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Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres June 29th 2025
The San Diego Padres travel to Cincinnati to take on the Reds at Great American Ball Park. This afternoon game starts at 1:40 PM on Sunday, June 29, 2025. Fans can watch the game on FDSOH. The weather forecast predicts a warm day with overcast clouds and calm winds blowing in.
The Padres, managed by Mike Schildt, hold a 45-37 record and are 6 games behind in the NL West. They have a road record of 20-23. Stephen Kolek will start for the Padres, bringing an ERA of 3.95. The Reds, led by Terry Francona, have a 43-40 record and are also 6 games behind in their division, the NL Central. They have a home record of 23-19. Nick Lodolo will take the mound for the Reds, with an ERA of 3.63.
Padres vs Reds Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Date: Sunday, June 29, 2025
- Betting Odds: Reds MoneyLine -134, Padres MoneyLine +113
The Padres Can Win If…
The San Diego Padres are coming off a 6-4 win against the Cincinnati Reds. Gavin Sheets led the way with a home run and three RBIs. Jake Cronenworth and Luis Arraez also contributed with home runs, showing the Padres’ ability to score runs through power hitting.
The Padres’ batting lineup has been strong this season, with a team batting average of .247, ranking 8th in the league. They are also ranked 15th in doubles, which shows their ability to get extra-base hits. With hitters like Manny Machado and Gavin Sheets, the Padres have the potential to score runs quickly.
On the mound, Stephen Kolek will start for the Padres with a 3.95 ERA. The Padres’ pitching staff has a team ERA of 3.67, placing them 8th in the league. Their ability to limit home runs, ranking 7th in the league, will be key in keeping the Reds’ offense in check.
The Reds Can Win If…
The Cincinnati Reds are looking to bounce back after a 6-4 loss to the San Diego Padres. In that game, the Reds had 10 hits, with TJ Friedl, Matt McLain, and Gavin Lux each contributing multiple hits. Andrew Abbott pitched five innings, allowing one earned run and striking out four, showing solid control on the mound.
The Reds have a strong lineup that ranks 8th in batting average and doubles in the league. Elly De La Cruz leads the team with 18 home runs and a .277 batting average. Their pitching staff is also notable, with a team ERA of 3.84 and a batting average against of .232, ranking 5th in the league.
Nick Lodolo will start for the Reds with an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.12. Lodolo has been reliable this season, and the Reds have a good chance with him on the mound. With strong hitting and solid pitching, the Reds have the tools needed for a win against the Padres.
The Lean
The Reds are favored with a moneyline of -134, while the Padres sit at +113. Given the Reds’ stronger batting stats, including a higher slugging percentage and more home runs, the recommendation is to pick the Reds to win straight up. The model projects the Reds to win with a score of 5-4.
The over/under line is set at 9.0. Both teams have solid hitting stats, but their pitching ranks are also strong, with the Reds having a low batting average against. The model projects a total score of 9, suggesting the game will be close to the line. The recommendation is to pick the under, expecting a total score slightly below 9.0.
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Gavin Sheets’ Career Year Leads Padres into Rubber Match vs. Reds
Gavin Sheets is proving to be one of the best under-the-radar signings of the offseason. The versatile slugger is having a career year for the San Diego Padres, and his heroics on Saturday have put his team in position to win their series against the host Cincinnati Reds in Sunday afternoon’s rubber match.
A Change of Scenery
After being non-tendered by the White Sox, Sheets signed a minor-league deal with the Padres and has found a new life. He is on pace to shatter his previous career highs in nearly every offensive category. On Saturday, he went 3-for-5 with two doubles and a go-ahead, three-run home run in the seventh inning to lead the Padres to a 6-4 comeback win.
“I knew I needed to get it in the air, and fortunately I did and it did some damage,” Sheets said. “I have been taking a lot of BP off the machine before games, and it is paying off.”
Quietly Contending Reds
The Reds are looking to bounce back and secure another series victory. While they sit in fourth place in the NL Central, they are over .500 and in the thick of the Wild Card race. A win on Sunday would give them victories in six of their last seven series, proving they are one of the most consistent MLB teams in the league over the past month.
“We’re playing pretty good and complete baseball,” said Reds starter Nick Lodolo. “Everyone is contributing in different ways.”
A Duel on the Mound
Sunday’s pitching matchup features two talented arms. The Padres will send out right-hander Stephen Kolek (3-3, 3.95 ERA), a steady presence in their rotation all season. He will be making his first career start against the Reds.
Cincinnati will counter with lefty Nick Lodolo (5-5, 3.63 ERA). While Lodolo has struggled for much of June, his manager, David Bell, was encouraged by his last start against the Yankees. “When his velocity ticks up, I like that,” Bell said. “Everything is more crisp when that happens.” This intriguing matchup is a key focus on the scores and odds board.
Stakes of the Series
This rubber match is a key test for both clubs. Finding value in players like Gavin Sheets is a topic often discussed in our expert betting guide. The Padres want to build momentum, while the Reds want to prove their consistency. To see who our experts think will win, check out our daily MLB picks.
