New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Predictions May 13th 2025

Mets Turn to Senga in Pursuit of Series Win Over Pirates

The New York Mets continue to ride their recent wave of momentum as they aim for a series victory Tuesday night against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Citi Field. With ace Kodai Senga on the mound, the Mets are in prime position to extend their hot streak and lock down another win in front of their home crowd.

Senga Anchors Mets’ Push for Another Victory

Kodai Senga (4-2, 1.16 ERA) has been sensational this season and is coming off a dominant outing in which he tossed six scoreless innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks. He’ll look to repeat that performance against a Pirates lineup he handled easily last season, allowing just an unearned run over seven innings in a 2023 win.

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“At the end of the day, our identity is we’re just a scrappy team. We fight to the last out and that’s just who we are.”
— Pete Alonso, Mets First Baseman

That fight was on full display Monday, as New York eked out a 4-3 walk-off win on Alonso’s sacrifice fly. It was their fourth walk-off victory of the season and highlighted the team’s ability to manufacture runs without relying solely on power—something that adds even more value to those studying MLB betting trends and picks.

Small Ball and Grit Define Mets’ Identity

While the Mets rank near the top of the National League in home runs, slugging percentage, and OPS, Monday’s win was all about execution. New York scored two critical runs in the seventh inning without hitting a ball out of the infield. Luisangel Acuna showcased his baserunning instincts by scoring from second on a deflected infield single, and Francisco Lindor’s hustle in the ninth helped set up the game-winning sac fly.

This combination of power, patience, and gritty baseball has the Mets moving in the right direction after winning five of their last seven.

Pirates Showing Fight Under Don Kelly

The Pirates may have lost Monday’s series opener, but they’re keeping games close under interim manager Don Kelly, going 2-2 in his first four games—all decided by one run.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa continues to shine, both at the plate and in the field. He hit a second-inning home run and nearly saved a run with a heads-up throw to the plate in the seventh. His efforts point to a team still finding its footing but clearly playing with renewed belief.

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“There’s just a belief that hasn’t been here at all.”
— Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Pirates Infielder

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Right-hander Mitch Keller (1-4, 4.40 ERA) will start for Pittsburgh. Though he took the loss in his last outing, he’s pitched well historically against the Mets, boasting a 3-1 record and a 2.00 ERA in four starts against New York.

Will Senga Shut the Door Again?

With the way Senga is pitching and the Mets clicking in tight situations, they enter Tuesday’s contest as favorites to clinch another series win. But Keller has had success against this lineup before, making this a sneaky-good pitcher’s duel that could offer value for savvy bettors.