Twins vs. Tigers Game Preview: Ober Seeks June Redemption in Detroit

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins June 28th 2025

The Minnesota Twins will visit the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on Saturday, June 28, 2025. The game is set for an afternoon start at 1:10 PM, and it will be broadcast on MNNT. The weather forecast predicts mild conditions with a light breeze and broken clouds, making it a comfortable day for baseball.

Rocco Baldelli leads the Twins, who have a 40-42 record this season. They are 10 games back in the AL Central. The Tigers, managed by A.J. Hinch, have a 51-32 record and a strong home performance at 28-14. The starting pitchers are Bailey Ober for the Twins and Casey Mize for the Tigers. Mize holds a 2.88 ERA, while Ober has a 4.90 ERA.

Twins vs Tigers Key Information

Sport: Baseball
Teams: Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers
Venue: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI
Date: Saturday, June 28, 2025
Betting Odds: Twins MoneyLine +129, Tigers MoneyLine -154

The Twins Can Win If…

The Minnesota Twins are coming off a 4-1 win against the Detroit Tigers. David Festa pitched well, going 5 2/3 innings without giving up a run. Byron Buxton hit a home run, and Brooks Lee added two RBIs, showcasing their offensive skills.

The Twins have solid stats that show their potential to win. Their batting average is .242, ranking 14th in the league. They also rank 12th in home runs with 94, which can be a game-changer.

Bailey Ober will start for the Twins, and he aims to improve his 4-5 record. The Twins’ pitching staff has given up only 83 home runs, ranking 8th in the league. With a balanced lineup and strong pitching, the Twins have a good chance to win the game.

The Tigers Can Win If…

The Detroit Tigers are set to bounce back after their 1-4 loss to the Minnesota Twins. In that game, Gleyber Torres stood out with two hits and an RBI. Sawyer Gipson-Long pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing three earned runs and striking out five.

The Tigers have been strong this season with a batting average of .253, ranking sixth in the league. Their slugging percentage of .421 places them fourth, showing their ability to hit with power. With 135 doubles, they rank eighth, highlighting their knack for extra-base hits.

Casey Mize will start for the Tigers, boasting an ERA of 2.88. His record of 7-2 shows his effectiveness on the mound. With strong performances from hitters like Riley Greene, who has 17 home runs and a .292 average, the Tigers have the tools to secure a win.

The Lean

The Tigers are favored with a moneyline of -154 against the Twins at +129. The Tigers have a better batting average and slugging percentage, ranking 6th and 4th respectively. Given these stats, the recommendation is to pick the Tigers to win. The model projects the Tigers to win with a score of 5-3.

The over/under line is set at 8.5. The Tigers’ pitching staff has a strong ERA of 3.51, ranked 6th, which suggests a low-scoring game. The model projects a total score of 8, so the recommendation is to take the under. The Twins’ hitting ranks are lower, supporting the under pick.

The Minnesota Twins send Bailey Ober (4–5, 4.90 June ERA) to the mound Saturday in Detroit, seeking to shake off a rough month and snap a four-start losing streak. Across 24⅓ innings in June he’s allowed 23 runs, including 10 homers, and will face a Tigers lineup eager to strike early. For a full breakdown of team trends and player matchups, see our MLB preview.

Bailey Ober’s Redemption Quest

Ober hasn’t won since May 3 and has surrendered at least one long ball in each June start. His seven-inning, seven-run effort in Seattle showed durability but highlighted a need to mix in more off-speed offerings and disrupt hitters’ timing. For angle-driven recommendations on how to play his bounce-back outing, check out our MLB picks page.

Casey Mize’s Consistent June

Mize enters 4–0 in June, never allowing more than two earned runs and walking nobody in his last two starts. Detroit will monitor his pitch count after he exited his Tampa outing with cramping; strict hydration and the club’s training protocols should help him maintain stamina. For deeper statistical context and strategy, consult our expert betting guide.

Historical Edge in Familiar Matchups

Ober owns a 4–2 mark and 3.39 ERA over 11 career starts against Detroit, suggesting he knows how to exploit their tendencies. Conversely, Mize is just 1–4 with a 5.30 ERA in eight starts versus Minnesota, indicating the Twins’ lineup has his number and may produce early runs.

Offensive Momentum

Minnesota snapped a five-game skid with a 4–1 win Friday, paced by Byron Buxton’s solo homer and two-run single. Buxton has eight June long balls and 19 RBIs while hitting .304, and a hot bat in the middle of the order could provide the run support Ober needs. Track the month’s top performers on the handicappers’ leaderboard.

Betting Considerations

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Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Predictions June 28th 2025