Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Predictions May 27th 2025

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves May 27th 2025

The Braves head to Citizens Bank Park to take on the Phillies on Tuesday, May 27, 2025. The game is set for a 6:45 PM start under the lights. Both teams are eager to gain an edge in the series.

Spencer Strider takes the mound for the Braves. He carries an ERA of 5.79 and a WHIP of 1.39. Ranger Suárez will pitch for the Phillies, with an ERA of 3.70 and a WHIP of 1.19. Fans can expect a competitive game between these division rivals.

Braves vs Phillies Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Braves vs. Phillies
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park
• Date: Tuesday, May 27, 2025
• Betting Odds: Braves Spread -1.5 (+157), Phillies Spread +1.5 (-196), Braves MoneyLine -105, Phillies MoneyLine -114, Over 8.5 (-108), Under 8.5 (-111)

The Braves Can Win If…

The Atlanta Braves are coming off a 5-3 loss against the San Diego Padres. Despite the loss, Spencer Schwellenbach delivered a strong performance with 11 strikeouts over seven innings. Ozzie Albies and Marcell Ozuna were key contributors at the plate, combining for four hits.

The Braves have shown potential with their hitting stats this season. They are ranked 9th in batting average and 13th in home runs, indicating a solid offensive lineup. Players like Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna have been consistent, with Olson leading the team with 12 home runs.

Atlanta’s pitching has also been a strong point, with a team ERA of 3.74, placing them 14th. They have 23 quality starts, ranking 6th, which shows their ability to control games. With Spencer Strider starting, the Braves have a good chance to leverage their pitching depth against the Phillies.

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The Phillies Can Win If…

The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off a close game against the Athletics, where they lost 5-4. Despite the loss, Jesús Luzardo delivered a solid performance with 10 strikeouts over seven innings. Trea Turner was a standout hitter, going 2-for-3 with a home run and three RBIs.

The Phillies have strong hitting stats this season, with a team batting average of .261, ranking second in the league. Their on-base percentage is .336, placing them third. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 18 home runs and 40 RBIs, making him a key player to watch.

Ranger Suárez will start for the Phillies against the Braves. Suárez has a 3.70 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP, providing a reliable presence on the mound. The Phillies’ pitching staff leads the league with 520 strikeouts, which could be crucial against the Braves’ lineup.

The Lean

The Phillies are slight favorites with a moneyline of -114 against the Braves at -105. The Phillies have a strong hitting lineup, ranking second in batting average and third in on-base percentage. With their pitching staff leading in strikeouts, the model projects a Phillies win with a score of 5-4.

The over/under is set at 8.5, with the over at -108 and the under at -111. Both teams have solid offenses, but the Phillies’ pitching edge suggests a lower-scoring game. The model projects a total of 9 runs, so the recommendation is to take the over.

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Braves’ Spencer Strider Looking to Find Form Against Phillies

Spencer Strider hasn’t looked like himself yet this season, but the Atlanta Braves right-hander is hoping to change that when he takes the mound Tuesday to open a three-game set against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Strider enters the matchup still searching for his first win of 2025. He returned to action on May 20 after dealing with a hamstring injury in his season debut, but his comeback outing was rocky — 4 1/3 innings pitched, four runs allowed in a 5-3 loss to the Nationals.

“Didn’t give us a chance to win the game, really. Didn’t execute, stuff wasn’t consistent… Not acceptable for me.”
— Spencer Strider

Despite the shaky return, history favors Strider — he owns an 8-0 record with a 2.06 ERA in nine regular-season appearances against the Phillies. However, the postseason tells a different story: 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA across three playoff starts against Philadelphia.

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Phillies’ Suarez Settling In

Countering Strider will be Ranger Suarez, who is trending in the opposite direction. After missing time with a back injury, Suarez has found rhythm on the mound. He’s allowed just three earned runs across his last 20 2/3 innings and tossed 6 2/3 shutout frames against Colorado in his last start.

“Especially in this environment… the cutter was working well.”
— Ranger Suarez

Suarez is 2-4 with a 4.06 ERA in 19 career games against Atlanta and is working to give Philadelphia a strong start to their homestand after a narrow loss to Oakland snapped their nine-game winning streak.

Bats to Watch: Acuna, Turner, and Olson

Ronald Acuna Jr. looks comfortable again after recovering from a torn ACL last year. He has homered in two of his last four games and logged an extra-base hit and a walk in Sunday’s loss to San Diego.

Matt Olson, however, has struggled. He went 1-for-13 with a homer and five strikeouts in Atlanta’s last series, while Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto is also in a funk, batting 2-for-14 with six strikeouts against the A’s.

Trea Turner, on the other hand, is heating up. He blasted a go-ahead solo homer in Sunday’s loss and has been a steady presence at the top of the lineup.

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