New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Predictions July 2nd 2025

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers July 2nd 2025

The Milwaukee Brewers will visit the New York Mets at Citi Field on Wednesday, July 2, 2025. The game is set for an afternoon start at 1:10 PM and will be broadcast on SNY. The weather forecast predicts a mild day with light rain and a gentle breeze, which could affect play on the outdoor field.

The Brewers, managed by Pat Murphy, enter with a 47-37 record, sitting 2 games back in the NL Central. Their starting pitcher, Freddy Peralta, has an ERA of 2.90 and a WHIP of 1.13. The Mets, under manager Carlos Mendoza, hold a 48-37 record, also 2 games back in the NL East. Clay Holmes will start for the Mets, bringing an ERA of 2.97 and a WHIP of 1.24. Both teams have strong division records at 15-11, setting the stage for a competitive game.

Brewers vs Mets Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
• Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
• Date: Wednesday, July 2, 2025
• Betting Odds: Brewers Moneyline +114, Mets Moneyline -137

The Brewers Can Win If…

The Milwaukee Brewers are coming off a narrow 4-3 loss against the Colorado Rockies. Despite the loss, Chad Patrick delivered an impressive performance, pitching five innings and allowing no runs. Sal Frelick also stood out with a home run, contributing to the Brewers’ offensive efforts.

The Brewers have a solid lineup, with Brice Turang leading the team in runs with 54. Their on-base percentage of .320 ranks ninth in the league, showing their ability to get on base consistently. With 99 stolen bases, the Brewers are third in the league, indicating their aggressive base running strategy.

Freddy Peralta will take the mound for the Brewers with an ERA of 2.90 and a WHIP of 1.13. His strong pitching could be key in this game. The Brewers’ pitching staff has maintained a batting average against of .239, ranked 11th, showing their ability to limit opposing hitters.

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets are coming off a tough road trip against the Pittsburgh Pirates, where they struggled to find their rhythm. In their most recent game, they fell 12-1, with Frankie Montas having a rough outing. Despite the loss, Luis Torrens showed some power, hitting a home run and driving in the only run for the Mets.

One reason the Mets can win is their strong pitching staff. Clay Holmes, with an ERA of 2.97, is set to start against the Brewers. The Mets’ pitching ranks fourth in the league with a 3.48 ERA, and they have given up the fewest home runs this season, which can keep them in games.

Offensively, the Mets have some key players who can make a difference. Pete Alonso leads the team with 18 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Juan Soto has hit 20 home runs. The Mets rank seventh in slugging percentage, which shows they have the power to change the game with one swing.

The Lean

The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -137, while the Brewers sit at +114. Given the Mets’ strong slugging percentage, ranked 7th, and their 4th ranked ERA of 3.48, the Mets are the pick to win. The projected score is Mets 5, Brewers 3, aligning with the Mets’ advantage in both hitting and pitching.

The total for the game is set at 8.0. With the Mets’ pitching strength and the Brewers’ lower slugging rank of 19th, the game is likely to stay under. The projected total is 8 runs, suggesting a close call, but the under at 8.0 (-111) is the recommendation.

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Mets and Brewers Set for Day-Night Doubleheader After Rainout

After Tuesday night’s series opener was postponed by rain, the struggling New York Mets and the surging Milwaukee Brewers will get a full day of baseball with a day-night doubleheader on Wednesday. It’s a tough task for a Mets team that has been in a free-fall for nearly three weeks.

A Tale of Two Trajectories

This series features two teams heading in completely opposite directions. The Mets, who had the best record in baseball on June 12, have lost 13 of their last 16 games and have fallen out of first place in the NL East. Their offense, particularly with runners in scoring position, has been among the worst in the league.

The Brewers, meanwhile, are coming off a 16-9 month of June and have won eight of their last 10 games. Their offense has been on fire, and their stars, Christian Yelich and Brice Turang, are riding long hitting streaks.

Game 1: The Ace Duel

The afternoon game features a fantastic pitching matchup between two of the National League’s best, who are both tied for the league lead with eight wins. The Brewers will send out their ace, Freddy Peralta (8-4, 2.90 ERA). Peralta has been dominant all season and has a fantastic career record against the Mets.

The Mets will counter with their own veteran ace, Luis Severino (8-4, 2.97 ERA). Severino has been a steady presence for the Mets but has struggled with his control in his last couple of starts. This premier duel will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.

Game 2: The Rookie Showcase

The nightcap may be even more exciting, as it features one of the most hyped young pitchers in baseball. Brewers rookie sensation Jacob Misiorowski (3-0, 1.13 ERA) will make his fourth career start. The 6-foot-7 flamethrower has been incredible so far, allowing just two runs in his first 16 big-league innings.

The Mets will counter with their own rookie, Blade Tidwell (0-1, 10.13 ERA), who has struggled in his first few appearances. The challenges of a doubleheader are a key topic in our expert betting guide.

For two MLB teams with playoff aspirations, this doubleheader is a crucial test. To see who our experts are backing, check out our daily MLB picks.