Pirates right-hander Carmen Mlodzinski, a reliever-turned-starter still trying to find his groove.

Let’s break down why this matchup matters, and how Sale could be the difference-maker the Braves need.

Sale’s Stellar Stats Against the Pirates

Chris Sale’s numbers against Pittsburgh are just plain nasty. He’s posted a 1-0 record with a 0.64 ERA over two career starts against the Pirates, and he’s even better in the Steel City. The last time he pitched in Pittsburgh, he allowed just one run over seven masterful innings, striking out eight and walking only one.

And he’s trending up. Over his last four starts, Sale has delivered a razor-sharp 1.96 ERA through 23 innings. His latest outing — 6 2/3 scoreless innings against the Cincinnati Reds — saw him fan 10 while allowing just five hits.

That’s the kind of dominance Braves fans were hoping for when he joined the squad. And now, it feels like he’s finally unlocked something.

The Secret Behind Sale’s Surge

Sale credits his resurgence to a mix of analytics, video breakdowns, and old-school feel. “We’ve looked at video, done some analytic things, and even just looked at the numbers that are presented after outings,” he explained. “Just making these minor tweaks to get back to being successful.”

He’s not reinventing the wheel, but he’s making smart adjustments — and it’s working.

One noticeable shift: more reliance on his slider. That pitch has baffled hitters lately, generating swings and misses at an elite clip. Pair that with his fastball command improving, and Sale is becoming the kind of ace the Braves desperately need as they push deeper into the season.

Braves’ Rotation on the Rise

Atlanta’s starting rotation has been one of MLB’s quiet strengths this season. In their last 10 games, Braves pitchers haven’t allowed more than four runs — except for a hiccup against the Dodgers. That consistency has kept the team afloat, even with some offensive inconsistencies.

Sure, the bats have cooled. Despite the excellent pitching, the Braves have only split their last 10 games. But they’ve remained in every contest, largely because of the arms on the mound.

With Spencer Strider expected to return soon, the rotation could reach another level. Imagine a 1-2 punch of Sale and Strider heading into a postseason run — that’s a scary thought for any opponent.

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Who Is Carmen Mlodzinski?

The Pirates’ starter on Sunday, Carmen Mlodzinski, has had a rocky transition from the bullpen to the rotation. His ERA sits at 6.16, and he’s only made it through five innings in two of his seven starts.

Against the Cardinals last week, he gave up two home runs in five innings but avoided walks. That outing was enough to keep Pittsburgh competitive until the bullpen collapsed — again.

And that’s been a theme for the Pirates this year. Their pitching depth has been thin, and Mlodzinski isn’t yet the stabilizing force they need in the rotation.

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Pirates’ Woes Continue

It’s not just the pitching that’s hurting Pittsburgh. On Saturday, they lost their sparkplug center fielder Oneil Cruz to lower back tightness. He’s now day-to-day, and his absence could loom large.

Add to that the chaotic in-game drama — interim manager Don Kelly was ejected mid-game, leaving third base coach Mike Rabelo to juggle two roles — and it’s clear the Pirates are still searching for stability.

Kelly himself noted that the team is working to officially fill the bench coach spot. For now, it’s all hands on deck, and the team is doing its best to stay afloat in a competitive NL Central.

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What This Game Means Going Forward

This Sunday showdown isn’t just another game — it’s a test of whether Sale can continue his renaissance and help the Braves avoid another offensive letdown.

With the Braves needing more consistency at the plate, the pressure on Sale to dominate is heavier than ever. But given his track record and his recent fire, it’s a bet Atlanta is happy to take.

Should Sale shine once again, he not only boosts his personal numbers but also strengthens his case as a long-term asset in the Braves’ title hopes.

Final Word: Can Chris Sale Be Atlanta’s X-Factor?

Absolutely.

He’s showing resilience, experience, and the ability to adapt — all signs of a pitcher who still has gas left in the tank. If Chris Sale continues to thrive, Atlanta’s pitching staff could become one of the most feared in baseball.

He may not be in his prime, but Sale is proving that savvy, grit, and experience can still carve up lineups. And the Pirates might just be his next canvas.

FAQs

What is Chris Sale’s current ERA with the Braves?
Sale currently holds a 4.07 ERA with the Braves, improving drastically over his past four starts with a 1.96 ERA during that span.

How has Chris Sale performed against the Pirates in his career?
He’s 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA in two starts, including seven dominant innings in Pittsburgh.

Why did the Braves only split their last 10 games despite great pitching?
Offensive struggles have led to tight games and missed opportunities, despite strong outings from the rotation.

Who is Carmen Mlodzinski?
He’s a reliever-turned-starter for the Pirates who’s still adjusting to his new role and has struggled with pitch count and consistency.

Is Oneil Cruz injured?
Yes, Cruz left Saturday’s game with lower back tightness and is listed as day-to-day.

What’s next for the Braves’ rotation?
With Spencer Strider returning soon and Sale peaking, Atlanta’s rotation is poised for a huge second half.