Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Predictions June 4th 2025

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers June 4th 2025

The Milwaukee Brewers take on the Cincinnati Reds at the Great American Ball Park on Wednesday, June 4, 2025. The game is set for an afternoon start at 12:40 PM and will be televised on FDSOH. The Brewers come into the game with a 33-29 record and are 6 games back in the NL Central. They have struggled on the road with a 15-19 record.

The Reds hold a 30-32 record, sitting 9 games back in the division. They have played evenly at home with a 15-15 record. The pitching matchup features DL Hall for the Brewers, who has an ERA of 1.69, against Andrew Abbott for the Reds, who boasts a 1.51 ERA. Both teams look to gain ground in the division with a win.

Brewers vs Reds Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
• Venue: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
• Date: Wednesday, June 4, 2025
• Betting Odds: Reds MoneyLine -122, Brewers MoneyLine +104

The Brewers Can Win If…

The Milwaukee Brewers are coming off a 4-2 loss against the Cincinnati Reds. Freddy Peralta pitched six innings, allowing three earned runs and striking out nine batters. Sal Frelick hit a home run, and Christian Yelich contributed with two hits and an RBI.

Milwaukee’s lineup has been consistent, with players like Rhys Hoskins and Sal Frelick providing power. Hoskins has nine home runs and 35 RBIs, while Frelick holds a .295 batting average. The Brewers rank second in stolen bases this season, showing their aggressive base-running strategy.

DL Hall will start for the Brewers, boasting an impressive 1.69 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP. Hall’s ability to limit hits and walks will be key against the Reds. With strong pitching and a lineup capable of producing runs, the Brewers have the tools to secure a victory in the upcoming game.

The Reds Can Win If…

The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a 4-2 win against the Milwaukee Brewers. Hunter Greene pitched five innings, allowing two runs and striking out seven. Tyler Stephenson and Will Benson both hit home runs, contributing to the Reds’ victory.

The Reds have shown solid hitting stats this season. They rank 5th in doubles with 105 and have hit 64 home runs, placing them 11th in the league. Their on-base percentage of .319 ranks 11th, showing they can get runners on base.

Andrew Abbott will start for the Reds, bringing an impressive 1.51 ERA and a 5-0 record. His ability to keep opponents’ batting averages low, at .230, is a key factor. With their strong pitching and hitting, the Reds have a good chance to win this game.

The Lean

The Reds are favored with a moneyline of -122, while the Brewers are at +104. The Reds have a better batting average and slugging percentage, ranking 12th and 11th respectively. My model projects the Reds to win 5-4. Thus, I recommend picking the Reds to win straight up.

The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Brewers’ pitching has an ERA of 3.96, ranked 17th, while the Reds’ pitching is stronger with an ERA of 3.71, ranked 10th. My model projects a total of 9 runs. Therefore, I recommend taking the over for this game.

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Homer-Robbing TJ Friedl, Reds Target Series Win Over Brewers

TJ Friedl didn’t just make the play of the game—he may have made the play of the season.

On Tuesday night, with two outs in the ninth and the Milwaukee Brewers threatening to erase a 4-2 lead, Friedl sprinted to the wall and reached high above the fence to pull back a would-be game-tying homer off the bat of Jake Bauers.

The Cincinnati faithful went wild, and even Reds manager Terry Francona was floored. “That was certainly a nice feeling,” he said. “You may have seen a grown man crying.”

With that one catch, Friedl snapped the Brewers’ eight-game win streak, ended the Reds’ losing streak, and ignited a team trying to find its identity in a tough NL Central.

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Breaking the Curse: Can Cincinnati Finally Win a Series?

Let’s not sugarcoat it—Milwaukee has owned this matchup. Cincinnati has lost 11 straight series and 15 of the last 17 against the Brewers since 2021. But after Tuesday’s emotional win, they now have a shot at a series victory in the rubber match.

Thanks to homers by Tyler Stephenson and Will Benson, the Reds outslugged a red-hot Brewers club. Even as Hunter Greene exited early due to a groin issue, his performance—23 first-pitch strikes to 24 batters—kept Milwaukee quiet for five innings.

Now, with Greene heading for an MRI, the Reds’ ability to rally behind solid pitching and timely defense becomes even more crucial.

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All Eyes on Abbott vs Hall: A Pitching Battle with High Stakes

Wednesday’s finale features an intriguing lefty duel.

Andrew Abbott (5-0, 1.51 ERA) has been the Reds’ ace this season, dominating May with a ridiculous 0.55 ERA—the lowest by any qualifying pitcher in the league that month. His poise, command, and ability to navigate lineups twice or more make him Cincinnati’s best bet at securing their first series win against Milwaukee in years.

The Brewers will counter with DL Hall (1-0, 1.69 ERA), who’s working as an opener but has been stellar in short stints. His last outing? Three hitless innings against Philadelphia. Hall also carries a sparkling 0.77 ERA in two previous starts against Cincinnati.

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Momentum Shift or Just a Pause for the Brewers?

Cincinnati’s clubhouse energy is buzzing—finally.

According to Francona, the team’s spirit hasn’t wavered despite recent struggles. “They keep bringing energy, and that’s sometimes more valuable than the stat line,” he said. Friedl’s catch might’ve just flipped a switch for a group that’s battled through tough games and tougher stretches.

The Brewers, on the other hand, are built for the long haul. Tuesday’s loss hurt, but with a strong bullpen, clutch hitting, and elite game management, they’re never far from bouncing back. They’ve won games in every way imaginable this season, and they’re still a force in the NL.

But with the Reds’ bullpen stabilized and Abbott on the hill, this series finale is shaping up to be a critical tone-setter for both teams heading into the heart of the summer schedule.