New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Predictions June 15th 2025

New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Sun, Jun 15, 12:40 pm.
New York Mets
ML: -167
0
9
Tampa Bay Rays
ML: 135
Last Updated on

The Tampa Bay Rays will take on the New York Mets at Citi Field on Sunday, June 15, 2025. The game is set for an afternoon start at 1:40 PM. Fans can catch the action on WPIX as the Rays, with a 38-32 record, look to improve their road performance of 15-12.

The Mets, managed by Carlos Mendoza, hold a strong 45-26 record this season. They have been dominant at home with a 27-9 record. The starting pitchers are Shane Baz for the Rays and Griffin Canning for the Mets. Weather conditions are expected to be mild with overcast clouds and a light breeze.

Rays vs Mets Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Mets
  • Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
  • Date: Sunday, June 15, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Mets MoneyLine -167, Rays MoneyLine +141

The Rays Can Win If…

The Tampa Bay Rays enter their next game with momentum after defeating the New York Mets 8-4. In their recent game, the Rays showcased a strong offense with 12 hits, including five extra-base hits. Key performances came from Taylor Walls, who went 2-for-3 with two doubles and two RBIs, and Junior Caminero, who contributed a home run.

The Rays have been effective on the base paths, leading the league with 97 stolen bases. Their batting average of .248 ranks 8th in the league, showing they can get on base consistently. With players like Jonathan Aranda hitting .316, the Rays have a balanced lineup capable of producing runs.

Shane Baz will start for the Rays, bringing a 5-3 record to the mound. While his ERA is 4.97, Baz has shown the ability to keep games close. The Rays’ pitching staff ranks 8th in ERA at 3.50, indicating they can limit opponent scoring and support their offense effectively.

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets are coming off a tough loss against the Tampa Bay Rays, 8-4. Despite the loss, the Mets showed some power at the plate with home runs from Brett Baty and Ronny Mauricio. Francisco Lindor also had a strong game, going 2 for 4 with a run and a double.

The Mets have been strong offensively this season, ranking 3rd in on-base percentage at .330. They also hold the 5th spot in slugging percentage with .425. Pete Alonso leads the team with 17 home runs and 63 RBIs, making him a key player to watch in this game.

On the mound, Griffin Canning will start for the Mets. He has an impressive 3.22 ERA and a 6-2 record. The Mets’ pitching staff ranks 1st in earned run average at 2.91, indicating they can keep the game within reach.

The Lean

The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -167, while the Rays are at +141. The Mets have a strong pitching lineup, with a league-best ERA of 2.91. Given their solid performance and the Rays’ lower batting stats, the Mets are the pick to win. The model projects a score of Mets 5, Rays 3.

The over/under line is set at 8.0. The Mets’ pitching strength and the Rays’ average batting suggest a lower-scoring game. With the model projecting a total score of 8, taking the under is recommended. The Mets’ ability to limit home runs further supports this choice.

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Former Mets Fuel Rays’ Push for a Sweep in New York

The Tampa Bay Rays are on the verge of making a major statement. They’ll look to complete a three-game road sweep of the New York Mets, who own the best record in the National League, on Sunday afternoon. To add insult to injury, they’re doing it with a little help from some old friends.

A Dish of Revenge at Citi Field

A trio of former Mets farmhands has played a key role in the Rays’ two victories this series. Outfielder Jake Mangum, a 2019 Mets draft pick, has three hits, while relievers Eric Orze and Edwin Uceta both contributed to Friday’s win. For Mangum, performing well in his old stomping grounds has been a special experience.

“When I got drafted and spent four years with the Mets, this was where, like, your dream destination was,” Mangum said. “So to get here and play a game here, really cool.” This “revenge game” angle is always a compelling factor in our expert betting guide.

A baseball player in a white uniform with blue accents celebrates joyfully after a play, showing dirt stains on the front of his outfit.

A Rare Stumble for the Mets

The series loss is just the second all season for the Mets at Citi Field, a testament to how well the Rays are playing. Tampa Bay has won 17 of its last 23 games, and their offense has been firing on all cylinders with 25 hits in the first two games in New York.

The only good news for the Mets this weekend came on the injury front, as star pitcher Kodai Senga was diagnosed with only a Grade 1 hamstring strain and may not miss significant time.

The Pitching Matchup

The Rays will hand the ball to right-hander Shane Baz (5-3, 4.97 ERA) as they go for the sweep. Baz is making his first career start against the Mets and will look to keep Tampa’s hot streak going.

The Mets will turn to right-hander Tylor Megill (6-2, 3.22) to play the role of “stopper” and salvage the finale. Megill has been a reliable part of the rotation all season and will be tasked with cooling down the Rays’ hot bats. This pitching duel will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.

As the Rays try to put a cap on a statement weekend against one of the best MLB teams, the Mets will fight to avoid the sweep. To see who our experts think will win, check out our daily MLB picks.

spread
moneyline
over/under
New York Mets
-
-
-167
O 7.5
-133
Tampa Bay Rays
-
-
135
U 7.5
105
Kyle Parker
Kyle Parker | Handicapper

Kyle has put the hammer down for more than 25-years as a bookie, line mover, oddsmaker, and gambler. He knows trends, and has proven it time and again with win, after win.

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