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Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins August 12th 2025
The Miami Marlins will play against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field. The game is set for Tuesday, August 12, 2025, at 6:40 PM. Fans can watch the game on CLEG.
The Marlins have a record of 57-61 and rank third in the NL East. They have lost their last three games. The Guardians have a record of 61-56 and rank second in the AL Central. They have won eight of their last ten games.
Marlins vs Guardians Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Miami Marlins vs. Cleveland Guardians
- Venue: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH
- Date: Tuesday, August 12, 2025
- Betting Odds: Marlins Moneyline +120, Guardians Moneyline -141
The Marlins Can Win If…
The Miami Marlins are looking to bounce back after a tough loss to the Atlanta Braves, 7-1. In that game, Cal Quantrill pitched four innings, allowing just one earned run. Xavier Edwards was a bright spot with two hits, showing his consistency at the plate.
The Marlins have a solid chance of winning with their strong batting average of .251, which ranks 7th in the league. They also have speed on the bases, with 97 stolen bases, placing them 9th. Janson Junk, with a 3.97 ERA, will take the mound, providing them a reliable starting option.
Key players like Xavier Edwards, batting .305, and Kyle Stowers, with 25 home runs, can make a difference. Their ability to hit doubles, ranking 7th with 196, gives them extra scoring opportunities. The Marlins’ lineup features several hitters capable of driving in runs, making them a threat in this upcoming game.
The Guardians Can Win If…
The Cleveland Guardians are coming off a 6-4 loss against the Chicago White Sox. Despite the loss, Kyle Manzardo had a strong performance with two home runs and two RBIs. David Fry also contributed with a double and two RBIs, showing the team’s potential at the plate.
The Guardians have shown power in recent games, hitting multiple home runs and extra-base hits. Their pitching staff ranks 11th in ERA at 3.83, which can keep games close. Logan Allen will start, and he has a solid ERA of 3.96, which gives them a chance to control the game.
José Ramírez is a key player for the Guardians with a batting average of .289 and 23 home runs. His ability to drive in runs and get on base makes him a threat in the lineup. The team also ranks 13th in stolen bases, adding another dimension to their offense.
The Lean
The Guardians are favored on the moneyline at -141. The Marlins are listed at +120. Given the Guardians’ stronger pitching stats, with an ERA of 3.83 compared to the Marlins’ 4.52, the pick is the Guardians to win. The model projects the Guardians to win with a score of 5-3.
The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs. The Guardians have a better batting average and on-base percentage than the Marlins, suggesting they might score more. With the projected total score at 8, the recommendation is to take the under 8.5 (+102).
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Streaking Kyle Manzardo, Guardians Open Homestand vs. Sliding Marlins
The Cleveland Guardians return home on a high note after a successful weeklong road trip, going 5-1 against the New York Mets and Chicago White Sox. Their hot stretch has tightened the race for the final American League wild-card spot, putting pressure on the New York Yankees.
The Guardians now shift to an all-interleague homestand, opening a three-game series Tuesday against the struggling Miami Marlins. Left-hander Logan Allen (7-9, 3.96 ERA) will get the start for Cleveland, opposing Marlins right-hander Janson Junk (6-2, 3.97 ERA). Both teams had Monday off.
For bettors, this matchup offers intriguing angles, and reviewing the latest MLB picks could help identify value before first pitch.
Manzardo’s Hot Streak Fuels Cleveland’s Surge
First baseman Kyle Manzardo has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball. Over his last 15 games, he’s batting .383 with four homers and 12 RBIs. He continued that tear with a two-homer performance Sunday, marking his third multi-homer game of the season.
The Guardians have fed off Manzardo’s production, going 21-8 since a 10-game losing streak, including a 9-2 record since July 29. His season batting average now sits at .244, and his 20 home runs rank 21st in the AL.
“I’m just trying to hunt pitches over the plate,” Manzardo said. “Use the whole field and compete.”
Fans looking for deeper insight into Cleveland’s recent form can explore the MLB previews section for matchup breakdowns and betting trends.
Logan Allen’s Consistency vs. Miami
Allen has faced the Marlins in each of the last two seasons, going 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in those meetings. He owns a career 7-4 record with a 3.90 ERA in interleague play, averaging just over five innings per start.
In his last outing on Aug. 5 against the Mets, Allen struck out six over five innings, allowing just one earned run in a no-decision. However, he has dropped two of his past three starts at Progressive Field, with his lone home win coming against the Rockies on July 29.
Handicappers can find updated numbers and betting advice in the MLB expert betting guide for Tuesday’s slate.
Marlins Looking to Regain Wild-Card Momentum
The Marlins were briefly in the NL wild-card conversation after winning five straight from July 29 to Aug. 3. However, they’ve cooled off significantly, going 2-6 since.
On Sunday in Atlanta, reliever Tyler Zuber was tagged for four runs and two home runs while recording only two outs, leading to a 7-1 loss. Former Guardian Cal Quantrill started for Miami but exited after four innings due to illness.
Miami’s season has been defined by youth, with first-year manager Clayton McCullough using 22 rookies so far. One of them, outfielder Heriberto Hernandez, drove in four runs with three hits in Atlanta.
Those tracking Miami’s recent results can review the latest MLB game results to gauge their current form.
Janson Junk’s Breakout Season
Junk is enjoying a breakthrough year after bouncing between multiple organizations early in his career. In 14 appearances this season, he has helped Miami win his last three starts.
His most recent outing came on Aug. 6 against Houston, where he allowed three runs over five innings in a 6-4 win. He has yet to face Cleveland in his career.
“When guys get on, they know I’ll be in the zone,” Junk said. “The key is executing better and avoiding pitches that leak over the plate.”
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