New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Predictions August 14th 2025

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves August 14th 2025

The Atlanta Braves will visit the New York Mets at Citi Field on Thursday, August 14, 2025. The game is set to start at 7:10 PM. The Braves have a record of 51-68 and are ranked fourth in the NL East. They are coming off a loss and have gone 5-5 in their last ten games.

The Mets hold a 64-55 record and are second in the NL East. They recently secured a win and have struggled in their last ten games, going 2-8. Bryce Elder will start for the Braves, while Kodai Senga takes the mound for the Mets. The weather forecast predicts warm temperatures with overcast clouds and a calm crosswind.

Braves vs Mets Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
• Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
• Date: Thursday, August 14, 2025
• Betting Odds: Braves Moneyline +160, Mets Moneyline -191

The Braves Can Win If…

The Atlanta Braves are coming off an 11-6 win against the New York Mets. In that game, Marcell Ozuna and Michael Harris II each hit a home run, contributing to the team’s eight hits. Jurickson Profar also had a standout performance with three hits and three RBIs.

The Braves have strong stats that can lead them to another win. Their on-base percentage ranks 8th in the league, showing their ability to get on base. They also rank 3rd in walks, which can help them create scoring opportunities.

Key players like Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna bring power to the lineup with 19 home runs each. Olson leads the team with 71 RBIs, providing a consistent threat at the plate. With Bryce Elder on the mound, the Braves will look to support him with solid defense and timely hitting.

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets recently played against the Atlanta Braves, losing 11-6. Despite the loss, the Mets showed strong hitting with 12 hits and a home run by Juan Soto. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso also contributed with multiple hits, showing their ability to drive in runs.

The Mets have a solid chance to win with their strong hitting stats. They rank 8th in home runs with 153 and 5th in walks with 411. Their ability to get on base and hit for power can be key in their upcoming game.

Kodai Senga will start for the Mets, and he has been effective this season. With a 2.30 ERA and a 7-4 record, Senga can keep the Braves’ hitters in check. His performance could be a deciding factor in the Mets’ favor.

The Lean

The Mets are favored to win with a moneyline of -191. They have a stronger pitching staff, ranked 5th in ERA, compared to the Braves’ 21st. The model projects the Mets to win with a score of 5-3. Therefore, the recommendation is to pick the Mets to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Braves have a higher number of home runs given up, ranked 14th, which could lead to more scoring. The model projects a total score of 8 runs. With the line at 8.5, the recommendation is to take the under.

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Why This Game Matters

The Braves have likely run out of runway in the playoff chase, but they’re swinging free and scoring in bunches. For the Mets, the clock is blaring: their lead for the final NL wild-card spot has shrunk to a single game after dropping 12 of 14 and squandering multiple big leads. For broader context and matchup notes around the league, scan the full slate of MLB previews.

Recent Form and Stakes

New York opened 45-24 through June 12 but is 19-32 since, with three straight games blowing leads of at least four runs. Wednesday encapsulated the slide: a 6-0 lead vanished during Atlanta’s nine-run fourth, powered by Michael Harris II’s go-ahead grand slam. After the final out, confirm the scoreboard swings and box scores on the MLB game results page.

Probable Pitchers: Kodai Senga vs. Bryce Elder

Kodai Senga (7-4, 2.30 ERA) gets the ball for New York. He allowed three runs (one earned) over 4 1/3 innings in his last start and is 2-0 with a 3.97 ERA in two career starts against Atlanta. Bryce Elder (4-9, 6.12 ERA) goes for the Braves after yielding five runs in six innings to Miami; he’s 2-0 with a 4.74 ERA in four career appearances vs. the Mets. For how these profiles translate to run prevention and live-betting leverage, dive into the MLB expert betting guide.

What Flipped Game 2

The fourth inning unraveled on free passes and traffic: Atlanta sent 12 to the plate, worked five walks, and stacked four hits. The lesson for New York is simple—limit the base-on-balls surge that’s turning one rough frame into a backbreaker. Atlanta’s patient approach is repeatable when the strike zone disappears.

Keys for the Finale

1. Senga’s Pitch Economy
   New York needs six clean frames to shorten the exposure of a taxed bridge to the ninth. Getting ahead early reduces the walk spiral that undid them on Wednesday.
2. No Coasting After an Early Lead
   The Mets’ offense must keep adding on instead of settling after an initial burst. If you’re weighing side/total or derivative markets, compare viewpoints and selections on today’s MLB picks.
3. Elder’s First Two Trips Through the Order
   When Elder falls behind, damage follows. The Mets should attack early strikes and force him back into the zone. For more game-by-game notes, keep an eye on league-wide MLB previews.
4. The Free-Pass Problem
   Five walks in a single inning is gasoline. New York’s path to a win is pounding the zone and trusting the defense to finish plays rather than nibbling into trouble.

Handicapping Angle

Pressure tilts both ways. The Mets have the superior starter on paper, but the Braves’ lineup form and patience turn small command lapses into crooked numbers. Before locking a position, check ROI and streaks on the best handicappers leaderboard and consider premium, vetted selections on the buy picks page. You can also align with consensus or contrarian stances across the slate via today’s MLB picks hub.

Outlook

On-paper edge: Senga and the Mets. In-practice risk: Atlanta’s discipline and New York’s recent late-inning volatility. If the Mets grab another early lead, the real test begins in the sixth—pound the zone, play clean, and keep adding runs. For deeper angles on bullpen usage, in-game totals, and pacing, consult the MLB expert guide and validate results afterward on the MLB game results board.