Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Predictions August 12th 2025

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The Philadelphia Phillies visit the Cincinnati Reds at the Great American Ball Park. The Phillies come into the game with a record of 69-49, leading the NL East. They are on a four-game winning streak and have won eight of their last ten games. Rob Thomson manages the team, with Kevin Long as the hitting coach and Caleb Cotham as the pitching coach. The Cincinnati Reds hold a 62-58 record and are third in the NL Central. They have a recent record of 5-5 in their last ten games and are coming off a loss. Terry Francona manages the Reds, with Chris Valaika as the hitting coach and Derek Johnson as the pitching coach. The game will be played on a hot day with few clouds and a calm crosswind. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM, and fans can watch it on FDSOH.

Phillies vs Reds Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
  • Date: Tuesday, August 12, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Phillies Moneyline -154, Reds Moneyline +131, Phillies Runline -1.5 (+103), Reds Runline +1.5 (-123), Total Over 9.0 (-118), Total Under 9.0 (-102)

The Phillies Can Win If…

The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off a strong win against the Cincinnati Reds, taking the game 4-1. Taijuan Walker pitched six innings, allowing just one run. Kyle Schwarber hit a home run, adding two RBIs to his name.

The Phillies have been on a roll, winning their last four games. They rank fourth in batting average at .255 and fifth in on-base percentage at .325. Their pitching has also been solid, with a team ERA of 3.68, which is sixth best in the league.

Key players like Kyle Schwarber and Trea Turner are crucial for the Phillies. Schwarber has hit 42 home runs this season, ranking second in the league. Ranger Suárez will start the game with an impressive ERA of 2.94, giving the Phillies a good chance to win.

The Reds Can Win If…

The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a 4-1 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies. Andrew Abbott pitched well, going 7 2/3 innings with six strikeouts. Gavin Lux was a bright spot, collecting three hits and driving in the only run for the Reds.

Despite the recent loss, the Reds have shown they can be a strong team. They rank 10th in batting average and have a solid on-base percentage. Their pitching staff has a respectable earned run average, and they are 4th in batting average against, showing their ability to limit opposing hits.

Elly De La Cruz is a key player to watch, with a batting average of .275 and 19 home runs. Noelvi Marte has also been performing well, with a .286 average and eight home runs. With Brady Singer on the mound, the Reds have a chance to bounce back and secure a win at home.

The Lean

The Phillies are favored with a moneyline of -154, while the Reds have a moneyline of +131. The Phillies have a strong batting average and on-base percentage, ranking 4th and 5th respectively. Their pitching also ranks well with a 6th place ERA. Based on these stats, the model projects the Phillies to win with a score of 5-3. The recommendation is to pick the Phillies to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 9.0, with the over at -118 and the under at -102. The Phillies’ strong offense and the Reds’ decent pitching suggest a balanced game. The model projects a total score of 8, which is under the current line. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the under for this game.

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Schwarber Returns Home as Phillies Face Reds in Game 2

Kyle Schwarber’s bat is right at home in Cincinnati, and on Tuesday night, the Philadelphia Phillies slugger will try to add to his impressive record at Great American Ball Park.

On Monday, Schwarber hit his 13th career homer in the stadium — the most he’s hit in any ballpark he hasn’t called home — powering a four-run eighth inning that lifted the Phillies to a 4–1 win over the Cincinnati Reds.

Schwarber’s Hometown Connection

Born in Middletown, Ohio, just 40 miles north of Cincinnati, Schwarber grew up a Reds fan. Now 32 and set to be a free agent at season’s end, he hasn’t ruled out a return home someday.

“I mean, absolutely, right? I grew up watching the team,” Schwarber said. “Why wouldn’t you want to play for a hometown team? But there’s so many different aspects to free agency.”

In 48 career games in Cincinnati, Schwarber has 32 RBIs and continues to be a consistent threat at the plate.

Reds’ Defense Shines, But Offense Struggles

Before Philadelphia’s rally, Cincinnati’s Andrew Abbott retired the first 12 batters he faced. The Reds also turned in three standout defensive plays, including Noelvi Marte throwing out Bryce Harper at the plate in the seventh.

Despite the defensive gems from Marte, Ke’Bryan Hayes, and Elly De La Cruz, the Reds couldn’t generate enough offense. They’ve scored three runs or fewer in eight of 10 games this month.

Pitching Matchup – Game 2

PitcherW-LERALast Start
Ranger Suárez (PHI)8-52.946.1 IP, 9 H, 5 ER vs BAL (Loss)
Brady Singer (CIN)9-84.533.2 IP, 6 H, 4 ER vs PIT (Loss)

Suárez has a strong history against the Reds, going 2–0 with a 2.12 ERA in nine career appearances. However, he’s 1–3 with a 4.89 ERA in his last six starts.

Singer has never beaten the Phillies, giving up five runs in his only previous start against them last August while with Kansas City.

What to Watch

For Philadelphia, Schwarber’s power surge in Cincinnati could be a series-deciding factor, especially with Bryce Harper and Trea Turner providing support.

For Cincinnati, finding consistent offense is key. Strong defense alone won’t be enough against a Phillies lineup that’s heating up on a 4–0 start to their 10-game road trip.