Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers Picks and Predictions August 11th 2025

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The Detroit Tigers will visit the Chicago White Sox at Rate Field on Monday, August 11, 2025. The game is set to start at 7:40 PM and will be broadcast on FDSDE. The Tigers hold a record of 68-51 and lead the AL Central division. They are coming off a win and have gone 5-5 in their last ten games.

The White Sox have a 43-75 record and sit at the bottom of the AL Central. They have also won their last game but have struggled with a 4-6 record over their last ten games. The weather forecast predicts a very hot day with light rain and a light breeze. Starting on the mound for the Tigers is Chris Paddack, while Elvis Peguero will pitch for the White Sox.

Tigers vs White Sox Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
  • Venue: Rate Field in Chicago, IL
  • Date: Monday, August 11, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Tigers Moneyline -136, White Sox Moneyline +114

The Tigers Can Win If…

The Detroit Tigers are coming off a strong performance against the Los Angeles Angels, winning 9-5. Casey Mize pitched five innings, allowing only three hits and two earned runs. Kerry Carpenter and Riley Greene led the offense with home runs, driving in a combined seven runs.

The Tigers rank 6th in slugging percentage and 8th in home runs this season. This power at the plate could be a game-changer. Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene are key players to watch, with Torkelson having 25 home runs and Greene leading the team in RBIs.

Chris Paddack will start for the Tigers, bringing experience to the mound. Although his ERA is 4.91, his WHIP of 1.25 shows he can limit base runners. With a lineup capable of hitting for power, the Tigers have a chance to capitalize on any mistakes by the opposing pitcher.

The White Sox Can Win If…

The Chicago White Sox secured a 6-4 win over the Cleveland Guardians in their most recent game. Lenyn Sosa was a standout, going 2-for-3 with a home run and three RBIs. Colson Montgomery also contributed with a home run, helping the team tally 11 hits in total.

The White Sox have some key stats that can help them win. They have hit 183 doubles this season, ranking 14th in the league. Their pitching staff has also been effective, with a batting average against of .247, which is 13th best.

Elvis Peguero will be starting for the White Sox. While his ERA is 4.91, his performance can be a game-changer. With support from hitters like Lenyn Sosa and Colson Montgomery, the team has a solid chance to win against the Detroit Tigers.

The Lean

The Tigers are favored with a moneyline of -136, while the White Sox sit at +114. The Tigers have a better batting average and slugging percentage, ranking 7th and 6th, respectively. The White Sox rank lower in these categories. My model projects a Tigers win with a score of 5-3. Based on these stats, the recommendation is to pick the Tigers to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Tigers’ pitching has a 3.89 ERA, ranking 14th, while the White Sox have a 4.17 ERA, ranking 19th. My model projects a total score of 8 runs. Considering the strengths and weaknesses of both teams, the recommendation is to take the under 8.5 runs.

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Tigers Aim for Momentum in Road Battle vs White Sox

The Detroit Tigers haven’t had an easy time finding their early-season rhythm lately, but they may have rediscovered a spark over the weekend. After a series win over the Los Angeles Angels capped by a power-packed victory, Detroit is set to open a three-game series against the Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field on Monday night.

With the AL Wild Card standings tightening and the calendar edging closer to September, every win matters for the Tigers. Facing a White Sox squad that just ended a six-game skid, this series represents a prime opportunity to build momentum.

Tigers Bring the Thunder at the Plate

Detroit’s offense came alive in Sunday’s 9-5 victory, sending a message that they can still swing the bats with authority. Kerry Carpenter was the star, launching a three-run homer and driving in four runs. Riley Greene added a two-run shot and totaled three RBIs.

The Tigers racked up 10 hits, drew walks at key moments, and forced the Angels’ pitchers into high-stress situations.

Manager A.J. Hinch praised his club’s approach:

“That was a long time coming. Our control of the strike zone was excellent today, and we did damage when we had them vulnerable. We just continued to put up good at-bats.”

It wasn’t just about the long ball—Detroit’s hitters consistently worked counts and made solid contact, something they’ll need to replicate against Chicago.

White Sox Snap Losing Streak in Style

Chicago avoided a sweep against the Cleveland Guardians with a 6-4 win on Sunday, powered by first-inning home runs from Lenyn Sosa and rookie sensation Colson Montgomery.

Montgomery’s blast traveled an eye-popping 452 feet, the longest at Guaranteed Rate Field this season. The solo shot was his ninth home run of an impressive rookie campaign.

White Sox GM Chris Getz was quick to highlight the young infielder’s power potential:

“In the box, he’s a threat at the plate, and he’s looking to do damage.”

This win snapped a six-game losing streak and offered a glimmer of hope for a team that has endured a frustrating season.

Pitching Matchup

The Tigers will give the ball to right-hander Chris Paddack, who is making his third start since being acquired from the Minnesota Twins.

Paddack’s Tigers debut was promising—six strong innings in a win over the Arizona Diamondbacks. However, his follow-up start against his former team was less effective, as he allowed four runs in four innings in a 6-3 loss.

Career vs White Sox:

StartsRecordERAIPOpp. AVG
41-25.7520.1.276

Paddack’s key will be getting ahead in counts and avoiding the middle of the plate—something the White Sox punished the Guardians for just a day ago.

Chicago White Sox – Elvis Peguero (0-0, 4.91 ERA)

The White Sox will counter with right-hander Elvis Peguero, who was recalled from Triple-A Charlotte on Sunday. Claimed off waivers from the Milwaukee Brewers earlier this month, Peguero has been used exclusively as a reliever in the majors.

Peguero 2024 Stats:

LevelGRecordERAIPSO
MLB (MIL)60-04.917.15
AAA (Nashville)273-23.5525.128

With Jonathan Cannon sent back to Triple-A, the White Sox have a temporary hole in their rotation, making Peguero’s outing one to watch.

Injury Report

Detroit will be without outfielder Matt Vierling, who landed on the 10-day IL with a left oblique strain. Although the injury is considered mild, there’s a real chance it could sideline him for most of the season’s final stretch.

To replace Vierling, the Tigers recalled shortstop Trey Sweeney from Triple-A Toledo.

Hinch remains cautiously optimistic:

“We have not eliminated the chance for him to come back. The severity is mild, but clearly, he’s going on the IL.”

What’s at Stake

For Detroit, this is about staying alive in the postseason chase. A series win here could give them the momentum to handle upcoming division matchups with confidence.

For Chicago, the focus is on evaluating young talent and setting the tone for next season. While they may not be in playoff contention, playing spoiler is always a motivator—especially against a division rival.

Final Word

The Tigers have a golden opportunity to make up ground against a struggling opponent. If the bats stay hot and Paddack can settle in, Detroit could be heading back home later this week with more wins—and maybe even more confidence.

For live scores, stats, and team updates, visit the MLB Scores and Odds page and the Tigers team hub.