Marlins vs Braves Prediction: Can Xavier Edwards Fuel a DH Sweep in Atlanta?
The Miami Marlins visit the Atlanta Braves on Saturday for a day-night doubleheader at Truist Park. Miami leveled the series with a 5–1 win Friday and rides the red-hot bat of Xavier Edwards (.303) into the nightcap: Sandy Alcantara (6–10, 6.44) vs Erick Fedde (3–12, 5.32). Opening odds for Game 2: Marlins -113 / Braves -105, Run Line MIA -1.5 (+149) / ATL +1.5 (-178), Total 8.5 (O -105 / U -115).
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Key Information
Category | Details |
---|---|
Sport | Baseball (MLB) |
Teams | Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves |
Venue | Truist Park — Atlanta, GA |
Date | Saturday, August 9, 2025 (Nightcap of DH) |
Probable Starters | MIA: Sandy Alcantara (RHP) • ATL: Erick Fedde (RHP) |
Broadcast | FDSSO |
Opening Odds | MIA -113 • ATL -105 • RL: MIA -1.5 (+149) / ATL +1.5 (-178) • Total 8.5 (O -105 / U -115) |
Miami Marlins Can Win If…
Edwards keeps setting the table and Alcantara steadies. Edwards is 5-for-10 in the series and leads the NL in hits since June 22, a surge he credits to sticking with his approach:
“You get punched in a mouth a little bit … you figure out how to crawl out of it and get back to playing winning baseball.” — Xavier Edwards
Miami’s offense has quietly climbed, ranking well in doubles, and the club is inching toward .500 with the Wild Card in sight. If Alcantara looks more like the late-July version (two strong starts) than the Houston stumble, the Marlins have the edge.
Atlanta Braves Can Win If…
Fedde leans on his history vs Miami and the lineup cashes in. Fedde owns a 2.64 ERA across 11 career starts against the Marlins and needs to deliver length for a team that’s dropped 12 of 16. Atlanta still flashes pop (see the 8–6 win Thursday), but must string quality at-bats together.
“Love to see [Hurston Waldrep] piggyback on that and stay up here and finish the year here.” — Brian Snitker, on Atlanta’s rookie after his strong debut (day game context)
Key MLB Betting Trends
Trend Type | Miami Marlins | Atlanta Braves |
---|---|---|
Recent Form | Won 5–1 Friday; within 1 game of .500 | Lost 12 of last 16 overall |
Starter Angle | Alcantara: 5–4, 3.05 ERA in 14 career starts vs ATL | Fedde: 4–2, 2.64 ERA in 11 career starts vs MIA |
Series Notes | Edwards 5-for-10 this series | Won 8–6 Thursday; offense streaky since |
Motivation | 5.5 games back of final NL Wild Card | Playing out the string, evaluating arms |
The Lean
Miami’s contact profile and Edwards’ heater tip a tight one toward the Fish, though both starters’ recent variance keeps the total live. Projection lands on the number but leans high given bullpen exposure in a DH.
Pick: Marlins ML (-113)
Model Score: Marlins 5, Braves 4
Total Lean: Over 8.5 (-105)
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