Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies June 16th 2025
The Philadelphia Phillies are set to take on the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park in Miami, FL. The game is scheduled for Monday, June 16, 2025, at 6:40 PM. Fans can catch the action on NSPPH. The Phillies have a season record of 42-29, placing them 2 games back in the NL East. The Marlins, with a 28-41 record, are 15 games back in the same division. Mick Abel will start for the Phillies, bringing an ERA of 2.35. Sandy Alcantara will pitch for the Marlins, with an ERA of 7.14.
Phillies vs Marlins Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
- Venue: loanDepot Park in Miami, FL
- Date: Monday, June 16, 2025
- Betting Odds: Phillies MoneyLine -130, Marlins MoneyLine +110
The Phillies Can Win If…
The Philadelphia Phillies enter their next game with momentum from a recent win over the Toronto Blue Jays, 11-4. Zack Wheeler pitched six innings, allowing only one earned run and striking out nine. Alec Bohm and Nick Castellanos contributed with home runs, driving in a combined seven runs.
The Phillies have strong team stats that could lead to another win. They rank second in batting average at .257 and third in on-base percentage at .330. Their pitching staff is also effective, leading the league with 39 quality starts and ranking second in strikeouts with 662.
Philadelphia’s lineup features several players who can impact the game. Kyle Schwarber leads with 22 home runs, while Trea Turner holds a .300 batting average. Mick Abel, with a 2.35 ERA, will start against the Miami Marlins, facing Sandy Alcantara, who has struggled with a 7.14 ERA. The matchup looks favorable for the Phillies.
The Marlins Can Win If…
The Miami Marlins head into their next game with confidence after a 3-1 win against the Washington Nationals. Dane Myers was a key player, going 3 for 4 with a home run and an RBI. Nick Fortes also contributed with three hits, helping the team secure their third straight win.
The Marlins have shown solid hitting this season, with a batting average of .252, ranking 7th in the league. Their lineup includes players like Agustín Ramírez, who has hit 10 home runs, and Kyle Stowers, who has 33 RBIs. These stats highlight their ability to produce runs and create scoring opportunities.
On the mound, Sandy Alcantara will start for the Marlins. Despite a high ERA, Alcantara has shown the ability to deliver strong outings, like his six-inning scoreless performance against the Pirates on June 10th. With the support of a capable offense, the Marlins have a good chance to continue their winning streak.
The Lean
The Phillies are favored with a moneyline of -130 against the Marlins at +110. The Phillies have a strong batting average, ranking 2nd in the league, which gives them an edge. My model projects the Phillies to win 5-4. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Phillies to win straight up.
The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Phillies’ pitching has a decent ERA of 3.90, while the Marlins’ pitching struggles with a 5.03 ERA. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. Given these stats, the recommendation is to take the over on the total.
Battle of the Sweeps as Phillies Visit Marlins
Two teams riding high on confidence will clash in Miami on Monday night as the Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins open a four-game series. Both clubs are coming off dominant three-game weekend sweeps and will look to keep their momentum rolling.
Philly’s Rookie Spark Plug
The Phillies have won five of their last six games and were overpowering in their sweep of the Blue Jays, outscoring them 22-6. A big part of their recent success has been rookie infielder Otto Kemp, who has provided a major spark since being called up to replace the injured Bryce Harper. Kemp is hitting .417 in his last six games.
“He’s great; he’s a pro,” Phillies manager Rob Thomson said. “He’s got some swagger to him.”

Miami Finally Gets a Sweep
The Marlins are also feeling good after securing their first series sweep of the season against the Nationals. Outfielder Dane Myers has been leading the way offensively, hitting .333 with a home run and three RBIs over the last three games.
“I think just being able to go out there and play free,” Myers said of his recent success. “It’s nice to go out every day and kind of be myself and play the way I like to play.”
A Duel of Youth and Experience
Monday’s opener features a fascinating pitching matchup. The Phillies will start prized rookie Mick Abel (1-0, 2.35 ERA), who has shown tremendous poise while filling in for an injured Aaron Nola.
The Marlins will counter with former Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara (3-7, 7.14 ERA). After a brutal start to the season, Alcantara has looked like his old self in his last two outings, allowing just two total runs over 12 innings and finally snapping a seven-start losing streak. “It’s been a long time without winning the game, so very happy and proud of myself,” Alcantara said. This battle between a rising rookie and a rebounding ace will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.
With both MLB teams playing their best baseball of the season, this series opener is set to be a thriller. Deciding which team will stay hot is a challenge for our expert betting guide. To see who the pros are backing, check out our daily MLB picks.