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Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies August 11th 2025
The Philadelphia Phillies will visit the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The game is set for Monday, August 11, 2025, at 6:10 PM. The Phillies hold a record of 68-49 and are first in the NL East. They are on a three-game winning streak and have gone 7-3 in their last ten games.
The Reds have a record of 62-57 and rank third in the NL Central. They have won their last two games and are 5-5 over their last ten. The weather forecast predicts a very hot day with clear skies and a light breeze. Phillies’ Taijuan Walker and Reds’ Andrew Abbott are the starting pitchers.
Phillies vs Reds Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Venue: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
- Date: Monday, August 11, 2025
- Betting Odds: Phillies Moneyline +107, Reds Moneyline -126
The Phillies Can Win If…
The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off a strong win against the Texas Rangers, securing a 4-2 victory. Zack Wheeler was solid on the mound, allowing only 2 earned runs over 5 innings. Edmundo Sosa contributed with a home run, while Bryson Stott and J.T. Realmuto each had two hits, showing their ability to get on base.
The Phillies’ offense has been consistent, with a team batting average of .255, ranking them 4th in the league. Their on-base percentage is .326, placing them 5th. With key players like Kyle Schwarber, who has 41 home runs, they have the power to score runs quickly.
On the pitching side, the Phillies have a team ERA of 3.70, ranking 7th. They lead the league in quality starts with 63, showing reliability from their starters. Taijuan Walker will take the mound next, and his ERA of 3.53 gives the Phillies a solid chance to keep the opposing lineup in check.
The Reds Can Win If…
The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a strong 14-8 win against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Key players like Noelvi Marte, Miguel Andujar, and Spencer Steer stood out with their performances. Each of them hit home runs, contributing to the team’s offensive success.
The Reds have shown solid batting stats this season. They rank 10th in batting average and on-base percentage. Their pitching has been effective too, with a team ERA of 3.88, placing them 12th overall.
Andrew Abbott will start for the Reds, boasting an impressive 2.34 ERA and a strong 8-2 record. His performance could be a key factor in securing another win. With players like Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer in the lineup, the Reds have a good chance to continue their winning ways.
The Lean
The Reds are favored with a moneyline of -126, while the Phillies are at +107. The Reds have a slightly better pitching staff, ranking 7th in ERA compared to the Phillies’ 12th. Given this edge in pitching and playing at home, the recommendation is to pick the Reds to win. The model projects a score of Reds 5, Phillies 4.
The total for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Phillies have a higher slugging percentage, ranked 7th, while the Reds are 16th. However, both teams have solid pitching, which might keep the score lower. The model projects a total of 9 runs, so the recommendation is to take the under at 9.5 (-109).
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Reds Return Home for Key Series vs Phillies
The Cincinnati Reds finally get to sleep in their own beds after an exhausting nine-day, three-city road trip that ended with a 14-8 slugfest win over the Pittsburgh Pirates. They’ll welcome the Philadelphia Phillies to Great American Ball Park for a three-game series starting Monday night.
Reds Ready to Reset at Home
The road trip included a unique stop at the MLB Speedway Classic in Bristol, Tenn., and tough series against the Cubs and Pirates. The Reds went 4-4 overall but had to battle back after dropping early games in both series.
Spencer Steer was a bright spot, driving in four runs in two separate games, including Sunday’s finale.
“It’ll be nice to get back home, sleep in our own beds, and we’ve got some good teams coming in,” Steer said.
Phillies Riding High
Philadelphia arrives in Cincinnati with momentum, fresh off a sweep of the Texas Rangers. Harrison Bader, acquired from the Minnesota Twins, made headlines Sunday by robbing Corey Seager of a home run in spectacular fashion.
“For a while now, we’ve been playing really solid defense,” said manager Rob Thomson.
Pitching Matchup Game 1
| Team | Pitcher | Record | ERA | Career vs Opponent | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | Andrew Abbott | 8-2 | 2.34 | 0-0, 4.85 ERA | Coming off first loss since June 4 |
| Phillies | Taijuan Walker | 4-5 | 3.53 | 3-1, 4.23 ERA | Six shutout innings vs Orioles last start |
Abbott will look to rebound after allowing four runs and two home runs in his last outing against the Cubs. Walker, meanwhile, is unbeaten in two career starts at Great American Ball Park, posting a 3.00 ERA.
Recent Form Comparison
| Team | Last 5 Games | Runs Scored | Runs Allowed | Series Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | 3-2 | 31 | 26 | 1 series win, 1 loss |
| Phillies | 5-0 | 23 | 11 | 2 series sweeps |
The Reds’ offense has been potent lately, scoring 31 runs over their last five games, but the Phillies have been even more balanced, winning with both pitching and defense.
What’s Next
After the Phillies series, the Reds finally get an off day before hosting the Milwaukee Brewers in a key divisional showdown. For Philadelphia, the goal is to maintain their NL East lead and potentially widen the gap over the Mets.
Fans can check MLB betting picks for updated odds and game props.
