New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Picks and Predictions July 19th 2025

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds July 19th 2025

The Cincinnati Reds will take on the New York Mets at Citi Field on Saturday, July 19, 2025. The game is set to start at 4:10 PM and will be broadcasted on FDSOH. Fans can expect a warm afternoon with a light breeze and overcast clouds.

The Reds, managed by Terry Francona, come into this game with a 51-47 record. They have a road record of 23-25. Nick Martinez will start for the Reds, holding a 4.78 ERA. On the other side, the Mets, led by Carlos Mendoza, have a 55-43 record and are first in the NL East. Clay Holmes will pitch for the Mets with a 3.31 ERA.

Reds vs Mets Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets
• Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
• Date: Saturday, July 19, 2025
• Betting Odds: Reds Moneyline +149, Mets Moneyline -177

The Reds Can Win If…

The Cincinnati Reds are coming off an 8-4 win against the New York Mets. Nick Lodolo pitched seven innings, giving up two earned runs and striking out seven. Austin Hays was a standout with two home runs and three RBIs.

The Reds have shown power with 107 home runs this season, ranking 15th in the league. Their batting average of .246 places them 11th, indicating a solid lineup. The Reds’ ability to hit doubles, with 158 so far, ranks them 9th, highlighting their extra-base hitting potential.

Elly De La Cruz leads the team with 18 home runs and 64 RBIs. His batting average of .283 and slugging percentage of .492 make him a key player. The Reds’ pitching staff holds a .235 batting average against, ranking 5th, which could limit the Mets’ offense.

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets are set to bounce back after their recent 8-4 loss to the Cincinnati Reds. In that game, Brandon Nimmo and Juan Soto showed strong performances. Nimmo went 2-for-3 and Soto added a home run, giving the Mets hope for their next game.

The Mets have a solid team batting average of .243, placing them 13th in the league. They rank 8th in slugging percentage at .414, which shows their ability to hit for power. With 125 home runs this season, they are also ranked 8th in the league, making them a threat at the plate.

Clay Holmes will be starting for the Mets with an ERA of 3.31. His performance on the mound could be key to securing a win. The Mets’ pitching staff ranks 5th in the league with a 3.62 ERA, which could help them control the game against the Reds.

The Lean

The Mets are the recommended moneyline pick at -177. The Mets have a stronger pitching staff with a 3.62 ERA, ranked 5th, compared to the Reds’ 3.89 ERA, ranked 17th. The model projects the Mets to win with a score of 5-3.

For the over/under pick, the recommendation is to take the under at 8.5 (-101). The Mets’ pitching strength, with fewer home runs given up and a solid batting average against, suggests a lower-scoring game. The model projects a total score of 8 runs.

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Mets Look to Solve “Middle Innings Lull” in Game 2 vs. Reds

The New York Mets are dealing with a peculiar problem: a consistent inability to score in the middle innings. They’ll try to break that trend as they look to even their series against a Cincinnati Reds team that came out of the All-Star break ready to play.

The Middle Innings Mystery

The New York Mets have a strange offensive split. They hit well in the first three innings and the final three innings of games. But in the middle frames (4-6), their offense completely disappears. This was on full display in Friday’s 8-4 loss, where they jumped out to an early 2-0 lead, went silent for the middle of the game, and then mounted a late rally that fell short.

“Just feel like those middle innings, we’re having a hard time putting a rally together,” Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said. “We’re not passing the baton.”

“Ready to Play”

While the Mets are searching for answers, the Reds came out of the break firing on all cylinders. Manager David Bell was impressed when nearly his entire team showed up for an optional workout on Thursday, a rare sight after the four-day break. “I’ve never seen that before,” the veteran manager said. “They were ready to play.” That readiness showed, as the Reds exploded for four home runs to power their victory on Friday.

A Duel of Right-Handers

Saturday’s pitching matchup features two veteran right-handers. The Mets will send Luis Severino (8-4, 3.31 ERA) to the mound. Severino will look to be the stopper and get his team back on track. The Reds will counter with Nick Martinez (7-9, 4.78 ERA), who is coming off a solid outing where he earned the win against the Rockies. This pitching matchup will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.

For two MLB teams with playoff aspirations, solving these nagging issues is crucial. The psychological aspect of in-game lulls is a key topic in our expert betting guide. To see who our experts think will win, check out our daily MLB picks.