The 2026 PGA Memorial Tournament odds are already one of the most interesting golf betting conversations on the calendar. The Memorial Tournament returns to Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, from June 4-7, 2026, with Scottie Scheffler expected to headline the field as the two-time defending champion.
Hosted by Jack Nicklaus, the Memorial remains one of the strongest non-major tests on the PGA Tour. Muirfield Village rewards elite ball-striking, patience, sharp iron play, and the ability to survive fast greens when the course gets firm over the weekend.
For bettors, this is not a week to blindly chase longshots. Muirfield Village has produced some surprise names over the years, but the tournament usually rewards high-end players who can gain strokes from tee to green and avoid the kind of big mistakes that ruin scorecards on Jack’s Place.
Below, we break down the projected 2026 Memorial Tournament odds, favorites, betting value, longshots, and our best PGA pick to win. For more weekly golf angles, check out our golf picks page throughout tournament week.
Where Is The Memorial Tournament Being Played?
The 2026 Memorial Tournament is being played at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio. The course was designed by Jack Nicklaus and Desmond Muirhead, and it remains one of the most respected annual stops on the PGA Tour schedule.
Muirfield Village is a par-72 layout that stretches to 7,569 yards. It is known for thick rough, demanding approach shots, fast putting surfaces, and a closing stretch that can punish even the best players in the world. This is not a simple birdie-fest. It is a complete test.
The Memorial Tournament is also a PGA Tour Signature Event, which means the field is expected to be strong and the winner receives 700 FedExCup points. That gives the event extra weight for both players and bettors.
How To Watch The Memorial Tournament?
Golf Channel and CBS are expected to carry coverage of the 2026 Memorial Tournament. PGA Tour Live should also provide streaming coverage of featured groups and featured holes throughout the week.
Streaming options are expected to include ESPN+ for PGA Tour Live coverage and Paramount+ for CBS simulcast coverage. Bettors should also follow live scoring closely because Muirfield Village can change quickly when wind, firm greens, and difficult pin positions enter the picture.
Who Won The Memorial Tournament 2025?
Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 Memorial Tournament, successfully defending his title at Muirfield Village. Scheffler finished at 10-under and beat Ben Griffin by four strokes, becoming one of the rare players to win back-to-back Memorial titles.
That victory came one year after Scheffler won the 2024 Memorial Tournament by one shot over Collin Morikawa. Now, Scheffler enters the 2026 edition with a chance to win three straight at Jack’s Place, a storyline that will dominate the betting board.
For more tournament results after the final round, visit our game results page once the Memorial Tournament concludes.
The Memorial Tournament Odds
Official sportsbook odds can move quickly once the final field is confirmed. The board below uses projected 2026 Memorial Tournament odds created for betting-preview purposes, based on current player strength, course fit, recent Memorial history, and expected market positioning.
| Golfer | Projected Odds | Betting Tier |
|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | +275 | Favorite |
| Rory McIlroy | +900 | Contender |
| Xander Schauffele | +1200 | Contender |
| Collin Morikawa | +1400 | Contender |
| Ludvig Aberg | +1800 | Contender |
| Patrick Cantlay | +2000 | Course Fit |
| Viktor Hovland | +2200 | Past Winner |
| Justin Thomas | +2500 | Value |
| Hideki Matsuyama | +2800 | Value |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +3000 | Value |
| Sepp Straka | +3500 | Value |
| Ben Griffin | +3500 | Value |
| Shane Lowry | +4000 | Longshot |
| Russell Henley | +4500 | Longshot |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | +5000 | Longshot |
| Sahith Theegala | +5500 | Longshot |
Scheffler deserves to be the clear favorite. He has won the last two Memorial Tournaments, owns the strongest tee-to-green profile in the sport, and already has the exact Muirfield Village formula needed to separate from the field.
The more difficult question is whether bettors should pay a short number on Scheffler or hunt value in the next tier. Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, Ludvig Aberg, Patrick Cantlay, and Viktor Hovland all have profiles that can work at this course. For broader betting strategy, our expert betting guide can help when comparing outrights, placement markets, and matchup bets.
The Memorial Tournament Favorites
The following golfers should be considered the main favorites to win the 2026 Memorial Tournament based on projected odds, course history, and overall win equity.
Scottie Scheffler (+275)
Scottie Scheffler is the obvious favorite, and there is no reason to overthink that part of the board. He won this tournament in 2024 and 2025, and both victories showed why Muirfield Village fits him so well. He controls the ball off the tee, hits elite approach shots, avoids the kind of disaster misses that ruin rounds here, and does not need a red-hot putter to win.
The concern is price. At anything shorter than +300, bettors are paying a premium for the best player in the world on a course where he already owns the blueprint. That does not make Scheffler a bad bet, but it does limit the upside for outright bettors.
Still, if you are betting the Memorial Tournament and building a card around one player, Scheffler has to be the starting point. A third straight win at Muirfield Village would not feel shocking. It would feel like a continuation of what he has already established at this event.
Rory McIlroy (+900)

Rory McIlroy is the first real decision point on the board. When his driver is clicking, he can overpower a lot of PGA Tour venues. Muirfield Village, however, asks for more than distance. It demands controlled aggression, smart misses, and clean iron play into difficult green complexes.
McIlroy has the complete skill set to win here, but he has not turned the Memorial into one of his signature events. That matters when comparing him to players like Scheffler, Cantlay, Morikawa, and Hovland, who have stronger recent history at Jack’s Place.
At +900, Rory is playable but not a steal. He makes more sense as a top-10 or top-20 option unless his outright number drifts into a more attractive range.
Xander Schauffele (+1200)

Xander Schauffele is one of the safest names on the board because his game travels everywhere. He rarely beats himself, he gains strokes in multiple areas, and his all-around consistency makes him a strong fit for a course where bogey avoidance matters.
The Memorial has always looked like a tournament Schauffele should eventually win. He has the iron play, short-game control, and four-round patience to stay close even when conditions get uncomfortable.
At +1200, Schauffele offers a much better payout than Scheffler while still carrying legitimate win equity. He is one of the cleaner outright bets in the favorite range.
Collin Morikawa (+1400)

Collin Morikawa is always dangerous at Muirfield Village because this course rewards elite approach play. Few golfers in the world are better with irons when he is dialed in, and his history at this event backs up the course-fit argument.
Morikawa was the runner-up to Scheffler in 2024, and he has repeatedly shown that this layout suits his game. The only question is whether the putter cooperates. If he putts at even a neutral level, he can win this tournament.
At +1400, Morikawa is one of the best outright values among the top-tier players. He has enough course history and ball-striking upside to justify a win bet.
The Best Memorial Tournament Betting Value
The following golfers offer betting value based on projected 2026 Memorial Tournament odds, Muirfield Village course fit, and realistic win upside.
Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
Patrick Cantlay is one of the easiest value plays to understand at the Memorial. He has already won this tournament twice, and his patient, precise style is built for Muirfield Village.
Cantlay is not always the most exciting name on the betting board, but that can create value. He knows where to miss, he can handle firm greens, and he has the kind of controlled ball-striking profile that keeps players alive when the scoring gets difficult.
At +2000, Cantlay is a strong outright option and an even stronger placement-market target. If sportsbooks hang fair top-10 or top-20 numbers, he should be on the shortlist.
Viktor Hovland (+2200)

Viktor Hovland won the Memorial Tournament in 2023, so the course history is already there. His best golf is more than good enough to win this event again, especially if the ball-striking sharpens early in the week.
The risk with Hovland is always the short game. Muirfield Village can expose shaky scrambling, and missed greens around this course can turn into bogeys quickly. But if Hovland is gaining with his irons and putting even slightly above average, his ceiling is high.
At +2200, Hovland is more volatile than Cantlay or Morikawa, but he has real winning upside. That makes him one of the better value bets on the projected board.
Ben Griffin (+3500)

Ben Griffin is an interesting name because he finished second to Scheffler at the 2025 Memorial Tournament. That run showed he can handle the course, deal with pressure, and stay competitive on a layout where many players fade over the weekend.
The question is whether the market overcorrects. If Griffin is priced too aggressively, the value disappears. But at a projected +3500, he gives bettors a legitimate course-history angle without paying favorite-tier odds.
He is not the safest outright pick, but he makes plenty of sense as a top-20 bet and a smaller outright sprinkle if the final number holds in this range.
The Top Memorial Tournament Longshot
Matt Fitzpatrick (+5000) is the top longshot on the projected Memorial Tournament odds board. He is not the type of player who needs a birdie race to win, which is perfect for Muirfield Village. This tournament is about patience, precision, scrambling, and staying mentally clean through difficult stretches.
Fitzpatrick has already shown he can grind on major-style layouts. That matters at the Memorial because the course can play more like a U.S. Open tune-up than a regular PGA Tour stop. If the winning score stays modest, Fitzpatrick becomes more appealing.
At +5000, he is not a player to bet heavily, but he is exactly the type of disciplined longshot who can hang around if the favorites fail to separate. He also makes sense in top-20 and top-30 markets depending on the number.
Memorial Tournament Predictions
Scottie Scheffler is the rightful favorite, but the best Memorial Tournament betting pick is Collin Morikawa at +1400. Scheffler can absolutely win again, but the number is short enough that bettors need to look for a better mix of value and upside.
Morikawa fits Muirfield Village perfectly. His approach game is elite, his course history is strong, and his 2024 runner-up finish showed how close he is to solving this event. If he putts at a neutral level, he can beat anyone in this field.
The Memorial Tournament is usually not won by accident. It rewards players who can strike the ball cleanly for four rounds, avoid short-side misses, and stay patient when the course gets difficult. Morikawa checks those boxes and offers a much better payout than Scheffler.
Morikawa is our golf pick to win the 2026 Memorial Tournament.
Bet: Collin Morikawa (+1400)
Memorial Tournament Best Bets
Here is a cleaner betting card for the 2026 Memorial Tournament using projected lines:
| Bet Type | Pick | Projected Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Outright Winner | Collin Morikawa | +1400 |
| Best Favorite | Xander Schauffele | +1200 |
| Best Value | Patrick Cantlay | +2000 |
| Longshot | Matt Fitzpatrick | +5000 |
| Top-10 Lean | Viktor Hovland | Market TBD |
| Top-20 Lean | Ben Griffin | Market TBD |
The safest placement bet should be Cantlay or Schauffele, depending on the posted price. Both players have the discipline and all-around profile to stay inside the top 20 even without their best putting week.
The outright card should be smaller and more selective. Scheffler is always dangerous, but Morikawa, Cantlay, and Hovland offer better prices for bettors who do not want to lay a short number on the favorite. To compare prices before locking in wagers, visit our sportsbook reviews page.
Memorial Tournament Winners
The following is a list of the most recent Memorial Tournament winners:
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Scottie Scheffler | 4 strokes |
| 2024 | Scottie Scheffler | 1 stroke |
| 2023 | Viktor Hovland | Playoff |
| 2022 | Billy Horschel | 4 strokes |
| 2021 | Patrick Cantlay | Playoff |
| 2020 | Jon Rahm | 3 strokes |
| 2019 | Patrick Cantlay | 2 strokes |
| 2018 | Bryson DeChambeau | Playoff |
| 2017 | Jason Dufner | 3 strokes |
| 2016 | William McGirt | Playoff |
The recent winners list tells bettors plenty about what matters at Muirfield Village. Scheffler, Cantlay, Hovland, Rahm, and DeChambeau are all high-end ball-strikers with enough power and precision to handle demanding PGA Tour setups.
That is why the 2026 betting card should not be built around random longshots. This is a course where elite players usually rise, and the best betting strategy is to focus on golfers with strong tee-to-green numbers, reliable approach play, and proven ability to survive difficult Sunday conditions.
Final Memorial Tournament Betting Thoughts
The 2026 Memorial Tournament has a clear headline: can Scottie Scheffler win at Muirfield Village for the third straight year? He deserves to be favored, and no betting card should ignore him completely.
But from a value standpoint, Collin Morikawa is the stronger outright play. He has the course history, the approach-game profile, and the price needed to justify a win bet. Xander Schauffele and Patrick Cantlay are also strong options, especially in placement markets.
The final betting approach is simple: respect Scheffler, but do not overpay. Muirfield Village is demanding enough to create volatility, and that opens the door for a polished ball-striker like Morikawa to finally close the deal at Jack’s Place.








