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New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves August 12th 2025
The Atlanta Braves will take on the New York Mets at Citi Field on Tuesday, August 12, 2025, at 7:10 PM. The Braves have a record of 51-67 and are currently ranked 4th in the NL East. They are on a three-game winning streak and have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games.
The Mets, with a record of 63-55, are 2nd in the division but are on a seven-game losing streak. They have struggled recently, winning only one of their last 10 games. The game will be broadcast on SNY, and the weather forecast is for a very hot day with a light breeze and a few clouds.
Braves vs Mets Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
- Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
- Date: Tuesday, August 12, 2025
- Betting Odds: Braves Moneyline +119, Mets Moneyline -140
The Braves Can Win If…
The Atlanta Braves recently won against the Miami Marlins with a score of 7-1. Joey Wentz pitched well, allowing only one run in over five innings. Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson both hit home runs, contributing to the team’s strong offensive performance.
The Braves have shown they can hit for power, ranking 15th in home runs with 133 this season. Their lineup includes hitters like Matt Olson, who has 19 home runs, and Marcell Ozuna, who also has 19. This power at the plate gives them a chance to score runs quickly.
On the mound, Spencer Strider will start for the Braves. He has an ERA of 4.04 and has struck out many batters this season. With their combination of power hitting and capable pitching, the Braves have what it takes to win this game.
The Mets Can Win If…
The New York Mets are aiming to bounce back after a close 7-6 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. In that game, the Mets showed strong hitting with 10 hits, including two home runs. Pete Alonso was a standout, hitting two doubles and driving in a run.
The Mets have a solid chance to win with their strong pitching and hitting stats. They rank 9th in home runs with 147 and have a team ERA of 3.72, placing them 8th in the league. Clay Holmes will take the mound with a 3.46 ERA, providing a reliable presence on the mound.
Key players like Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor can make a difference. Alonso leads the team with 26 home runs, and Lindor has 21 homers. With these powerful hitters, the Mets can put pressure on the opposing pitcher and score runs effectively.
The Lean
The Mets are favored on the moneyline at -140, while the Braves are at +119. My model projects the Mets to win with a score of 5-4. The Mets’ strong pitching, with an ERA ranked 8th, gives them an edge over the Braves. Therefore, the recommendation is to pick the Mets to win straight up.
The total for the game is set at 8.0, with the over at -116 and the under at -105. My model’s projected total is 9 runs. Both teams have decent hitting stats, and the Braves’ pitching ranks lower. This suggests a higher-scoring game, so the recommendation is to take the over.
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Mets Look to Snap Skid as Braves Visit
The New York Mets return home Tuesday night trying to halt their latest losing streak when they open a three-game set against the Atlanta Braves.
New York has dropped seven straight and is just 1–11 since July 28 — a slump that has tightened the NL Wild Card race. Once 21 games over .500 in mid-June, the Mets are now clinging to the final postseason spot by just 1 1/2 games over the Cincinnati Reds.
Mets’ Collapse Continues
Sunday’s 7–6 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers was another gut punch. The Mets blew a five-run lead before Isaac Collins ended it with a walk-off homer off Edwin Díaz.
Since June 13, New York is 18–31 — third-worst in MLB standings over that span — scoring just 194 runs while allowing 259. Manager Carlos Mendoza says it’s time to simplify:
“We can’t be looking at the standings. We’ve got to start getting the job done. That simple.”
Braves Playing Spoiler
Atlanta comes in fresh off a rare five-game series win, taking four from the Miami Marlins. They outscored Miami 31–19 and ended the set with their first three-game win streak since sweeping the Mets in mid-June.
The Braves are 5–2 against New York this season and need just two more wins to take the season series for the eighth straight year and the 24th time since joining the NL East in 1994.
Pitching Matchup – Game 1
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Last Start |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Holmes (NYM) | 9-6 | 3.46 | 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H vs Cleveland Guardians (ND) |
| Spencer Strider (ATL) | 5-9 | 4.04 | 4.2 IP, 5 ER, 11 H vs Milwaukee Brewers (Loss) |
Holmes has been steady against the Braves, posting a 2.18 ERA in 12 career outings. Strider has a 6–1 record against the Mets despite a 4.97 ERA in 10 career appearances.
What to Watch
For the Mets, it’s about stopping the bleeding early. A quick start could ease the tension in a clubhouse feeling the pressure of the playoff race.
For the Braves, the chance to play spoiler — and lock up another season series against New York — could fuel their late push for momentum.
For betting odds and expert picks, visit the MLB Expert Betting Guide.
