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New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers July 1st 2025
The Milwaukee Brewers will take on the New York Mets at Citi Field in New York. This night game is set for Tuesday, July 1, 2025, at 7:10 PM. Fans can catch the action on SNY, with weather conditions expected to be very hot and overcast.
The Brewers, managed by Pat Murphy, have a season record of 47-37. They are currently 2 games behind in the NL Central. Meanwhile, the Mets, led by Carlos Mendoza, have a record of 48-37 and are also 2 games back in the NL East. Starting on the mound for the Brewers is Freddy Peralta, while Clay Holmes will pitch for the Mets.
Brewers vs Mets Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
- Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
- Date: Tuesday, July 1, 2025
- Betting Odds: Mets -128, Brewers +108
The Brewers Can Win If…
The Milwaukee Brewers recently played a close game against the Colorado Rockies, losing 4-3. Despite the loss, starting pitcher Chad Patrick delivered a strong performance with 8 strikeouts over 5 innings. Sal Frelick and Christian Yelich each contributed with a home run, showcasing their ability to produce runs.
Milwaukee’s batting stats show why they can win. They rank 8th in on-base percentage at .320 and 7th in walks with 291. Their aggressive base running is also a factor, as they rank 3rd in stolen bases with 99.
Freddy Peralta will start for the Brewers, bringing his impressive 2.90 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Peralta’s ability to control the game and limit runs gives the Brewers a solid chance. With key hitters like Brice Turang and Christian Yelich in the lineup, Milwaukee has the tools to secure a win.
The Mets Can Win If…
The New York Mets are coming off a tough series against the Pittsburgh Pirates. In their last game, the Mets lost 1-12, but Luis Torrens showed some power with a home run. Despite the loss, the Mets’ lineup has some strong hitters who can make a difference in the next game.
The Mets have a solid batting lineup with players like Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor. Alonso leads the team with a .291 batting average and 18 home runs. The team’s overall slugging percentage ranks 6th in the league, showing their potential to score big.
On the mound, Clay Holmes will start for the Mets. Holmes has an ERA of 2.97 and has been reliable this season. With strong pitching and the ability to hit home runs, the Mets have the tools to win this game against the Brewers.
The Lean
The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -128 against the Brewers at +108. The Mets have a stronger slugging percentage and fewer home runs allowed, ranking 6th and 1st respectively. My model projects the Mets to win with a score of 5-3. Thus, the recommendation is to pick the Mets on the moneyline.
The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Mets’ pitching has a solid ERA of 3.48, ranking 5th, while the Brewers’ ERA is 3.77. My model projects a total score of 8 runs. Given these stats, the recommendation is to take the under for this game.
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Mets Licking Their Wounds as Red-Hot Brewers Come to Town
The New York Mets are coming home from a disastrous road trip to lick their wounds, but things don’t get any easier. Mired in their worst slump of the season, the New York Mets will open a series on Tuesday night against one of the hottest teams in baseball, the visiting Milwaukee Brewers.
A Crisis in Queens
The Mets are in a complete free-fall. They have lost 13 of their last 16 games and were just swept by the Pirates over the weekend, getting outscored 30-4 in the three games. Their struggles have been so profound that team owner Steven Cohen took to social media to post a “Keep the faith!” message to the frustrated fanbase. The team’s offense has been the primary issue, as their .217 batting average with runners in scoring position is the worst in the National League.
“We are all frustrated,” manager Carlos Mendoza said. “Obviously, we’re not going to lie, we’re better than that, and they know that.”
Milwaukee’s Machine
While the Mets are struggling, the Brewers are surging. They have won eight of their last ten games, and their offense has been on fire, leading the league by averaging 7.8 runs per game during that stretch. The charge has been led by Christian Yelich and Brice Turang, who are on 12- and 13-game hitting streaks, respectively. Even in their lone loss on Sunday, manager Pat Murphy saw it as a “good reminder that you can lose these games. You got to play every pitch.”
A Duel of 8-Game Winners
Tuesday’s game features a premier pitching matchup between two right-handers who are tied for the league lead with eight wins. The Mets will send Luis Severino (8-4, 2.97 ERA) to the mound. Severino has been solid, but has struggled with his control lately, issuing 10 walks over his last two starts.
The Brewers will counter with their ace, Freddy Peralta (8-4, 2.90 ERA). Peralta has been dominant and has a fantastic 3-0 career record with a 2.60 ERA against the Mets. This pitching matchup will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.
Can the Mets Turn it Around?
The Mets are desperate for a win to stop their slide against one of the hottest MLB teams. How a talented but slumping team performs against a hot opponent is a key topic in our expert betting guide. To see if our experts think the Mets can finally get a win, check out our daily MLB picks.
