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Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs August 12th 2025
The Chicago Cubs will visit the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on Tuesday, August 12, 2025. The Cubs have a record of 67-50 and are ranked second in the NL Central. They are coming off a loss and have gone 5-5 in their last ten games. Craig Counsell manages the team, with Dustin Kelly as the hitting coach and Tommy Hottovy as the pitching coach.
The Blue Jays hold a 69-50 record and sit at the top of the AL East. They won their last game and have a 6-4 record over their last ten games. John Schneider leads the team as manager, with David Popkins and Pete Walker serving as the hitting and pitching coaches, respectively. The starting pitchers for the game are Ben Brown for the Cubs and José Berríos for the Blue Jays.
Cubs vs Blue Jays Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Chicago Cubs vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Date: Tuesday, August 12, 2025
- Betting Odds: Cubs Moneyline +105, Blue Jays Moneyline -124
The Cubs Can Win If…
The Chicago Cubs recently played against the St. Louis Cardinals, losing 3-2. Shota Imanaga pitched well, striking out nine in 6 2/3 innings. Matt Shaw hit a home run, driving in two runs to lead the Cubs’ offense.
The Cubs have strong hitting stats this season. They rank 5th in batting average at .254 and 3rd in slugging percentage at .438. Their lineup includes Seiya Suzuki, who has 27 home runs, and Michael Busch with a .263 average.
Ben Brown will start for the Cubs. While his ERA is 6.04, he has a chance to improve against the Blue Jays. The Cubs’ offense, with players like Pete Crow-Armstrong and Dansby Swanson, can provide the needed support.
The Blue Jays Can Win If…
The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off a win against the Los Angeles Dodgers with a score of 5-4. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was key, hitting a home run and driving in two runs. Ernie Clement and Addison Barger also contributed with home runs, showing the team’s power at the plate.
The Blue Jays lead the league with a batting average of .269 and an on-base percentage of .337. They are second in doubles with 218, which helps them score runs. Their lineup features strong hitters like Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette, who both have batting averages close to .300.
José Berríos will start for the Blue Jays, with an ERA of 3.88 and a WHIP of 1.27. These numbers show he can keep the game close and give the Blue Jays a chance to win. With their strong hitting and reliable pitching, the Blue Jays have a good shot at winning the next game against the Chicago Cubs.
The Lean
For the moneyline pick, the Blue Jays are favored at -124. The Cubs have a moneyline of +105. The Blue Jays have the top batting average and on-base percentage in the league. Given their strong hitting and the Cubs’ average pitching, the Blue Jays are likely to win. My model projects a score of Blue Jays 5, Cubs 4.
The total for the game is set at 9.0 runs. Both teams have strong hitting stats, with the Cubs ranking high in slugging percentage and home runs. The Blue Jays have a high batting average and on-base percentage. Considering these factors, the game is likely to go over 9.0 runs. My model projects a total of 9 runs.
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Cubs Look to Spark Offense Against AL East-Leading Blue Jays
The Chicago Cubs cross the border Tuesday night to open a three-game series with the Toronto Blue Jays, hoping to jumpstart a slumping offense.
Since the All-Star break, Chicago is 10–11 and averaging 4.1 runs per game — down from 5.3 before the break. The slowdown has allowed the Milwaukee Brewers to gain control of the NL Central race.
Rookie Power Surge
One bright spot has been rookie third baseman Matt Shaw. After hitting a two-run homer on Sunday, Shaw has gone deep three times in his last four games and owns a .328 average with 15 RBIs in 20 contests since the break.
Manager Craig Counsell praised Shaw’s impact, while hitting coach Dustin Kelly pointed to his renewed confidence at the plate as the biggest change from his early-season struggles.
Blue Jays Return Home
Toronto comes home after a 4–2 trip, avoiding a sweep by the Los Angeles Dodgers with a 5–4 victory Sunday. Ernie Clement provided the winning blast in the ninth, capping a week where he hit .424 with three homers.
The Colorado Rockies also felt Toronto’s offensive punch, giving up nine of Clement’s 14 hits during a three-game sweep.
Pitching Matchup – Series Opener
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Career vs Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brown (CHC) | 5-7 | 6.04 | First career start vs TOR |
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 8-4 | 3.89 | 1-2, 6.20 ERA in 4 starts vs CHC |
Berrios will make his first start against Chicago since 2021, while Brown faces the Blue Jays for the first time in his career.
Injury Updates
Toronto could see Andres Gimenez return from a sprained ankle, while George Springer remains out with a concussion. The club is also monitoring Shane Bieber’s rehab progress at Triple-A Buffalo.
For Chicago, Jameson Taillon is nearing a return from a strained calf, providing potential rotation depth down the stretch.
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