Week 11 will feature the seventh and final NFL International game of the season as the Washington Commanders battle the Miami Dolphins live from Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid, Spain.

In Week 10, we saw the Colts take down the Falcons in overtime live from Olympic Stadium Berlin in Berlin, Germany. Will this weekend’s game be as exciting?

The Commanders (3-7) are in a free fall as they have lost five games in a row and are playing without franchise QB Jayden Daniels who was injured in their Week 9 game against the Seahawks.

Washington was one game away from the Super Bowl last year. This year, they will finish with a losing record and look to come back in 2026 with a vengeance.

Miami (3-7) has been as equally disappointing this year. The team has already parted ways with their GM and there is talk of firing their head coach at the end of the season. Yet, Miami has won two of their last three games including a big upset win over division rival the Buffalo Bills last week.

With that said, let’s dive deeper into the latest NFL International Game odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our Week 11 NFL picks for the Washington Commanders vs. Miami Dolphins.     

Viewing note, this game will begin at 9:30am ET, 6:30am on the West Coast, and air live on the NFL Network.

NFL International Games Odds

The following NFL International Game odds are courtesy of ScoresandStats:

Keep an eye on the latest NFL odds for this week’s International Game and monitor how the lines change throughout the week.

The line opened with the Washington Commanders as the 2.5-point favorites, with a -140 moneyline. That has drastically changed over the last few weeks as the Miami Dolphins are now the favorites at 2.5 points and -150 moneyline.

The Total opened at 49.5 points and has slowly come down to the current range of 47.5 to 48 points.   

With that said, we cleaned up on our bets last week for the Falcons vs. Colts. Atlanta was one of our favorite underdogs of the week and we picked them to cover the spread, which they did. We also had Indy winning the game outright, which they did. It was an exciting Overtime matchup.  

If you include the Kansas City Chiefs letting everyone down in Week 1 as they lost to the Chargers in Brazil, we have gone 3-3 in our International games so far.

However, if needed, you can get more assistance with betting on this week’s International matchup or any of the 2025-26 NFL games through the industry’s best handicapping membership. Take advantage of the free trial to capitalize on thousands of NFL picks.  

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NFL International Game Betting Trends

The following NFL International Game betting trends include data from last season:

Washington Commanders Betting Trends

• 0-5 SU in last five games
• 1-6 SU in last seven AFC East games
• 0-5 ATS in last five games
• 1-5 ATS in last six road games
• Over is 8-1 in last nine November games

Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

• 3-8 SU in last 11 games
• 2-6 SU in last eight Sunday games
• 2-5 ATS in last six Week 11 games
• Over is 6-3 in last nine games

NFL International Game Matchup

These two NFL Teams have played against each other 16 times and it’s the Miami Dolphins that hold the advantage with a 10-6 series record. They last played in 2023, and the Dolphins routed the Washington Commanders by the score of 45-15.

It should also be noted that these two teams have played twice against each other in the Postseason. More specifically, they have faced off in two Super Bowls. The Dolphins won the first matchup in SB 7 and the Commanders won just ten years later in SB 17.

Miami is 5-1 SU in their last six games against Washington and 4-0-1 ATS in the last five head-to-head meetings. Additionally, the Under is 4-1 over that span, as well.

NFL International Games Predictions

Let’s take a look at the full slate of NFL International games and make our NFL picks for each game.

Washington Commanders NFL International Game

Not only has the Washington Commanders lost five games in a row but they’re doing it in embarrassing ways. Let’s start with this awful defensive effort over the last month.

During that span, the Commanders have given up 134 points which breaks down to 36 ppg. That’s easily the worst month for any defense this season so far. They gave up 44 points twice over that span: Cowboys in Week 7 and Lions in Week 10.

For the season, the Commanders are allowing 28 ppg, which is the third most in the NFL. They’re also 30^th in yards allowed at 394.6 ypg and TDs per game (3.2).

While the Commanders have been in the middle of the pack against the run, this unit allows 260.2 passing yards per game which is the second most in the league.

Offensively, the Commanders can’t seem to throw the ball as they only average 190.1 ypg, which the Dolphins allow just 207.2 ypg. With Mariota at QB and an underperforming passing unit, I don’t see the Commanders having a lot of success through the air.

With that said, Washington does average 135.2 ypg on the ground which is 7^th in the NFL. The Dolphins give up the seventh most yards on the ground at 139.7 ypg. This is Washington’s best chance at keeping the game close since their defense has been atrocious.

Miami Dolphins NFL International Game

Let’s not pretend that the Miami Dolphins are a good team. They’re awful and could go into a full rebuild after the season ends. Miami has the no.23 run game (107.2 ypg) and are no.24 in passing (192.1 ypg).

What’s most troubling about Miami’s offense is the turnovers. They have the second highest interception rate at 4.19% and their 1.7 giveaways per game is the third most in the NFL. If Washington can find any success in taking the ball away, which they haven’t so far, then they could win this game.

Washington’s defense allows 134.4 rushing yards per game, which should be good news for De’Von Achane who has 780 rushing yards on the season already. He’s 4^th in the NFL for rushing yards but also has 49 receptions for 325 receiving yards. Additionally, Achane has nine total touchdowns so far.

I think Tua Tagovailoa, Achane and Waddle are all going to have big outings in the passing attack this weekend due to Washington’s horrible pass defense and lack of sacks.

Who Is Winning The NFL International Game?

At this point of the season, the Dolphins look like the better team. In fact, if you look at their last three weeks, you wouldn’t think that Miami had a 3-7 record. They beat the Falcons and Bills over that span and clicked on both sides of the ball.

In those two wins, the Dolphins won 64-23 and showed the potential that everyone thought they would reach this season. Sandwiched between those two games was a 28-6 loss against Baltimore, which reminds us how erratic this team is.

Fortunately for the Dolphins, they’re playing a team that’s struggling even more than they are. This Washington pass defense is going to get lit up with the quick passing attack from the Dolphins.

Miami is 5-1 SU and 4-0-1 ATS against Washington. I like the Dolphins to win this game outright and to cover the 2.5-point spread. Anything under three points is an easy win. Skip the Total as it’s hard to gauge how teams will perform when traveling internationally.

Bet: Miami Dolphins -150, Dolphins -2.5 (-110), Total (pass)

NFL International Game Prop Bets

Let’s take a look at some of the best Player props and Game prop bets for this NFL International Game:

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards

• Over 240.5 yards (-110)
• Under 240.5 yards (-110)

On the season, Tua Tagovailoa is averaging just 195.2 passing yards per game. And, in his 10 starts so far, Tua has gone over 241 yards in just three of those games.

With that said, Washington’s 31^st ranked pass defense (260.2 ypg) is a great opportunity for Tagovailoa to have a big performance. I expect Tua to surpass 250 yards in Spain and to lead Miami to their fourth win of the season.

Bet: Over 240.5 yards (-110)

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards

• Over 75.5 yards (-110)
• Under 75.5 yards (-110)

Jaylen Waddle has become the team’s no.1 receiver this season and for years to come. He’s averaging just 67 yards per game, but that was in large part to some early season struggles for this offense.

Waddle has gone over 76 yards in five of his last six games including three in a row. In fact, in all of those games, he’s caught at least five balls for a minimum of 82 yards. Look for no.17 to benefit greatly from Tua’s big passing day.

Bet: Over 75.5 yards (-110)

Game Total Rushing Yards

• Over 240.5 (-120)
• Under 240.5 (-120)

On the season, these two teams combine for 242.4 rushing yards per game. With that said, I expect Miami to crowd the box and force Washington to throw the ball against their no.13 pass defense.

Last week, the Dolphins held Buffalo’s no.1 rushing attack to just 87 total yards. So, I expect a similar performance. On the flip side, Miami won’t have to run as much due to their passing success. Take the Under for this game.

Bet: Under 240.5 total rushing yards (-120)

Best Bets For The NFL International Game

Check out our best bets for this NFL International Game:

• Miami Dolphins (-150)
• Miami Dolphins -2.5 (-110)
• Jaylen Waddle Over 75.5 receiving yards (-110)

As bad as these two teams are, this game is setting up nicely for fantasy football and NFL bettors. I see the Dolphins cleaning up in Spain as they trounce the Commanders.

Miami has won two of their last three games and averaged 32 ppg in those two wins. The Commanders have lost five in a row and have given up 36 ppg in their last four games. Washington’s no.31 pass defense allows 260.2 ypg and will be the backbreaker this weekend.

I expect Tua Tagovailoa to have a big game. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if this is his largest passing performance of the season. At the very least, he will eclipse 250 passing yards. And, the biggest benefactor of that will be Jaylen Waddle.

Waddle has tallied five games of 82 or more receiving yards in his last six starts. This includes three outings in a row. I expect Waddle to easily eclipse 76 receiving yards this weekend and wouldn’t be surprised if he has his second 100-yard performance of the season.

Miami is 5-1 SU in their last six overall games against Washington. Additionally, they’ve gone 4-0-1 ATS in their last five head-to-head meetings. To me, this sounds like an easy win and cover!

If you put these best NFL International game bets into a parlay, then you will win $507 for every $100 wagered. That’s a 5X on your initial investment.

If this interests you, then check out our best NFL parlays of the week. We also have weekly College Football parlays, as well.

NFL International Games Schedule