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Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies July 11th
The Colorado Rockies will take on the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on Friday, July 11, 2025. The game is set for a 7:10 PM start and will be broadcast on COLR. Fans can expect a very hot night with a light breeze and scattered clouds.
The Rockies, managed by Warren Schaeffer, have struggled this season with a 21-72 record. On the mound for Colorado is Germán Márquez, who has a 5.84 ERA. The Reds, led by Terry Francona, hold a 48-46 record. Chase Burns will start for Cincinnati, bringing an 8.10 ERA to the game.
Rockies vs Reds Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Venue: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
- Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
- Betting Odds: Rockies Moneyline +182, Reds Moneyline -218, Rockies Runline +1.5 (-108), Reds Runline -1.5 (-112), Total Over 9.5 (-105), Total Under 9.5 (-116)
The Rockies Can Win If…
The Colorado Rockies will look to bounce back after their recent loss to the Boston Red Sox. In that game, Kyle Farmer hit a home run and drove in two runs. Michael Toglia and Tyler Freeman also contributed with two hits each, showing that the lineup can produce.
One reason the Rockies can win is their ability to hit doubles, ranking 8th in the league with 150. Their top hitter, Hunter Goodman, has a .280 batting average and leads the team with 17 home runs. His performance will be key in driving the offense forward.
Starting pitcher Germán Márquez will take the mound, and he has the chance to turn things around. Although his ERA is 5.84, he faces Chase Burns, who has an ERA of 8.10. This matchup gives Márquez an opportunity to outperform the opposing pitcher and lead his team to victory.
The Reds Can Win If…
The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a strong 6-0 win against the Miami Marlins. Nick Lodolo pitched six innings, allowing only three hits and no runs. Elly De La Cruz and Austin Hays led the offense with multiple hits and RBIs, showing their ability to drive in runs.
The Reds have shown they can be effective at the plate. They rank 8th in doubles and 10th in batting average. This ability to get on base and hit for extra bases can be key in their upcoming game.
Elly De La Cruz stands out as a top performer with a .280 batting average and 18 home runs. His contributions, along with consistent performances from players like Spencer Steer, could lead the Reds to another win. With Chase Burns on the mound, the Reds will look to support him with solid defense and timely hitting.
The Lean
The Reds are favored to win with a moneyline of -218. The Rockies have a moneyline of +182. My model projects the Reds to win 6-4. The Reds have a stronger batting average and earned run average, which supports this pick.
The total runs line is set at 9.5. My model projects a total of 10 runs. Given the Rockies’ high earned run average of 5.69, betting on the over at 9.5 (-105) is recommended.
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A Tale of Two Histories: Reds Host Rockies in Series Opener
It is a tale of two very different pursuits of history as the Cincinnati Reds host the Colorado Rockies to open the final series before the All-Star break. The Cincinnati Reds are trying to continue a positive franchise record, while the Colorado Rockies are trying to avoid an infamous one.
The Reds’ Resilient Run
The Reds have not been swept in a single series this season, a streak that has reached 30 series and is the second-longest to start a season in franchise history. After a four-game losing streak, the team bounced back with two dominant wins to close out their last series, and now they need just one win this weekend to guarantee a winning record at the All-Star break.
“We worked so hard to kind of get where we were and then to give it back — and now we’ve got to push, we’ve got to really push Then they’ll get a really well-deserved break.”
-David Bell
“Shame On You”
While the Reds are chasing a positive record, the Rockies are on pace for a historically bad one. At 21-72, they are on pace to lose 125 games, which would be more than last year’s record-setting Chicago White Sox. Despite the struggles, interim manager Warren Schaeffer delivered a fiery message to his team, saying there is no excuse for a lack of motivation.
“If you can’t get yourself motivated to try to win a ballgame together with guys that you love… if you can’t get it up to compete that night, shame on you,” Schaeffer said.
A Duel of Right-Handers
Friday’s pitching matchup features two right-handers. The Reds will give the ball to their top prospect, Chase Burns (0-1, 8.10 ERA), for his fourth career start. Burns was solid in his last outing, allowing just one run over 4 2/3 innings.
The Rockies will counter with veteran German Marquez (3-10, 5.84), who is coming off a rough start where he was hit hard by the White Sox. This matchup will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.
The mindset of two MLB teams in such different situations is a key topic in our expert betting guide. To see who our experts are backing in the series opener, check out our daily MLB picks.
