Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Predictions May 19th 2025

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Brewers Look to Extend Momentum Against Reeling Orioles

After snapping Minnesota’s 13-game winning streak on Sunday, the Milwaukee Brewers return to action against a struggling Baltimore Orioles squad that’s lost six straight and just fired its manager. With momentum on their side and the bats finally warming up, the Brewers are in prime position to open this three-game home series on a high note.

Brewers Snap Skid, Regain Offense

Milwaukee came into Sunday’s game against the Twins having been shut out in four of their last five contests. That narrative changed with a clutch 5–2 win that not only revived their offense but also cooled off the league’s hottest team. Freddy Peralta went five strong innings, and rookie Jackson Chourio saved the day with a highlight-reel catch at the wall to rob Royce Lewis of a potential game-tying home run.

“It was a big-time catch,” said manager Pat Murphy. “That’s a game-saver right there.”

The victory showcased what Milwaukee needs to succeed: timely hitting, solid bullpen support, and tight defense. The Brewers are now 19–5 when scoring at least four runs. If they get the bats going early, their elite bullpen has shown it can lock down the win.

For full breakdowns, check our MLB picks page and our MLB odds page for the latest lines.

Probable Starters: Priester vs. Kremer

Quinn Priester (1–2, 4.59 ERA) will take the mound for Milwaukee. Although the Brewers are just 1–5 in his starts, Priester has shown growth. In his last outing, he allowed just one run and three hits over five innings in a 2–0 loss to Cleveland.

“The kid battled,” said Murphy. “You’ve got to give him credit for what he showed.”

Priester has never faced Baltimore and will look to keep his momentum going against a team that’s struggling at the plate.

Opposing him will be Dean Kremer (3–5, 5.36 ERA) for the Orioles. He’s been consistent in at least eating innings—logging five-plus in each of his last six starts—but hasn’t had much luck against Milwaukee. In two career starts, he’s 0–2 with a 12.00 ERA, surrendering 12 earned runs in just nine innings.

Baltimore’s Slide Continues

The Orioles’ season has taken a sharp downturn. After being swept at home by the Nationals and allowing five home runs in Sunday’s 10–4 loss, Baltimore has now lost six straight. The team parted ways with manager Brandon Hyde over the weekend, promoting Tony Mansolino to interim status. So far, it hasn’t changed their fortunes.

“I feel like our pitching held up pretty good here over the last two weeks,” said Mansolino. “But these last couple days, it’s been unfortunate.”

Baltimore’s pitching staff has surrendered a league-high 72 home runs this season—highlighting their inability to keep the ball in the yard. On Sunday, veteran starter Kyle Gibson was designated for assignment after posting a 16.78 ERA in four starts.

Outfielder Tyler O’Neill was also placed on the 10-day IL with a shoulder injury, removing one of the team’s few reliable bats.

Key Stats and Betting Angles

Milwaukee Trends:

  • 19–5 when scoring four or more runs
  • 3–20 when scoring three or fewer
  • 1–17 when the opponent scores first
  • Bullpen stars:
    • Abner Uribe: 11 straight scoreless outings
    • Nick Mears: 0.51 ERA in 17 2/3 innings

Baltimore Trends:

  • 13–6 when scoring four or more runs
  • 2–24 when scoring three or fewer
  • 3–12 in May
  • 0–2 for Kremer vs. Milwaukee

Betting Tips:

  • Brewers ML and Over 8.5 Runs: Given Kremer’s struggles vs. Milwaukee and the O’s home run vulnerability, the over is in play.
  • First 5 Innings Brewers ML: Priester has shown control early, and Baltimore has failed to score first in most of May.

For expert prop analysis and value picks, check our expert betting guide.

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Future Odds Shifting?

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Player to Watch: Rhys Hoskins

Hoskins continues to be Milwaukee’s most productive hitter, slashing .337 with five homers and 21 RBIs in his last 30 games. His ability to drive in runs and work counts has helped stabilize a lineup that often struggles in the early innings.

If Hoskins stays hot and the bullpen holds strong, Milwaukee could very well start this homestand with back-to-back wins.

Rhys Hoskins

Final Thoughts and Series Outlook

Milwaukee’s formula for success is clear: score four runs or more and let the bullpen take over. Against a Baltimore squad that’s reeling both emotionally and on the mound, this could be a prime opportunity to sweep the series.

For full team insights, splits, injury updates and more, visit our MLB team stats page. Track lineup news, bullpen fatigue metrics, and get live data to fuel your next bet.

With the Brewers trending up and the Orioles unraveling, this series could mark a turning point for both clubs heading into June.

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Mike Williams
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