Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Picks and Predictions August 15th 2025

Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Baseball Fri, Aug 15, 18:10 pm.
Boston Red Sox
ML: -175
0
1
Miami Marlins
ML: 140
Last Updated on

The Miami Marlins will take on the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The game is scheduled for Friday, August 15, 2025, at 7:10 PM. Fans can catch the action on FDSFL.

The Marlins, with a record of 58-63, are third in the NL East. They have struggled lately, going 3-7 in their last ten games. The Red Sox hold a 66-56 record and are second in the AL East. They are 5-5 in their last ten games. The weather forecast predicts a warm day with a light breeze under clear skies.

Marlins vs Red Sox Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Miami Marlins vs. Boston Red Sox
  • Venue: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
  • Date: Friday, August 15, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Marlins Moneyline +142, Red Sox Moneyline -168, Marlins Runline +1.5 (-144), Red Sox Runline -1.5 (+120), Total Over 9.0 (-102), Total Under 9.0 (-118)

The Marlins Can Win If…

The Miami Marlins are coming off a recent loss to the Cleveland Guardians, with a score of 9-4. Despite the loss, Xavier Edwards had a strong performance, going 2 for 4 at the plate. Agustín Ramírez and Kyle Stowers also contributed with a double and a single, respectively.

The Marlins have a solid batting lineup, ranking 7th in the league with a batting average of .252. They are also 7th in doubles, with 202 this season. This ability to get on base and hit for extra bases can help them in the upcoming game.

Key players like Xavier Edwards and Jakob Marsee are hitting well, with averages of .307 and .395. These hitters can provide the offense needed against the Boston Red Sox. With Sandy Alcantara on the mound, the Marlins will look to support him with strong run production.

The Red Sox Can Win If…

The Boston Red Sox are set to face the Miami Marlins with confidence. In their recent game against the Houston Astros, they lost 4-1 but showed potential with eight hits. Wilyer Abreu was a standout, going 2-for-3 at the plate.

The Red Sox have strong hitting stats this season. They rank 5th in batting average at .254 and 4th in on-base percentage at .324. Their ability to hit doubles is a key strength, leading the league with 250 doubles.

Lucas Giolito will start for the Red Sox, bringing an impressive 3.77 ERA. His record of 8-2 shows his effectiveness on the mound. With Giolito’s pitching and the team’s batting skills, the Red Sox have a solid chance to win.

The Lean

The Red Sox have a moneyline of -168, indicating they are the favorites. The Marlins have a moneyline of +142. The Red Sox have a stronger batting average and slugging percentage, ranking 5th and 4th, respectively. With a projected score of Red Sox 5, Marlins 4, the recommendation is to pick the Red Sox to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 9.0, with the over at -102 and the under at -118. The Red Sox have a better pitching ERA, ranked 7th, which might limit the Marlins’ scoring. With a projected total of 9 runs, the recommendation is to take the under.

sas logo

Stay Ahead of the Diamond

MLB Data & Insights

Red Sox’s Lucas Giolito Aims for Improvements vs. Marlins

The Boston Red Sox will be looking for a sharper performance from right-hander Lucas Giolito when they open a three-game series Friday night against the Miami Marlins. Boston remains firmly in the American League playoff hunt and will need consistent starts down the stretch.

Giolito (8-2, 3.77 ERA) entered his last outing against the San Diego Padres riding a dominant 10-start stretch in which he went 7-1 with a 2.03 ERA. However, his mechanics unraveled in the fifth inning, leading to four consecutive walks — two of which forced in runs — as the Padres took the lead in an eventual 5-4 extra-inning loss.

“I lost feel for my mechanics and couldn’t make the adjustment,” Giolito admitted. “It’s inexcusable. If I had gotten out of that inning, I think we would have won that game.”

Probable Pitching Matchup

PitcherTeamW-LERAWHIPCareer vs Opponent
Lucas GiolitoRed Sox8-23.771.190-0, 1.29 ERA in 1 start vs. MIA
Sandy AlcantaraMarlins6-116.551.511-1, 1.38 ERA in 2 starts vs. BOS

Giolito will make just his second career start against Miami. His first, in June 2023, saw him allow just one run over seven innings. The Marlins counter with Sandy Alcantara, who has struggled in 2024 but has historically pitched well against Boston.

Team Performance Snapshot

TeamLast 10 GamesSeason RecordRuns Per GameRuns Allowed Per Game
Red Sox6-468-544.94.2
Marlins3-748-743.75.0

The Marlins enter the series after splitting a two-game stretch in Cleveland, snapping a four-game losing streak before dropping the rubber match. Miami rookie Jakob Marsee has been a bright spot, hitting .436 with three homers and 13 RBIs in his first 13 MLB games before cooling off on Thursday.

The expert MLB betting guide suggests Boston’s favorable schedule down the stretch could keep them in strong wild-card position — 24 of their final 40 games come against teams currently under .500.