Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins Picks and Predictions July 12th 2025

Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins July 12th 2025

The Miami Marlins will take on the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This afternoon game is set for Saturday, July 12, 2025, at 4:05 PM. Fans can catch the action on MASN.

The Marlins, led by manager Clayton McCullough, come into this game with a 42-51 record. On the mound for Miami is Janson Junk, who has a 3.12 ERA. The Orioles, managed by interim Tony Mansolino, hold a 43-50 record. Trevor Rogers will start for Baltimore, boasting a 1.57 ERA. The weather forecast predicts light rain with a warm breeze.

Marlins vs Orioles Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Miami Marlins vs. Baltimore Orioles
• Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
• Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
• Betting Odds: Marlins Moneyline +136, Orioles Moneyline -161, Marlins Runline +1.5 (-149), Orioles Runline -1.5 (+125), Total Over 9.0 (-110), Total Under 9.0 (-110)

The Marlins Can Win If…

The Miami Marlins are looking to bounce back after a recent 5-2 loss to the Baltimore Orioles. In that game, Otto Lopez stood out with a home run and two RBIs. Despite the loss, the Marlins showed potential with a home run and solid pitching from Edward Cabrera, who struck out six batters in four innings.

Key stats show the Marlins have strengths that can lead to a win. Their team batting average is .251, ranking 7th in the league. With 153 doubles, they rank 8th, indicating their ability to hit for extra bases and create scoring opportunities.

Janson Junk will start for the Marlins, bringing a strong 3.12 ERA and a WHIP of 1.04. His ability to control the game from the mound can be a significant advantage. With hitters like Agustín Ramírez and Otto Lopez in the lineup, the Marlins have the firepower to challenge the Orioles and secure a win.

The Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles recently won against the Miami Marlins, 5-2. Dean Kremer was strong on the mound, pitching seven innings with no runs allowed and seven strikeouts. Jordan Westburg and Ramón Laureano led the offense with three hits each, helping the team secure the win.

The Orioles have shown they can hit for power with 110 home runs this season, ranking 9th in the league. Ryan O’Hearn and Jackson Holliday are key contributors, both with double-digit home runs. Their ability to hit doubles also stands out, with 147 so far, placing them 11th in the league.

Trevor Rogers will start for the Orioles, and he has been effective with a 1.57 ERA and a WHIP of 0.87. His performance on the mound gives the Orioles a good chance to keep the Marlins’ hitters in check. With Rogers pitching and the team’s recent offensive output, the Orioles look well-prepared for the game.

The Lean

The Orioles are favored with a moneyline of -161 against the Marlins, who are at +136. My model projects the Orioles to win with a score of 5-4. The Orioles’ better home run and slugging stats give them an edge, making them the recommended pick.

The total for the game is set at 9.0 runs, with both the over and under at -110. My model predicts a combined score of 9 runs. Given the teams’ pitching stats, especially the high ERA rankings, the over is a reasonable pick.

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A Web of Reunions: Orioles’ Trevor Rogers to Face Former Marlins Team

Saturday night’s game in Baltimore is filled with emotional undercurrents and fascinating reunions. The surging Baltimore Orioles will look to continue their hot streak as they host the Miami Marlins, in a game where the two starting pitchers are linked by a significant offseason trade.

A Story of a Trade

The main event on the mound features Orioles lefty Trevor Rogers (2-0, 1.57 ERA) facing his former team for the very first time. Rogers was a longtime Marlin before being traded to Baltimore last year for two prospects: infielder Connor Norby and outfielder Kyle Stowers. Now, those two players are making their own emotional return to Baltimore, the city where they were drafted and developed, to face the pitcher they were traded for.

“I keep going back to the people because those are the guys I came up with in the minor leagues, and some of my best friends in the world,” Stowers said of his feelings about playing in Baltimore as a visitor. This “revenge game” web is a key topic in our expert betting guide.

Baltimore’s Belief is Growing

The Orioles are playing their best baseball of the season, having won six of their last seven games as they try to climb back to .500. The confidence in the clubhouse is soaring.

“I feel like there’s so much talent in this room… we’ve been waiting to kind of get the ball rolling,” said first baseman Ryan O’Hearn. “It feels like how it should feel.”

A Duel of Hot Hands

This game features a fantastic pitching matchup between two arms at the top of their game. Rogers has been dominant since returning to the Orioles’ rotation, coming off a start where he threw eight shutout innings. The Marlins will counter with right-hander Janson Junk (3-1, 3.12 ERA), who has been excellent himself, with back-to-back six-inning quality starts. This duel will be a major focus on the scores and odds board.

For two MLB teams trying to build momentum before the All-Star break, this game is crucial. To see who our experts are backing in this emotional matchup, check out our daily MLB picks.