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Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres July 19th 2025
Padres vs Nationals Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals
- Venue: Nationals Park in Washington, DC
- Date: Saturday, July 19, 2025
- Betting Odds: Padres Moneyline -147, Nationals Moneyline +124
The Padres Can Win If…
The San Diego Padres are coming off a strong 7-2 win against the Washington Nationals. Dylan Cease was impressive on the mound, pitching over five innings without allowing a run and striking out ten. Manny Machado led the offense with a home run and four RBIs, while Xander Bogaerts added two hits.
The Padres have solid stats that show why they can win. Their team ERA of 3.65 ranks sixth in the league, and they have the third-best batting average against at .230. They have also struck out 840 batters, which ranks seventh, showing their pitching depth.
Key players like Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. are crucial for the Padres. Machado has a .290 batting average with 18 home runs and 60 RBIs. Tatis Jr. adds power with 16 home runs and speed with 67 stolen bases, ranking 12th in the league..
The Nationals Can Win If…
The Washington Nationals are looking to bounce back after a 7-2 loss to the San Diego Padres. CJ Abrams was a standout, hitting a home run and driving in two runs. Jacob Young also contributed with two hits and a run scored, showing promise for the upcoming game.
The Nationals have some strong stats that could help them win. They rank 10th in the league for doubles with 155, which shows their ability to hit for extra bases. They are also 7th in stolen bases, with 82, indicating they can create scoring opportunities on the base paths.
Mitchell Parker will be on the mound for the Nationals. He has a 5.12 ERA and has shown resilience in his starts. With the Padres’ starter Yu Darvish having a 6.48 ERA, the Nationals have a chance to capitalize and secure a win at home.
The Lean
The Padres are favored on the moneyline at -147. With a strong pitching staff ranked 6th in ERA and 3rd in batting average against, they have a good chance to win. My model projects the Padres to win 5-3, making them a solid pick to win straight up.
The total for the game is set at 9.0. The Padres’ pitching should limit the Nationals’ offense, while the Nationals’ pitching struggles with a 5.23 ERA. My model projects a combined score of 8 runs. I recommend taking the under at 9.0 (-116) as the better option.
Stay Ahead of the Diamond
MLB Data & Insights
Padres Ride Ninth-Inning Fireworks as Yu Darvish Chases History
The San Diego Padres are riding high after a massive ninth-inning rally in their last game, and on Saturday, their veteran ace has a chance to make history. The San Diego Padres will look for their second straight win as Yu Darvish takes the mound against the host Washington Nationals.
Ninth-Inning Fireworks
The Padres started the second half with a bang on Friday night. After Washington’s CJ Abrams hit a game-tying two-run homer in the eighth, San Diego exploded for a five-run top of the ninth, capped by a dramatic grand slam from superstar Manny Machado, to secure a 7-2 victory.
“Great defensive game. Great pitching performance. Just overall a really good game to start off the second half and get us going,” Machado said.
Darvish on the Brink of History
Saturday’s start is a momentous one for Yu Darvish (0-1, 6.48 ERA). With his next victory, the 38-year-old will become the winningest Japanese-born pitcher of all time, combining his wins in Major League Baseball and Nippon Professional Baseball. He is currently tied with Hiroki Kuroda with 203 career wins. This historic chase is a major storyline for all MLB teams and their fans.
A Duel of Opposite Trajectories
The pitching matchup on paper is heavily lopsided. While Darvish chases history, the Nationals will start lefty Mitchell Parker (5-10, 5.12 ERA), who is in a deep slump. Parker has a 9.28 ERA over his last two starts and was shelled by the Padres in his only career meeting with them last season. This mismatch will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.
Nationals Keep “Battling”
Despite another loss, the Nationals are trying to find positives in their competitive spirit. “It’s kind of nice to see that they’re battling. They’re playing hard,” interim manager Miguel Cairo said. “And that’s all I can ask.” How to evaluate a team that is playing hard but still losing is a key topic in our expert betting guide. To see if our experts think Darvish will make history, check out our daily MLB picks.
